LSU Tigers vs Kentucky Wildcats Prediction, 3/4/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: LSU Tigers vs Kentucky Wildcats

Date: Tuesday, March 4, 2025

Location: Rupp Arena in Charlottesville, VA

TV: ESPN+

The LSU Tigers (14-15) are en route to Rupp Arena on Tuesday where they will take on the Kentucky Wildcats (19-10).

The LSU Tigers faced Mississippi State and went home with a loss by a final score of 81-69 in their last game. LSU ended the contest with a 39.1% FG percentage (25 out of 64) and knocked down 9 out of their 36 shots from beyond the arc. At the free throw line, the Tigers buried 10 of their 14 attempts for a rate of 71.4%. When it comes to pulling down rebounds, they collected 29 with 11 of them being offensive. They also distributed 10 assists in this matchup in addition to creating 11 turnovers and having 5 steals. When discussing defending, LSU allowed the other team to shoot 56.9% from the field on 29 out of 51 shooting. Mississippi State recorded 10 assists and had 6 steals for this contest. Moreover, Mississippi State totaled 35 rebounds (8 offensive, 27 defensive), but wasn't able to put a block in the stat sheet. Mississippi State ended up shooting 72.7% at the free throw line by converting 16 of their 22 shots. They also knocked down 7 of their 21 shots from beyond the perimeter. In relation to personal fouls, the Tigers ended up with 16 and Mississippi State had 13 personal fouls.

Camryn Carter is a guy who was a factor in this game. He ended up walking away with 23 points on 9 out of 16 shooting. He was on the court for 34 mins played and grabbed 2 boards. He finished the game shooting 56.3% from the field and recorded 2 dimes.

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LSU steps onto the hardwood with a win-loss record of 14-15 so far this year. They lose possession by turning the ball over 13.0 times per contest and as a squad are committing 16.8 personal fouls per game. As a unit, LSU is grabbing 36.2 rebounds per contest and has 383 assists for the season, which ranks 232nd in Division 1 in terms of passing. The Tigers are hitting 31.1% on 3-pointers (232 of 746) and 72.5% from the charity stripe. They average 75.3 pts per game (139th in the country) while hitting 45.0% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Tigers are able to force 11.7 turnovers per game and they draw 16.8 personal fouls. They are relinquishing 31.6% on 3-point attempts and they are 200th in Division 1 in PPG allowed (72.5). The Tigers defense is allowing a FG percentage of 41.9% (760 of 1,816) and they concede 37.7 boards per game as a group. They are currently ranked 90th in college in allowing assists with 359 surrendered for the season.

When they last stepped on the court, the Kentucky Wildcats took a defeat with a final score of 94-78 when they played Auburn. Regarding rebounds, Kentucky allowed Auburn to get 21 in total (4 offensive). They wrapped up this game 46.2% from 3-point land by hitting 12 out of 26 and ended up shooting 24 of 31 from the free throw line (77.4%). The Wildcats allowed Auburn to knock down 29 of their 56 tries from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 51.8% for the contest. In all, the Wildcats finished the game shooting 23 out of 50 from the floor which had them shooting 46.0%. In regard to shooting from beyond the arc, Kentucky knocked down 4 of their 17 attempts (23.5%). They were able to knock down 28 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 73.7%. Auburn committed 25 personal fouls for the matchup which took the Wildcats to the free throw line for a total of 38 shots. They also turned the ball over 18 times, while recording 5 steals in this game. The Wildcats were able to corral 23 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive rebounds totaling 32 for the matchup.

Koby Brea ended up being a major contributor for the Wildcats for this game. He made 7 of 11 in this matchup for a field goal rate of 63.6%, and had 6 rebounds. He earned 21 points in his 38 minutes on the court and tallied 1 assist in this contest.

Kentucky has a win-loss record of 19-10 on the season. The Wildcats commit 17.4 personal fouls every game and they connect on 73.7% from the charity stripe. Their rate of earning assists is at 17.0 times per game (18th in the country) and they lose possession via turnover 11.0 times per game. Kentucky has accumulated 2,474 points for the season (85.3 per game) and they average 38.8 boards per game. On the offensive side of the ball, the Wildcats are connecting on 48.3% from the floor, which is 28th in D-1.

The Wildcats on the defensive end are ranked 318th in the country in points allowed per game with 77.2. They are forcing their opponents into 10.1 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 43.2% from the floor (143rd in the country). The Kentucky defense surrenders 30.2% from downtown (243 of 804) and opponents are knocking down 71.9% of their free throw attempts. They give up 12.8 assists and 35.2 boards every game, which has them ranked 147th and 237th in Division 1.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Kentucky

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