LSU Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, 3/12/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: LSU Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

Date: Wednesday, March 12, 2025

Location: Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, TN

TV: SEC Network

The LSU Tigers (14-17) are on their way to Bridgestone Arena on Wednesday where they will try to defeat the Mississippi State Bulldogs (20-11).

The LSU Tigers faced Texas A&M and took a loss by a score of 66-52 in their last game. LSU wrapped up the contest with a 30.0% FG percentage (15 out of 50) and buried 7 of 26 3-pointers. At the charity stripe, the Tigers converted 15 of 20 attempts for a rate of 75.0%. With regard to grabbing rebounds, they earned a total of 23 with 4 of them being of the offensive sort. They also doled out 7 assists for the matchup as well as forcing the other team into 12 turnovers and getting 9 steals. With regard to defending, LSU let their opponent shoot 42.3% from the floor on 22 out of 52 shooting. Texas A&M totaled 6 assists and had 6 steals for this game. Furthermore, Texas A&M totaled 39 boards (14 offensive, 25 defensive), but wasn't able to record a rejection. Texas A&M finished the contest at 72.0% when shooting free throws by making 18 of 25 attempts. They buried 4 out of their 15 tries from long range. In the matter of fouls, the Tigers ended up finishing with 24 and Texas A&M accounted for 17 fouls.

Jordan Sears is a player who had an impact in this contest. He scored 21 points on 6 out of 13 shooting. He played 35 minutes and also pulled down 3 rebounds. He shot 46.2% from the field and earned 2 dimes.

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LSU steps onto the court with a record of 14-17 on the year. They cough up possession 13.0 times per contest and as a team are committing 16.8 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, LSU is grabbing 35.7 boards per game and has accumulated 402 assists on the season, which is 239th in the nation in terms of passing the rock. The Tigers are connecting on 30.9% on shots from beyond the arc (245 of 794) and 72.4% from the charity stripe. They average 74.2 points per outing (165th in college hoops) while connecting on 44.6% from the field.

Defensively, the Tigers are forcing 11.5 turnovers every game while drawing 16.6 personal fouls. They are ranked 103rd in the country in allowing assists to the opposition with 387 surrendered so far this year. The Tigers defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 42.2% (818 of 1,939) and they concede 37.8 boards per contest as a squad. They concede 31.7% on shots from distance while they are 216th in the country in PPG allowed (73.0).

In their last game, the Mississippi State Bulldogs took a loss by a final score of 93-92 against Arkansas. The Bulldogs recorded 16 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive boards totaling 26 in the game. They gave up possession of the ball 2 times, while getting 5 steals in the matchup. Arkansas had 15 fouls for the game which got the Bulldogs to the charity stripe for a total of 21 attempts. They were able to bury 16 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 76.2%. Pertaining to 3-point shots, Mississippi State buried 12 of their 32 tries (37.5%). At the conclusion of this game, the Bulldogs shot 32 out of 73 from the field which gave them a percentage of 43.8%. The Bulldogs permitted Arkansas to make 31 of 56 tries from the floor which left them with a rate of 55.4% for the matchup. They went 42.9% from beyond the perimeter by hitting 9 out of 21 and finished the game at 22 out of 27 from the free throw line (81.5%). When it comes to cleaning up the glass, Mississippi State allowed Arkansas to get 36 overall (8 offensive).

Claudell Harris Jr. was important for the Bulldogs in this contest. He recorded 18 points in his 24 mins on the court, but wrapped up this contest with no dimes. He made 6 of 11 for the contest for a rate of 54.5%, and had 2 rebounds.

Mississippi State has a record of 20-11 so far this season. As an offensive unit, the Bulldogs are connecting on 45.2% from the floor, which ranks them 155th in Division 1. Mississippi State has 2,468 pts so far this season (79.6 per contest) and they average 38.1 rebounds per contest. They are assisting teammates 15.3 times per game (73rd in the country) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 10.6 times per contest. The Bulldogs are committing 17.1 personal fouls every game and they shoot 70.1% from the free throw line.

The Bulldogs are ranked 255th in Division 1 in points allowed per game with 74.2. They have forced 13.3 turnovers on a nightly basis and have let teams shoot 43.9% from the floor (189th in college). The Mississippi State defense concedes 36.7% on shots from 3-point land (291 of 792) and their opponents are knocking down 69.7% of their shots from the free throw line. They have surrendered 13.7 dimes and 35.5 rebounds every game, which has them ranked 233rd and 252nd in college hoops.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take LSU

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