LSU Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, 3/1/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: LSU Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

Date: Saturday, March 1, 2025

Location: Humphrey Coliseum in Dekalb, IL

TV: ESPN+

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (19-9) will play the LSU Tigers (14-14) at Humphrey Coliseum on Saturday.

The LSU Tigers faced Tennessee and ended up losing by a score of 65-59 in their last game. LSU finished having earned a 41.2% field goal percentage (21 out of 51) and knocked down 7 out of their 27 shots from beyond the perimeter. From the free throw line, the Tigers converted 10 of 16 attempts for a percentage of 62.5%. When discussing grabbing rebounds, they compiled 22 with 6 of them being offensive. They also doled out 8 assists for the matchup while creating 11 turnovers and having 9 steals. When it comes to defense, LSU allowed the other team to shoot 41.1% from the field on 23 of 56 shooting. Tennessee earned 9 dimes and had 6 steals in the matchup. Furthermore, Tennessee grabbed 37 rebounds (12 offensive, 25 defensive), but didn't have a block. Tennessee went 61.9% from the free throw line by knocking down 13 of their 21 tries. They buried 6 of 22 attempts from 3-point land. When discussing fouls, the Tigers finished with 19 while Tennessee racked up 17 fouls.

Vyctorius Miller is someone who was a major contributor for the contest. He recorded 17 points on 6 out of 11 shooting. He saw the court for 27 minutes played and also snagged 3 rebounds. He ended up shooting 54.5% from the floor but wasn't able to get a dime.

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LSU comes into this contest with a win-loss record of 14-14 on the campaign. They currently have an average of 75.6 points per game (135th in college) while hitting 45.3% from the field. The Tigers are shooting 31.4% on shots from beyond the arc (223 of 710) and 72.5% from the free throw line. As a team, LSU is collecting 36.4 rebounds per contest and has accumulated 373 assists this year, which is 223rd in college hoops in terms of passing the ball. They are turning it over 13.1 times per contest and as a squad they are committing 16.8 fouls per game.

On the defensive end of the court, the Tigers have forced 11.7 turnovers per game and they draw 16.9 personal fouls. They are giving up 31.5% from beyond the arc and they rank 192nd in D-1 in points per game allowed (72.2). The Tigers defense is giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 41.4% (731 of 1,765) and they relinquish 37.7 rebounds per game as a unit. They rank 105th in Division 1 in giving up assists to their opponents with 349 surrendered so far this season.

The last time they took the court, the Mississippi State Bulldogs took a loss by a score of 111-73 against Alabama. Regarding team rebounding, Mississippi State allowed Alabama to grab 40 in total (12 on the offensive side). They wrapped up this game 48.9% from downtown by going 22 out of 45 and ended up going 15 out of 18 at the charity stripe (83.3%). The Bulldogs allowed Alabama to make 37 out of 71 tries from the field which had them shooting 52.1% for the game. Overall, the Bulldogs walked away from this one shooting 28 out of 73 from the field which gave them a rate of 38.4%. Regarding shooting from distance, Mississippi State converted 6 of their 30 attempts (20.0%). They were able to bury 11 of those for a percentage of 73.3%. Alabama committed 16 personal fouls for the game which got the Bulldogs to the free throw line for a total of 15 attempts. They gave up possession of the ball 14 times, while getting 8 steals for this game. The Bulldogs were able to collect 21 defensive rebounds and 16 offensive boards totaling 37 for the matchup.

Josh Hubbard ended up being a major contributor for the Bulldogs in the game. He converted 8 of 22 for the game for a rate of 36.4%, and accounted for 2 rebounds. He recorded 21 points in his 34 minutes of playing time and added 4 assists in this contest.

Mississippi State has a win-loss record of 19-9 on the campaign. In terms of offensive execution, the Bulldogs are connecting on 45.1% from the field, which ranks 164th in the country. Mississippi State has scored 2,213 pts on the year (79.0 per game) and they average 38.5 boards per game. They are assisting teammates 15.4 times per game (68th in the nation) and they are turning it over 10.9 times per contest. The Bulldogs commit 17.0 fouls per game and they go 69.4% from the free throw line.

The Mississippi State defense allows 36.8% on three-point shots (262 of 712) and their opponents are converting on 69.5% of their shots from the free throw line. They have relinquished 13.6 dimes and 35.2 boards per contest, which is 226th and 237th in Division 1. The Bulldogs defensively are ranked 223rd in college hoops in points per game surrendered with 73.3. They are forcing 13.5 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 43.5% from the floor (161st in college).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take LSU

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