Dayton Flyers vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies Prediction, 1/28/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Dayton Flyers vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies

Date: Tuesday, January 28, 2025

Location: Reilly Center in Saint Bonaventure, NY

TV: ESPN+

The Dayton Flyers (14-6) are traveling to Reilly Center on Tuesday where they will try to defeat the St. Bonaventure Bonnies (15-6).

The Dayton Flyers faced off with Saint Joseph's and went home with a win by a final score of 77-72 in their last game. When it comes to fouls, the Flyers walked away with 13 and Saint Joseph's racked up 15 fouls. They also made 9 of their 33 attempts from distance. Saint Joseph's finished the game shooting 84.6% when shooting free throws by making 11 of 13 attempts. Additionally, Saint Joseph's pulled down 33 rebounds (9 offensive, 24 defensive), but wrapped up the game with no rejections. Saint Joseph's distributed 13 assists and had 4 steals for this contest. In the matter of the defense, Dayton allowed the other team to go 41.9% from the field on 26 out of 62 shooting. They also distributed 15 dimes in this game while forcing 9 turnovers and getting 6 steals. In the matter of getting rebounds, they collected a total of 28 with 3 of them being offensive. From the charity stripe, the Flyers converted 15 of 18 attempts for a percentage of 83.3%. Dayton finished with a 49.1% FG percentage (27 out of 55) and made 8 of their 19 three-point attempts.

Nate Santos is a guy who was a major factor for the matchup. He finished 64.3% from the field but finished the game without an assist. He saw the court for 36 minutes played and snagged 8 rebounds. He ended up scoring 24 points on 9 out of 14 shooting.

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Dayton will play this game with a win-loss record of 14-6 for the season. They have an average of 76.1 pts per contest (144th in the nation) while going 47.6% from the field. The Flyers are hitting 36.6% on 3-point shots (159 of 435) and 72.2% from the free throw line. As a unit, Dayton is collecting 34.1 rebounds per game and has accounted for 323 assists so far this year, which has them ranked 69th in D-1 in terms of passing. They turn the ball over 10.3 times per game and as a unit they commit 15.1 fouls on a nightly basis.

Defensively, the Flyers have forced 12.0 turnovers per contest and they draw 18.4 personal fouls. They are 134th in college in giving up assists to the opposition with 251 conceded on the year. The Flyers defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 43.2% (492 of 1,139) and they relinquish 31.9 boards per contest as a unit. They are giving up 33.8% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they are 108th in D-1 in points per game allowed (69.2).

In their last game, the St. Bonaventure Bonnies walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 75-61 when they played VCU. Regarding rebounding, St. Bonaventure permitted VCU to pull down 27 overall (6 offensive). They went 45.8% from behind the 3-point line by shooting 11 out of 24 and ended up going 12 out of 16 from the free throw line (75.0%). The Bonnies allowed VCU to make 26 of their 58 tries from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 44.8% in this game. When the game finished, the Bonnies ended up shooting 25 for 57 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 43.9%. Pertaining to three-point shots, St. Bonaventure buried 4 of 19 tries (21.1%). They were able to bury 7 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 70.0%. VCU committed 10 personal fouls for the game which got the Bonnies to the free throw line for a total of 10 tries. They also coughed it up 15 times, while earning 1 steal in the game. The Bonnies collected 27 defensive rebounds and 8 offensive boards totaling 35 for the matchup.

Chance Moore was important for the Bonnies in the matchup. He converted 9 of 18 in the matchup for a rate of 50.0%, and had 8 rebounds. He earned 21 points in his 39 minutes on the court and had 1 assist in this matchup.

St. Bonaventure has a mark of 15-6 this year. The Bonnies are committing 13.2 fouls per contest and they shoot 73.1% from the free throw line. They are earning an assist 11.1 times per contest (340th in college) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 10.6 times per contest. St. Bonaventure has scored 1,493 pts on the season (71.1 per contest) and they average 35.2 rebounds per game. As an offense, the Bonnies are connecting on 45.4% from the field, which ranks 152nd in the country.

The St. Bonaventure defense concedes 33.6% on 3-point attempts (187 of 557) and their opposition knocks down 74.3% of their shots from the free throw line. They have given up 13.1 dimes and 31.1 total boards per game, ranking them 180th and 29th in those defensive categories. The Bonnies on the defensive end are ranked 19th in the country in PPG given up with 64.1. They are forcing 12.2 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 41.1% from the field (68th in the country).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Dayton

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