Florida Atlantic Owls vs Dayton Flyers Prediction, 3/19/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Florida Atlantic Owls vs Dayton Flyers

Date: Wednesday, March 19, 2025

Location: Eleanor R. Baldwin Arena in Boca Raton, FL

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Florida Atlantic (+2)

Eleanor R. Baldwin Arena is the location where the Dayton Flyers (22-10) will go up against the Florida Atlantic Owls (18-15) on Wednesday in the 1st round of the NIT. Dayton opens this game as 2-point favorites. The over/under is 150.

The Florida Atlantic Owls faced off with Tulane and went home with a loss by a final score of 83-76 in their last contest. Florida Atlantic finished the game with a 36.2% FG percentage (25 out of 69) and converted 9 of their 33 three-point shots. At the charity stripe, the Owls converted 17 of 24 attempts for a percentage of 70.8%. When discussing grabbing rebounds, they compiled 39 with 17 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 16 dimes in this game in addition to forcing the other team into 5 turnovers and having 1 steal. In regard to defense, Florida Atlantic let their opponent shoot 48.1% from the floor on 26 out of 54 shooting. Tulane dished out 18 dimes and had 3 steals for the contest. Moreover, Tulane collected 34 rebounds (9 offensive, 25 defensive), but didn't record a block for the team. Tulane finished the game shooting 78.1% at the free throw line by making 25 of their 32 shots. They made 6 of their 13 attempts from three-point range. With respect to fouls, the Owls walked away with 22 while Tulane finished the game with 20 fouls.

Matas Vokietaitis is a guy who had an impact in this matchup. He left the arena with 21 points on 9 of 11 shooting. He played for 29 minutes played and snagged 12 rebounds. He shot 81.8% from the field but didn't record an assist.

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Florida Atlantic comes into this one with a win-loss record of 18-15 so far this season. They are losing possession via turnover 11.4 times per contest and as a squad are committing 17.3 fouls every game. As a team, Florida Atlantic is pulling down 37.1 rebounds per contest and has racked up 530 assists on the campaign, which is 39th in college in terms of passing the ball. The Owls are shooting 35.1% on shots from beyond the arc (287 of 818) and 69.8% from the free throw line. They are averaging 78.7 points per outing (65th in Division 1) while going 46.2% from the floor.

On the defensive end, the Owls are forcing 11.7 turnovers per game while drawing 17.2 fouls. They are ranked 236th in college in allowing assists to the opposition with 445 conceded this season. The Owls defense is allowing a field goal percentage of 43.0% (865 of 2,011) and they surrender 36.1 boards per game as a unit. They relinquish 36.7% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they rank 279th in college in points per game allowed (75.2).

When they last stepped on the court, the Dayton Flyers walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 73-68 when they faced Saint Joseph's. Concerning cleaning the glass, Dayton permitted Saint Joseph's to pull down 42 in all (9 on the offensive glass). They went 30.0% from 3-point land by hitting 9 out of 30 and ended up shooting 20 out of 28 from the charity stripe (71.4%). The Flyers permitted Saint Joseph's to make 22 of 63 tries from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 34.9% in the game. Overall, the Flyers went 26 out of 71 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 36.6%. In reference to three-point shots, Dayton buried 9 out of 28 tries (32.1%). They were able to knock down 7 of them for a percentage of 63.6%. Saint Joseph's had 14 personal fouls in the game which took the Flyers to the charity stripe for a total of 11 shots. They gave up possession 9 times, while earning 4 steals in the matchup. The Flyers were able to snag 33 defensive rebounds and 7 offensive boards totaling 40 for the matchup.

Amael L'Etang pitched in for the Flyers for this contest. He made 5 of 14 in this contest for a field goal percentage of 35.7%, and accounted for 6 rebounds. He earned 15 points in his 29 mins of playing time and totaled 2 assists for this game.

Dayton has a win-loss record of 22-10 so far this year. As an offense, the Flyers are connecting on 45.6% from the floor, which is ranked 126th in D-1. Dayton has totaled 2,406 points for the campaign (75.2 per contest) and they collect 34.4 rebounds per contest. They are earning an assist 15.2 times per contest (72nd in college hoops) and they are turning it over 10.5 times per game. The Flyers have committed 15.6 fouls every game and they connect on 74.6% from the charity stripe.

The Flyers on defense are ranked 122nd in D-1 in PPG surrendered with 70.1. They are able to force 11.9 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 43.2% from the field (141st in the nation). The Dayton defense surrenders 32.2% from downtown (252 of 782) and their opposition knocks down 74.5% of their foul shots. They allow 12.4 assists and 33.0 total rebounds per game, which has them ranked 120th and 96th in college hoops.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Dayton (-2)

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