Dayton Flyers vs UMass Minutemen Prediction, 1/8/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Dayton Flyers vs UMass Minutemen

Date: Wednesday, January 8, 2025

Location: Mullins Center in Amherst, MA

TV: ESPN+

The UMass Minutemen (5-10) will take on the Dayton Flyers (11-4) at Mullins Center on Wednesday.

The Dayton Flyers took the court against George Washington and ended up losing by a score of 82-62 in their last game. In regard to fouls, the Flyers ended up finishing with 14 while George Washington finished the game with 14 fouls. They made 15 of 31 attempts from beyond the arc. George Washington shot 73.3% at the charity stripe by making 11 of their 15 shots. Additionally, George Washington had 31 rebounds (8 offensive, 23 defensive), but wasn't able to put a block in the stat sheet. George Washington doled out 16 assists and had 8 steals for the game. In regard to defense, Dayton allowed 45.9% from the floor on 28 of 61 shooting. They also distributed 10 dimes for the game while forcing 10 turnovers and having 8 steals. With respect to getting rebounds, they earned a total of 35 with 10 of them being offensive. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Flyers converted 16 of their 20 tries for a rate of 80.0%. Dayton ended the game having earned a 35.0% FG percentage (21 of 60) and converted 4 out of their 15 shots from beyond the arc.

Nate Santos is someone who had an impact in this contest. He recorded 23 points on 7 of 16 shooting. He saw the court for 34 mins and also snagged 3 rebounds. He ended up going 43.8% from the field but had no assists when the game ended.

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Dayton comes into this one with a mark of 11-4 on the campaign. They are giving up possession 9.8 times per contest and as a team they are committing 14.7 personal fouls per game. As a unit, Dayton is collecting 35.8 boards per game and has tallied 248 dimes for the year, which has them ranked 50th in college in terms of passing the rock. The Flyers are connecting on 34.8% on shots beyond the perimeter (115 of 330) and 72.0% from the free throw line. They average 76.6 points per outing (153rd in the country) while connecting on 47.7% from the field.

On defense, the Flyers are able to force 11.1 turnovers per contest and they draw 18.1 personal fouls. They currently rank 113th in Division 1 in giving up assists with 176 surrendered for the year. The Flyers defensively are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 42.1% (363 of 862) and they relinquish 31.6 rebounds per game as a unit. They surrender 33.3% on three-point shots and they rank 99th in D-1 in PPG allowed (68.3).

When they last played, the UMass Minutemen walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 72-64 when they faced Richmond. The Minutemen were able to pull down 26 defensive rebounds and 8 offensive rebounds for a total of 34 in this game. They also coughed up the ball 17 times, while earning 6 steals in the game. Richmond had 19 personal fouls for the game which took the Minutemen to the free throw line for 21 shots. They were able to knock down 17 of them for a rate of 81.0%. In reference to shooting from downtown, UMass buried 7 of 19 attempts (36.8%). At the conclusion of this game, the Minutemen ended up shooting 20 for 48 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 41.7%. The Minutemen permitted Richmond to knock down 22 of their 61 attempts from the floor which gave them a rate of 36.1% for the matchup. They went 31.3% from three-point range by connecting on 10 out of 32 and walked away from this one shooting 18 out of 20 at the charity stripe (90.0%). In relation to rebounds, UMass permitted Richmond to grab 30 in total (10 offensive).

Jaylen Curry pitched in for the Minutemen in this game. He converted 6 of 15 for this game giving him a rate of 40.0%, and earned 8 rebounds. He tallied 18 points in his 35 minutes on the court and accumulated 2 dimes for this game.

UMass has a mark of 5-10 on the season. In terms of offensive execution, the Minutemen are shooting 41.8% from the field, which has them ranked 314th in the nation. UMass has accounted for 1,103 pts so far this year (73.5 per game) and they pull down 38.7 rebounds per contest. They are assisting teammates 13.5 times per game (217th in college) and they turn it over 11.7 times per contest. The Minutemen have committed 17.7 fouls per game and they go 64.7% from the charity stripe.

The UMass defense surrenders 33.0% on shots from beyond the perimeter (122 of 370) and their opposition makes 75.3% of their free throw shots. They allow 14.9 assists and 37.8 total rebounds per game, which is 304th and 319th in college. The Minutemen on the defensive end are ranked 281st in college in points allowed per game with 75.0. They are forcing their opponents into 13.3 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 42.2% from the floor (132nd in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take UMass

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