Liberty Flames vs MTSU Blue Raiders Prediction, 3/6/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Liberty Flames vs MTSU Blue Raiders

Date: Thursday, March 6, 2025

Location: Murphy Center in Memphis, TN

TV: ESPN+

Murphy Center is the site where the MTSU Blue Raiders (20-9) will attempt to defeat the Liberty Flames (23-6) on Thursday.

The Liberty Flames took the court against Kennesaw State and ended up losing by a score of 85-80 in their last game. In relation to personal fouls, the Flames ended up walking away with 16 while Kennesaw State recorded 24 personal fouls. They also converted 11 of 29 tries from beyond the perimeter. Kennesaw State ended up going 76.9% from the free throw line by making 10 of 13 shots. On top of that, Kennesaw State had 35 rebounds (6 offensive, 29 defensive), but finished the game with no rejections. Kennesaw State distributed 17 dimes and had 6 steals in this matchup. In regard to defending, Liberty allowed their opponent to shoot 50.8% from the field on 32 of 63 shooting. They also distributed 15 assists in this matchup in addition to forcing the opposition into 10 turnovers and earning 5 steals. In terms of hauling in boards, they collected a total of 26 with 2 of them being on the offensive end. At the charity stripe, the Flames converted 27 of 36 attempts for a percentage of 75.0%. Liberty ended the game having earned a 45.8% FG percentage (22 of 48) and made 9 of their 24 3-pointers.

Kaden Metheny is a guy who was a contributor for this contest. He totaled 16 points on 4 out of 11 shooting. He was on the court for 32 minutes but finished the game without grabbing a rebound. He finished the contest at 36.4% from the field but finished the game without a dime.

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Liberty will take the court with a mark of 23-6 on the campaign. They are averaging 75.4 pts per contest (134th in Division 1) while going 48.5% from the field. The Flames are hitting 37.8% on shots from downtown (297 of 786) and 65.4% from the charity stripe. As a team, Liberty is collecting 33.3 rebounds per game and has earned 477 assists for the season, which has them ranked 53rd in the country in terms of passing the ball. They are turning it over 10.2 times per contest and as a squad they are committing 12.7 fouls per contest.

Defensively, the Flames have forced 12.6 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 14.2 personal fouls. They are 3rd in college in giving up assists to the opposition with 269 relinquished this year. The Flames are giving up a FG percentage of 40.0% (670 of 1,676) and they concede 34.0 boards per contest as a team. They are relinquishing 27.7% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they are 8th in college hoops in PPG allowed (61.7).

When they last stepped on the court, the MTSU Blue Raiders got the victory with a final of 76-75 against UTEP. With respect to attacking the glass, MTSU permitted UTEP to snag 40 in total (5 offensive). They shot 21.7% from beyond the arc by connecting on 5 of 23 and ended up shooting 16 out of 22 at the charity stripe (72.7%). The Blue Raiders permitted UTEP to bury 27 out of their 64 attempts from the field which left them with a rate of 42.2% for the game. When the game finished, the Blue Raiders finished the game shooting 30 for 78 from the floor which gave them a rate of 38.5%. With regard to three-point attempts, MTSU made 8 out of their 37 attempts (21.6%). They were able to knock down 8 of those for a percentage of 53.3%. UTEP earned 13 personal fouls for this contest which took the Blue Raiders to the free throw line for a total of 15 tries. They gave up possession 11 times, while getting 6 steals in this game. The Blue Raiders collected 31 defensive boards and 12 offensive rebounds for a total of 43 for this game.

Essam Mostafa pitched in for the Blue Raiders in this matchup. He buried 6 out of 9 in the matchup for a field goal rate of 66.7%, and totaled 16 rebounds. He scored 16 points in his 35 mins on the hardwood and earned 2 assists for this contest.

MTSU has a win-loss mark of 20-9 for the campaign. The Blue Raiders commit 17.0 fouls every game and they go 67.8% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 12.5 times per game (267th in the nation) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 11.2 times per contest. MTSU has scored 2,201 points on the season (75.9 per game) and they snag 38.0 boards per game. As an offense, the Blue Raiders are connecting on 45.3% from the floor, which ranks them 149th in the nation.

The Blue Raiders are ranked 161st in Division 1 in PPG given up with 71.4. They are forcing 11.7 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 42.0% from the field (85th in college hoops). The MTSU defense gives up 30.7% on shots from beyond the perimeter (197 of 641) and their opposition knocks down 73.5% of their free throw attempts. They surrender 12.5 dimes and 35.8 total boards per game, which is ranked 126th and 268th in college hoops.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take MTSU

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