Florida State Seminoles vs Virginia Cavaliers Prediction, 3/4/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Florida State Seminoles vs Virginia Cavaliers

Date: Tuesday, March 4, 2025

Location: John Paul Jones Arena in Fresno, CA

TV: ESPN+

The Florida State Seminoles (16-13) are traveling to John Paul Jones Arena on Tuesday where they will meet the Virginia Cavaliers (14-15).

The Florida State Seminoles faced off with Duke and took a loss by a score of 100-65 in their last contest. Florida State walked away from the contest having earned a 38.6% field goal percentage (22 out of 57) and converted 7 of their 21 shots from beyond the perimeter. From the charity stripe, the Seminoles knocked down 14 of their 17 tries for a rate of 82.4%. With regard to grabbing boards, they earned a total of 27 with 6 of them being offensive. They also doled out 8 assists as well as forcing the opposition into 4 turnovers, but wasn't able to record a steal. When discussing defense, Florida State allowed the other team to shoot 43.8% from the floor on 32 out of 73 shooting. Duke earned 17 assists and had 7 steals for the contest. Moreover, Duke had 45 boards (18 offensive, 27 defensive), but wasn't able to record a block. Duke walked away from this one shooting 82.4% at the free throw line by knocking down 28 of 34 shots. They also made 8 of their 30 attempts from distance. With respect to fouls, the Seminoles ended up walking away with 25 and Duke recorded 20 fouls.

Jamir Watkins is one player who was a major factor for the contest. He recorded 21 points on 8 out of 18 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 33 minutes and snagged 8 rebounds. He shot 44.4% from the floor and also dished out 3 assists.

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Florida State steps onto the hardwood with a record of 16-13 for the season. They cough up possession 12.4 times per game and as a team are committing 19.3 personal fouls every game. As a unit, Florida State is pulling in 34.6 rebounds per game and has accumulated 386 assists for the season, which has them ranked 228th in the country in terms of passing the rock. The Seminoles are connecting on 31.9% on three-point attempts (181 of 568) and 71.8% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 75.4 points per game (135th in college hoops) while shooting 45.7% from the field.

Defensively, the Seminoles are able to force 13.5 turnovers every game and they draw 19.2 fouls. They are 97th in D-1 in giving up assists with 362 conceded for the year. The Seminoles defense is giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 41.8% (709 of 1,697) and they relinquish 35.6 boards per game as a team. They are surrendering 32.0% from beyond the arc and they are 222nd in Division 1 in opponents PPG (73.2).

When they last stepped on the court, the Virginia Cavaliers took a loss by a score of 71-58 against Clemson. The Cavaliers were able to collect 22 defensive boards and 4 offensive boards for a total of 26 in this contest. They turned it over 9 times, while getting 3 steals for this game. Clemson was called for 11 fouls for the matchup which took the Cavaliers to the charity stripe for 10 attempts. They were able to convert 6 of the free throws for a rate of 60.0%. In relation to shooting from 3-point land, Virginia made 8 of their 19 attempts (42.1%). When the game finished, the Cavaliers went 22 for 52 from the field which had them sitting at 42.3%. The Cavaliers allowed Clemson to convert 26 of 55 tries from the floor which had them sitting at 47.3% for the contest. They finished 10.0% from beyond the perimeter by shooting 1 out of 10 and finished the game at 18 out of 23 from the free throw line (78.3%). In relation to how they rebounded, Virginia permitted Clemson to collect 32 in total (7 on the offensive glass).

Isaac McKneely pitched in for the Cavaliers for the contest. He earned 16 points in his 39 mins on the court, but went home with no dimes. He converted 5 of 13 in the game giving him a field goal percentage of 38.5%, and tallied 3 rebounds.

Virginia has a win-loss record of 14-15 so far this season. When it comes to offensive execution, the Cavaliers are hitting on 44.9% from the field, which ranks 178th in college hoops. Virginia has earned 1,883 pts on the campaign (64.9 per game) and they collect 29.7 boards per game. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 15.1 times per game (84th in college hoops) and they turn it over 10.0 times per game. The Cavaliers have committed 15.2 fouls every game and they hit 75.2% from the free throw line.

The Virginia defense allows 34.2% on shots from distance (214 of 626) and their opponents are connecting on 75.3% of their shots from the charity stripe. They give up 11.8 assists and 32.5 rebounds on a nightly basis, which is 64th and 67th in the country. The Cavaliers on defense are ranked 40th in the nation in PPG surrendered with 66.6. They are able to force 9.4 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 44.0% from the floor (194th in college).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Florida State

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