Michigan State Spartans vs Auburn Tigers Prediction, 3/30/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Michigan State Spartans vs Auburn Tigers

Date: Sunday, March 30, 2025

Location: State Farm Center in Champaign, IL

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Auburn (-5)

State Farm Center is the location where the Auburn Tigers (31-5) will try to defeat the Michigan State Spartans (30-6) on Sunday in the Elite 8. Auburn opens this contest as 5-point favorites from oddsmakers. The over/under is set at 147.

The Michigan State Spartans faced off with Ole Miss and walked away with a win by a score of 73-70 in their last game. Michigan State finished the game with a 50.0% field goal percentage (24 out of 48) and made 6 out of their 17 shots from 3-point land. At the free throw line, the Spartans buried 19 of their 22 shots for a percentage of 86.4%. In the matter of pulling down rebounds, they collected 26 with 5 of them being of the offensive variety. They also recorded 15 assists in this matchup while forcing 6 turnovers and having 1 steal. When talking about defense, Michigan State allowed the other team to shoot 40.6% from the floor on 26 out of 64 shooting. Ole Miss doled out 13 assists and had 8 steals for this contest. Additionally, Ole Miss grabbed 29 rebounds (10 offensive, 19 defensive), but didn't record a block for the team. Ole Miss finished the contest at 90.0% at the free throw line by burying 9 of 10 shots. They also knocked down 9 of 27 shots from 3-point range. In the matter of fouls, the Spartans ended up finishing with 12 and Ole Miss totaled 20 fouls.

Jase Richardson is a player who was a major factor for the contest. He accounted for 20 points on 6 out of 8 shooting. He played for 32 minutes and collected 6 rebounds. He ended up going 75.0% from the floor but finished the game without a dime.

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Michigan State comes into this one with a mark of 30-6 this season. They are averaging 78.1 points per game (75th in college) while going 46.1% from the floor. The Spartans are hitting 31.1% on shots from downtown (217 of 698) and 77.8% from the charity stripe. As a team, Michigan State is pulling down 39.8 boards per game and is sitting with 601 assists for the campaign, which ranks 12th in the nation in terms of passing. They lose possession via turnover 11.4 times per game and as a team are committing 16.6 fouls every game.

On the defensive end, the Spartans are able to force 11.2 turnovers per game and they draw 19.5 fouls. They surrender 28.0% on shots from beyond the arc and they are ranked 44th in college hoops in PPG from their opponents (67.1). The Spartans are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 40.4% (850 of 2,102) and they concede 30.7 boards per contest as a team. They are ranked 213th in college hoops in giving up assists to their opponents with 445 conceded for the season.

The last time they took the court, the Auburn Tigers went home victorious with a score of 78-65 when they faced Michigan. The Tigers were able to collect 27 defensive rebounds and 15 offensive boards totaling 42 for this game. They coughed it up 15 times, while earning 9 steals for this contest. Michigan committed 17 fouls in the game which took the Tigers to the free throw line for a total of 18 tries. They were able to bury 14 of the free throw tries for a clip of 77.8%. Regarding three-point attempts, Auburn converted 8 out of 28 tries (28.6%). When this game wrapped up, the Tigers finished the game shooting 28 for 71 from the floor which had them sitting at 39.4%. The Tigers permitted Michigan to make 21 out of 59 attempts from the floor which gave them a percentage of 35.6% in the matchup. They wrapped up this game 29.4% from three-point range by shooting 5 out of 17 and ended up going 18 of 24 at the free throw line (75.0%). In reference to how they attacked the glass, Auburn allowed Michigan to snag 29 in all (8 on the offensive glass).

Johni Broome pitched in for the Tigers in this contest. He had 22 points in his 30 minutes on the hardwood and had 1 assist in this contest. He buried 9 out of 21 for the game for a field goal rate of 42.9%, and earned 16 rebounds.

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Auburn has a record of 31-5 on the campaign. The Tigers are responsible for committing 18.4 personal fouls per game while shooting 73.3% from the free throw line. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 16.3 times per game (33rd in college) and they turn the ball over 9.4 times per contest. Auburn has totaled 3,010 pts so far this year (83.6 per game) and they average 37.6 boards per game. As an offensive team, the Tigers are shooting 47.8% from the field, which has them ranked 33rd in the country.

The Auburn defense gives up 29.6% on 3-point attempts (216 of 730) and opponents are making 72.9% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have allowed 9.5 assists and 33.2 total boards per game, which is 3rd and 105th in college. The Tigers are ranked 88th in D-1 in PPG surrendered with 69.3. They are forcing 12.0 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 40.8% from the floor (33rd in college).

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Auburn (-5) and under 147 points

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