Loyola Marymount Lions vs St. Mary's Gaels Prediction, 1/7/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Loyola Marymount Lions vs St. Mary's Gaels

Date: Tuesday, January 7, 2025

Location: University Credit Union Pavilion in Moraga, CA

TV: ESPN+

The St. Mary's Gaels (13-3) are welcoming the Loyola Marymount Lions (9-7) at University Credit Union Pavilion on Tuesday.

The Loyola Marymount Lions took the court against Gonzaga and took a loss by a score of 96-68 in their last game. With respect to fouls, the Lions walked away with 15 and Gonzaga finished the game with 21 fouls. They also made 7 of 16 shots from distance. Gonzaga went 92.9% from the free throw line by converting 13 of their 14 attempts. In addition, Gonzaga collected 37 boards (10 offensive, 27 defensive), but couldn't earn a rejection. Gonzaga recorded 16 assists and had 8 steals for the contest. In regard to defending, Loyola Marymount allowed their opponent to shoot 52.8% from the field on 38 of 72 shooting. They also dished out 10 assists for this game as well as forcing the other team into 6 turnovers and having 3 steals. Pertaining to grabbing rebounds, they earned a total of 27 with 7 of them being on the offensive end. From the charity stripe, the Lions knocked down 18 of their 25 tries for a rate of 72.0%. Loyola Marymount finished the contest having earned a 38.2% field goal percentage (21 of 55) and made 8 of 24 shots from 3-point land.

Will Johnston is one guy who came through in the game. He accounted for 18 points on 5 out of 11 shooting. He saw the court for 28 mins played and collected 1 rebound. He finished 45.5% from the field and earned 1 assist.

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Loyola Marymount enters this matchup with a mark of 9-7 for the campaign. They average 71.3 pts per game (275th in D-1) while shooting 43.2% from the field. The Lions are connecting on 33.1% on three-point attempts (136 of 411) and 69.5% from the free throw line. As a unit, Loyola Marymount is snagging 35.6 rebounds per contest and has 222 assists on the season, which ranks 130th in Division 1 in terms of passing the ball. They turn the ball over 11.4 times per game and as a unit are committing 16.2 personal fouls on a nightly basis.

Defensively, the Lions are forcing their opponents into 11.1 turnovers per game and they draw 15.3 personal fouls. They are surrendering 32.9% on shots from downtown and they rank 167th in the country in points per game allowed (70.7). The Lions are giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 42.3% (411 of 972) and they surrender 36.6 boards per contest as a unit. They are currently ranked 240th in D-1 in allowing assists to their opponents with 205 conceded for the season.

The last time they took the court, the St. Mary's Gaels took home the win by a final score of 81-58 when they faced Portland. The Gaels pulled down 23 defensive boards and 17 offensive rebounds totaling 40 for this game. They also gave up possession of the ball 7 times, while recording 10 steals for the game. Portland committed 20 fouls for the matchup which took the Gaels to the charity stripe for a total of 19 shots. They were able to knock down 13 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 68.4%. When it comes to three-point shots, St. Mary's converted 8 of their 21 tries (38.1%). When the game finished, the Gaels went 30 for 68 from the floor which gave them a rate of 44.1%. The Gaels permitted Portland to bury 20 out of their 54 attempts from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 37.0% in this contest. They shot 35.0% from three-point range by connecting on 7 of 20 and ended up going 11 out of 14 from the free throw line (78.6%). When talking about attacking the glass, St. Mary's permitted Portland to snag 28 in all (9 on the offensive side).

Augustas Marciulionis pitched in for the Gaels in the game. He made 7 out of 16 in the matchup giving him a rate of 43.8%, and added 6 rebounds. He accumulated 20 points in his 31 mins of playing time and accumulated 6 assists for this game.

St. Mary's has a win-loss mark of 13-3 this season. The Gaels are committing 15.9 personal fouls every game while shooting 67.2% from the charity stripe. They are getting an assist 16.9 times per game (41st in Division 1) and they lose possession via turnover 10.6 times per game. St. Mary's has tallied 1,201 pts so far this season (75.1 per contest) and they collect 41.8 boards per contest. As an offensive unit, the Gaels are shooting 44.6% from the field, which ranks them 212th in college.

The St. Mary's defense surrenders 31.8% on shots from 3-point land (94 of 296) and their opponents are knocking down 73.8% of their free throw attempts. They concede 13.0 dimes and 31.4 boards every game, which ranks them 190th and 39th in those defensive categories. The Gaels on the defensive end are ranked 17th in D-1 in points given up per game with 62.4. They have forced 12.3 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 40.2% from the floor (52nd in the country).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take St. Mary's

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