Liberty Flames vs Oregon Ducks Prediction, 3/21/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Liberty Flames vs Oregon Ducks

Date: Friday, March 21, 2025

Location: Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, WA

TV: truTV

Odds/Point Spread: Oregon (-6)

The Liberty Flames (28-6) are hitting the road to Climate Pledge Arena on Friday where they will attempt to defeat the Oregon Ducks (24-9) in the 1st round of the NCAA Tournament. Liberty opens this matchup as 6-point underdogs. The total is 139.

The Liberty Flames took the court against Jacksonville State and walked away with a win by a score of 79-67 in their last game. Liberty ended the game having earned a 60.0% FG percentage (30 out of 50) and knocked down 12 of their 20 shots from 3-point land. At the free throw line, the Flames buried 7 of their 9 attempts for a percentage of 77.8%. Pertaining to rebounding, they compiled 24 with 1 of them being of the offensive variety. They also recorded 18 dimes in the game as well as creating 5 turnovers and having 3 steals. In regard to defense, Liberty allowed their opponent to shoot 43.6% from the field on 24 out of 55 shooting. Jacksonville State distributed 11 dimes and had 6 steals in the game. Additionally, Jacksonville State collected 27 boards (9 offensive, 18 defensive), but finished the game with no rejections. Jacksonville State shot 52.0% from the charity stripe by burying 13 of their 25 attempts. They also made 6 out of their 18 shots from three-point range. In reference to fouls, the Flames walked away with 18 while Jacksonville State had 13 fouls.

Kaden Metheny is a player who was a major factor for the contest. He finished the contest at 46.7% from the field and earned 3 dimes. He played 33 mins played and also totaled 1 rebound. He accounted for 21 points on 7 out of 15 shooting.

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Liberty will enter this contest with a win-loss mark of 28-6 for the campaign. They are averaging 76.6 points per game (105th in the country) on 49.4% from the field. The Flames are connecting on 39.0% on shots from distance (359 of 921) and 66.1% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Liberty is grabbing 33.0 boards per game and has totaled 574 dimes for the season, which ranks 9th in the nation in terms of passing. They lose possession by turning the ball over 10.1 times per game and as a team they are committing 13.5 fouls every game.

On defense, the Flames are forcing 12.0 turnovers per contest while drawing 14.4 personal fouls. They are currently ranked 7th in D-1 in allowing assists to the opposition with 318 surrendered for the season. The Flames defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 40.1% (792 of 1,975) and they relinquish 34.1 rebounds per game as a squad. They are surrendering 28.3% on three-point shots and they are ranked 10th in college hoops in PPG allowed (62.9).

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Oregon Ducks went home defeated by a final of 74-64 against Michigan State. The Ducks collected 23 defensive rebounds and 5 offensive boards totaling 28 for this game. They also gave up possession 15 times, while getting 4 steals in the matchup. Michigan State earned 14 personal fouls in the game which took the Ducks to the free throw line for 14 attempts. They were able to make 10 of the free throws for a rate of 71.4%. Regarding three-point shots, Oregon knocked down 4 of their 19 tries (21.1%). When the game finished, the Ducks ended up shooting 25 out of 53 from the field which had them shooting 47.2%. The Ducks permitted Michigan State to convert 25 of their 54 tries from the field which had them at 46.3% for the contest. They finished 46.7% from beyond the arc by connecting on 7 out of 15 and ended up going 17 of 29 from the free throw line (58.6%). Regarding team rebounding, Oregon allowed Michigan State to grab 33 in all (9 on the offensive side).

Nathan Bittle ended up being a factor for the Ducks in this game. He had 22 points in his 34 minutes on the court, but finished this game without an assist. He buried 9 of 15 in the game for a field goal rate of 60.0%, and added 11 rebounds.

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Oregon has a record of 24-9 for the campaign. As an offense, the Ducks are connecting on 45.7% from the field, which is ranked 121st in college. Oregon has accounted for 2,515 pts on the season (76.2 per contest) and they collect 35.5 boards per contest. They are earning an assist 14.6 times per game (111th in the country) and they are losing possession via turnover 11.3 times per game. The Ducks are responsible for committing 16.4 personal fouls per game and they hit 76.3% from the free throw line.

The Ducks on the defensive end are ranked 148th in college hoops in points per game surrendered with 70.9. They have forced 12.2 TO's every game and have let teams shoot 43.1% from the field (135th in college hoops). The Oregon defense gives up 31.7% from downtown (235 of 741) and opponents are converting on 72.1% of their shots from the free throw line. They surrender 13.0 dimes and 33.7 rebounds per contest, which is 178th and 136th in those categories.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Oregon (-6)

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