Fresno State Bulldogs vs New Mexico Lobos Prediction, 1/20/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Fresno State Bulldogs vs New Mexico Lobos

Date: Monday, January 20, 2025

Location: The Pit in Albuquerque, NM

TV: ESPN+

The New Mexico Lobos (14-4) welcome the Fresno State Bulldogs (4-13) at The Pit on Monday.

The Fresno State Bulldogs played Nevada and ended up losing by a score of 77-66 in their last game. In regard to personal fouls, the Bulldogs ended up finishing with 23 and Nevada had 22 personal fouls. They also buried 5 out of their 29 tries from beyond the arc. Nevada finished the game at 72.0% from the charity stripe by knocking down 18 of 25 shots. In addition, Nevada collected 48 rebounds (16 offensive, 32 defensive), but didn't have a block. Nevada totaled 12 assists and had 6 steals for this contest. Concerning defending, Fresno State let their opponent shoot 39.1% from the field on 27 out of 69 shooting. They also distributed 12 dimes for the game while forcing 11 turnovers and earning 7 steals. Regarding pulling down rebounds, they earned 32 with 6 of them being of the offensive sort. At the charity stripe, the Bulldogs made 19 of their 27 tries for a percentage of 70.4%. Fresno State finished the game with a 34.5% FG percentage (19 of 55) and converted 9 out of their 24 shots from distance.

David Douglas Jr. is one player who was a factor in the game. He finished the game shooting 35.7% from the floor but didn't record a dime. He was on the hardwood for 18 minutes but did not grab any boards. He was able to score 16 points on 5 out of 14 shooting.

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Fresno State will play this contest with a record of 4-13 on the year. They turn it over 13.1 times per game and as a team they commit 17.1 personal fouls every game. As a unit, Fresno State is snagging 36.1 boards per contest and is sitting with 193 assists on the campaign, which ranks 341st in college in terms of passing the ball. The Bulldogs are connecting on 32.2% from downtown (123 of 382) and 66.3% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 73.1 points per outing (233rd in D-1) on 40.2% from the field.

When they are on defense, the Bulldogs are forcing 14.2 turnovers per game and they draw 19.1 personal fouls. They surrender 33.4% on 3-pointers and they are ranked 356th in the nation in points per game allowed (82.5). The Bulldogs defense is allowing a field goal percentage of 46.8% (527 of 1,125) and they concede 42.9 rebounds per game as a group. They rank 327th in college hoops in giving up assists to their opponents with 276 relinquished for the season.

When they last played, the New Mexico Lobos took a defeat with a final score of 71-70 when they faced San Jose State. The Lobos snagged 23 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive rebounds totaling 33 in this matchup. They also gave up possession of the ball 8 times, while recording 7 steals for the contest. San Jose State was called for 15 fouls in this game which took the Lobos to the free throw line for 19 shots. They were able to make 13 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 68.4%. When talking about 3-point attempts, New Mexico made 3 of their 15 attempts (20.0%). When this game wrapped up, the Lobos finished shooting 27 for 66 from the floor which had them sitting at 40.9%. The Lobos allowed San Jose State to bury 28 of their 65 attempts from the floor which left them with a shooting percentage of 43.1% in the matchup. They finished shooting 45.5% from three-point range by shooting 10 out of 22 and ended up going 5 out of 8 from the charity stripe (62.5%). When it comes to cleaning the glass, New Mexico allowed San Jose State to get 33 in total (8 on the offensive glass).

Nelly Junior Joseph ended up being a factor for the Lobos in this contest. He racked up 20 points in his 20 minutes on the hardwood, but finished this game without an assist. He made 7 out of 10 in the matchup for a field goal percentage of 70.0%, and earned 6 rebounds.

New Mexico has a record of 14-4 so far this season. As an offensive unit, the Lobos are shooting 45.4% from the floor, which is ranked 152nd in D-1. New Mexico has scored 1,498 pts for the campaign (83.2 per game) and they grab 40.1 boards per contest. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 16.2 times per game (60th in the nation) and they turn it over 11.8 times per contest. The Lobos have committed 18.4 fouls per contest while shooting 68.2% from the free throw line.

The New Mexico defense concedes 37.3% on shots from beyond the perimeter (146 of 391) and opponents are making 64.6% of their free throw shots. They have conceded 14.7 assists and 36.8 boards every game, which is 292nd and 296th in those categories. The Lobos are ranked 234th in college hoops in PPG surrendered with 73.1. They are able to force 16.0 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 43.3% from the field (194th in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Fresno State

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