Dayton Flyers vs Chattanooga Mocs Prediction, 3/22/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Dayton Flyers vs Chattanooga Mocs

Date: Saturday, March 22, 2025

Location: McKenzie Arena in Chattanooga, TN

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Dayton (-2)

McKenzie Arena is the location where the Chattanooga Mocs (25-9) will try to beat the Dayton Flyers (23-10) on Saturday in the 2nd round of the NIT. Chattanooga opens this contest as 2.0-point dogs. The over/under is set at 149.

The Dayton Flyers faced off with Florida Atlantic and walked away with a win by a score of 86-79 in their last contest. In relation to personal fouls, the Flyers walked away with 15 while Florida Atlantic recorded 16 personal fouls. They also made 9 of their 22 shots from beyond the arc. Florida Atlantic ended up shooting 66.7% at the charity stripe by converting 14 of 21 tries. On top of that, Florida Atlantic snagged 26 rebounds (6 offensive, 20 defensive), but wasn't able to put a block in the stat sheet. Florida Atlantic dished out 18 assists and had 5 steals in the game. Regarding defense, Dayton allowed the other team to go 50.9% from the field on 28 of 55 shooting. They also doled out 16 dimes in this contest in addition to creating 13 turnovers and earning 8 steals. Pertaining to rebounding, they compiled a total of 23 with 5 of them being of the offensive variety. From the free throw line, the Flyers knocked down 13 of their 20 shots for a percentage of 65.0%. Dayton finished the contest with a 53.6% field goal percentage (30 of 56) and buried 13 out of their 30 3-pointers.

Javon Bennett is a guy who was a factor in this game. He accounted for 30 points on 10 out of 16 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 37 minutes played and totaled 2 boards. He finished shooting 62.5% from the field and recorded 1 assist.

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Dayton will play this contest with a record of 23-10 this season. They are averaging 75.5 pts per contest (130th in college hoops) while hitting 45.9% from the floor. The Flyers are shooting 35.8% on three-point shots (271 of 756) and 74.3% from the free throw line. As a team, Dayton is collecting 34.3 rebounds per game and has accounted for 503 dimes so far this season, which is 78th in the nation in terms of passing the rock. They lose possession by turning the ball over 10.5 times per game and as a team they commit 15.6 fouls per game.

Defensively, the Flyers are able to force 11.9 turnovers per game while drawing 18.1 personal fouls. They rank 130th in D-1 in giving up assists to their opponents with 415 conceded for the year. The Flyers are giving up a shooting percentage of 43.4% (819 of 1,886) and they surrender 32.9 boards per game as a group. They concede 32.5% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they rank 129th in Division 1 in opponents points per game (70.3).

When they last played, the Chattanooga Mocs took home the win by a final score of 109-103 when they faced MTSU. The Mocs snagged 30 defensive rebounds and 7 offensive boards for a total of 37 for the game. They turned it over 10 times, while getting 8 steals in this matchup. MTSU had 21 fouls in this game which took the Mocs to the free throw line for 28 attempts. They were able to knock down 22 of the free throw tries for a rate of 78.6%. With respect to shots from distance, Chattanooga buried 9 out of 30 tries (30.0%). When all was said and done, the Mocs finished the game shooting 39 out of 76 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 51.3%. The Mocs permitted MTSU to bury 38 out of their 78 attempts from the floor which had them shooting 48.7% for this game. They shot 27.3% from 3-point land by shooting 9 of 33 and ended up going 18 out of 27 from the free throw line (66.7%). Concerning how they rebounded, Chattanooga allowed MTSU to collect 47 in all (13 offensive).

Bash Wieland ended up being a major contributor for the Mocs for the matchup. He knocked down 10 out of 19 for the game for a field goal rate of 52.6%, and added 7 rebounds. He earned 31 points in his 48 minutes on the hardwood and accumulated 2 dimes for this game.

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Chattanooga has a win-loss record of 25-9 this year. As an offensive unit, the Mocs are connecting on 48.2% from the floor, which is ranked 25th in the nation. Chattanooga has accumulated 2,711 pts on the year (79.7 per game) and they snag 33.4 rebounds per game. They are dishing out assists 17.0 times per game (15th in the nation) and they turn it over 10.3 times per contest. The Mocs are committing 16.1 personal fouls every game and they connect on 76.8% from the charity stripe.

The Chattanooga defense gives up 34.4% from downtown (281 of 816) and opponents are converting on 69.8% of their foul shots. They surrender 12.4 dimes and 33.5 rebounds every game, which is ranked 109th and 123rd in D-1. The Mocs on the defensive end are ranked 209th in D-1 in points given up per game with 72.9. They are forcing 11.2 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 43.5% from the floor (167th in the country).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Dayton (-2)

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