Florida Gators vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, 2/11/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Florida Gators vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

Date: Tuesday, February 11, 2025

Location: Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville, MS

TV: ESPN+

The Florida Gators (20-3) are traveling to Humphrey Coliseum on Tuesday where they will try to beat the Mississippi State Bulldogs (17-6).

The Florida Gators faced off with Auburn and earned the victory with a final of 90-81 in their last game. Concerning personal fouls, the Gators walked away with 19 while Auburn totaled 16 personal fouls. They also made 7 of their 22 tries from beyond the perimeter. Auburn walked away from this one shooting 60.9% when shooting free throws by knocking down 14 of their 23 shots. In addition, Auburn collected 39 boards (15 offensive, 24 defensive), but couldn't earn a rejection. Auburn distributed 16 assists and had 6 steals in this matchup. In reference to defense, Florida allowed the other team to shoot 42.9% from the floor on 30 of 70 shooting. They also doled out 22 assists for the matchup as well as forcing 8 turnovers and earning 5 steals. With respect to hauling in boards, they collected a total of 36 with 9 of them being on the offensive end. From the free throw line, the Gators converted 15 of their 18 attempts for a percentage of 83.3%. Florida ended the contest having earned a 48.4% field goal percentage (31 of 64) and buried 13 out of their 33 3-pointers.

Walter Clayton Jr. is a guy who had an impact for this game. He finished with 19 points on 6 out of 11 shooting. He played for 40 minutes played and also totaled 6 rebounds. He finished the game at 54.5% from the field and distributed 9 dimes.

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Florida enters this contest with a record of 20-3 on the year. They are averaging 83.7 pts per game (16th in D-1) while hitting 46.6% from the floor. The Gators are hitting 34.2% on shots from downtown (213 of 623) and 71.6% from the charity stripe. As a team, Florida is collecting 43.3 rebounds per game and has totaled 357 assists this season, which is 111th in D-1 in terms of passing. They lose possession by turning the ball over 11.1 times per game and as a squad are committing 16.3 fouls every game.

On the defensive end, the Gators are forcing 12.5 turnovers per game and they draw 16.8 fouls. They are 27th in the country in giving up assists to the opposition with 254 relinquished for the campaign. The Gators defensively are giving up an opponent FG percentage of 38.7% (546 of 1,411) and they surrender 33.9 boards per contest as a team. They give up 28.2% on shots from distance and they are ranked 44th in college hoops in PPG allowed (66.4).

When they last stepped on the court, the Mississippi State Bulldogs walked away with a victory by a final of 76-75 against Georgia. When discussing how they cleaned up the glass, Mississippi State permitted Georgia to get 28 in all (7 on the offensive glass). They shot 38.1% from beyond the perimeter by shooting 8 out of 21 and ended up going 17 out of 22 from the free throw line (77.3%). The Bulldogs permitted Georgia to make 25 of 54 attempts from the floor which left them with a rate of 46.3% for this contest. Overall, the Bulldogs shot 32 for 58 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 55.2%. In terms of three-point shots, Mississippi State converted 6 out of 20 tries (30.0%). They were able to bury 6 of those for a rate of 33.3%. Georgia committed 14 personal fouls in the game which got the Bulldogs to the free throw line for 18 attempts. They gave up possession of the ball 9 times, while recording 9 steals for the game. The Bulldogs recorded 20 defensive boards and 9 offensive boards for a total of 29 in the game.

Josh Hubbard was important for the Bulldogs for the matchup. He scored 16 points in his 38 mins of playing time and had 6 dimes for the game. He buried 7 of 14 for this game for a field goal percentage of 50.0%, and added 3 rebounds.

Mississippi State has a win-loss record of 17-6 on the year. The Bulldogs commit 16.7 fouls per contest and they hit 67.9% from the charity stripe. They are dishing out assists 15.7 times per game (65th in the nation) and they are turning it over 10.3 times per game. Mississippi State has accounted for 1,834 pts this season (79.7 per game) and they pull in 38.0 boards per contest. On the offensive side of the court, the Bulldogs are hitting on 46.0% from the field, which is ranked 115th in college.

The Mississippi State defense gives up 36.0% on shots from distance (201 of 558) and their opponents are making 69.0% of their shots from the charity stripe. They give up 12.7 assists and 35.0 rebounds per game, which ranks 150th and 229th in college. The Bulldogs on the defensive side of the court are 178th in college hoops in points per game surrendered with 71.3. They are forcing 13.8 TO's every game and have let teams shoot 43.1% from the floor (152nd in college).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Florida

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