Michigan Wolverines vs Auburn Tigers Prediction, 3/28/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Michigan Wolverines vs Auburn Tigers

Date: Friday, March 28, 2025

Location: State Farm Center in Champaign, IL

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Michigan (+7)

The Michigan Wolverines (27-9) are hitting the road to State Farm Center on Friday where they will play the Auburn Tigers (30-5) in the Sweet 16. Auburn opens this game as 7-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The total comes in at 152.

The Michigan Wolverines took the court against Texas A&M and took home the win by a score of 91-79 in their last contest. In reference to personal fouls, the Wolverines finished with 19 while Texas A&M totaled 25 personal fouls. They also converted 7 out of their 27 tries from 3-point land. Texas A&M walked away from this one shooting 69.2% from the free throw line by knocking down 18 of 26 tries. On top of that, Texas A&M snagged 36 rebounds (14 offensive, 22 defensive), but wasn't able to record a rejection. Texas A&M dished out 14 dimes and had 7 steals in this contest. Pertaining to defense, Michigan allowed the other team to go 38.0% from the floor on 27 out of 71 shooting. They also recorded 17 assists for this contest in addition to forcing the opposition into 7 turnovers and having 2 steals. In terms of hauling in rebounds, they collected 43 with 15 of them being of the offensive sort. From the charity stripe, the Wolverines made 29 of their 36 attempts for a rate of 80.6%. Michigan wrapped up the contest having earned a 43.1% field goal percentage (28 out of 65) and converted 6 of 22 three-point shots.

Roddy Gayle Jr. is one guy who was important in the matchup. He shot 50.0% from the floor and also totaled 1 assist. He played 30 mins and pulled down 4 boards. He ended up finishing with 26 points on 7 out of 14 shooting.

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Michigan will enter this matchup with a mark of 27-9 this year. They lose possession by turning the ball over 13.9 times per contest and as a team are committing 17.1 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Michigan is pulling in 38.6 boards per contest and has tallied 580 assists for the year, which is 21st in the country in terms of passing. The Wolverines are connecting on 33.3% on shots from beyond the arc (296 of 890) and 72.7% from the free throw line. They have an average of 78.3 pts per game (70th in D-1) while shooting 47.1% from the floor.

On defense, the Wolverines are forcing their opponents into 11.2 turnovers per game and they draw 18.5 fouls. They rank 102nd in the country in giving up assists to their opponents with 408 conceded for the year. The Wolverines defense is allowing a field goal percentage of 40.1% (910 of 2,269) and they relinquish 33.7 boards per game as a team. They are giving up 30.9% from 3-point land and they rank 156th in college hoops in points per game allowed (71.3).

When they last played, the Auburn Tigers took home the win by a final score of 82-70 when they faced Creighton. The Tigers were able to collect 22 defensive rebounds and 11 offensive rebounds for a total of 33 in this game. They also coughed up the ball 6 times, while getting 5 steals for the contest. Creighton was called for 17 personal fouls in the game which took the Tigers to the free throw line for a total of 21 shots. They were able to knock down 15 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 71.4%. In relation to shooting from 3-point land, Auburn converted 7 out of 19 tries (36.8%). When the final whistle was blown, the Tigers shot 30 for 64 from the floor which had them sitting at 46.9%. The Tigers permitted Creighton to make 25 out of their 53 tries from the floor which had them shooting 47.2% for the contest. They shot 44.4% from three-point range by connecting on 12 out of 27 and finished the game at 8 of 13 at the free throw line (61.5%). In regard to cleaning the glass, Auburn allowed Creighton to pull down 23 in all (3 on the offensive glass).

Tahaad Pettiford was important for the Tigers for this game. He tallied 23 points in his 32 minutes of playing time and had 3 assists for the matchup. He knocked down 7 out of 14 in the game for a field goal rate of 50.0%, and had 6 rebounds.

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Auburn has a win-loss mark of 30-5 on the year. The Tigers commit 18.4 personal fouls per game and they go 73.2% from the charity stripe. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 16.3 times per game (33rd in the nation) and they are losing possession via turnover 9.3 times per contest. Auburn has scored 2,932 points on the year (83.8 per contest) and they collect 37.3 rebounds per game. On the offensive side of the ball, the Tigers are connecting on 48.1% from the floor, which is 28th in the nation.

The Tigers on defense are ranked 91st in Division 1 in PPG given up with 69.4. They are able to force 11.9 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 41.0% from the field (39th in college). The Auburn defense allows 29.6% on shots from behind the 3-point line (211 of 713) and opponents are converting on 72.9% of their shots from the charity stripe. They relinquish 9.6 assists and 33.2 boards on a nightly basis, which ranks 5th and 105th in college hoops.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Michigan (+7)

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