Fresno State Bulldogs vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction, 2/18/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Fresno State Bulldogs vs San Diego State Aztecs

Date: Tuesday, February 18, 2025

Location: Viejas Arena in Cincinnati, OH

TV: ESPN+

The Fresno State Bulldogs (5-20) are on their way to Viejas Arena on Tuesday where they will compete against the San Diego State Aztecs (16-6).

The Fresno State Bulldogs stepped onto the hardwood against Nevada and went home with a loss by a final score of 94-69 in their last contest. With respect to personal fouls, the Bulldogs finished with 12 while Nevada finished the game with 16 personal fouls. They made 13 of 29 attempts from 3-point land. Nevada finished shooting 50.0% when shooting free throws by knocking down 5 of 10 attempts. On top of that, Nevada grabbed 33 rebounds (8 offensive, 25 defensive), but didn't notch a rejection. Nevada dished out 30 dimes and had 9 steals in the matchup. When discussing defense, Fresno State let their opponent shoot 61.3% from the floor on 38 of 62 shooting. They also doled out 17 dimes for this contest in addition to forcing the other team into 11 turnovers and having 8 steals. When it comes to grabbing rebounds, they earned a total of 24 with 8 of them being of the offensive variety. When they shot from the free throw line, the Bulldogs converted 14 of their 22 attempts for a rate of 63.6%. Fresno State ended the contest having earned a 42.3% FG percentage (22 out of 52) and made 11 of their 25 shots from 3-point land.

Jasir Tremble is one player who played a role for the contest. He finished 60.0% from the floor and dished out 2 assists. He was on the hardwood for 20 mins and snagged 2 rebounds. He was able to score 19 points on 6 of 10 shooting.

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Fresno State enters this one with a win-loss mark of 5-20 so far this season. They currently have an average of 72.8 points per outing (225th in D-1) while hitting 40.8% from the field. The Bulldogs are connecting on 31.8% on 3-point shots (175 of 550) and 69.3% from the free throw line. As a team, Fresno State is pulling in 35.0 boards per game and has tallied 287 assists on the season, which is 325th in the nation in terms of passing. They are giving up possession 13.2 times per game and as a unit they are committing 16.0 personal fouls per game.

On defense, the Bulldogs are forcing their opponents into 13.8 turnovers per game and they draw 18.7 fouls. They give up 35.3% on 3-point shots and they rank 359th in Division 1 in PPG allowed (82.9). The Bulldogs are giving up a FG percentage of 47.6% (777 of 1,631) and they surrender 41.6 boards per game as a group. They are currently ranked 360th in D-1 in giving up assists with 438 surrendered on the year.

In their last game, the San Diego State Aztecs walked away with a victory by a final of 69-66 against San Jose State. In the matter of rebounding, San Diego State allowed San Jose State to grab 32 in total (15 on the offensive glass). They shot 33.3% from distance by connecting on 11 of 33 and finished the game at 3 out of 10 at the free throw line (30.0%). The Aztecs allowed San Jose State to bury 26 of their 64 attempts from the field which gave them a percentage of 40.6% for this game. In all, the Aztecs finished shooting 24 out of 59 from the field which gave them a percentage of 40.7%. In terms of shooting from distance, San Diego State buried 4 out of 23 tries (17.4%). They were able to make 17 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 77.3%. San Jose State earned 18 fouls in the game which took the Aztecs to the free throw line for a total of 22 tries. They turned the ball over 15 times, while getting 10 steals in this contest. The Aztecs recorded 23 defensive rebounds and 15 offensive boards totaling 38 for this game.

Nick Boyd was important for the Aztecs in this contest. He scored 17 points in his 32 mins on the court and added 4 assists in the matchup. He buried 5 out of 13 in this matchup for a rate of 38.5%, and accumulated 1 rebound.

San Diego State has a record of 16-6 this season. When it comes to offense, the Aztecs are connecting on 43.2% from the field, which is ranked 267th in college. San Diego State has scored 1,564 points on the campaign (71.1 per game) and they average 37.2 boards per contest. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 12.7 times per contest (261st in college hoops) and they are giving up possession 11.1 times per game. The Aztecs are committing 18.5 fouls every game while shooting 68.2% from the charity stripe.

The San Diego State defense gives up 29.9% on shots from behind the 3-point line (171 of 571) and their opponents are converting on 69.2% of their shots from the charity stripe. They give up 11.0 dimes and 35.7 boards on a nightly basis, which has them ranked 32nd and 262nd in those defensive categories. The Aztecs on the defensive end are ranked 12th in D-1 in points per game surrendered with 63.3. They have forced 13.6 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 37.0% from the field (2nd in college).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Diego State

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