Cal Poly Mustangs vs UC Davis Aggies Prediction, 3/12/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cal Poly Mustangs vs UC Davis Aggies

Date: Wednesday, March 12, 2025

Location: Lee's Family Forum in Henderson, NV

TV: ESPN+

Lee's Family Forum is the location where the UC Davis Aggies (15-16) will play the Cal Poly Mustangs (14-18) on Wednesday.

The Cal Poly Mustangs faced off with Long Beach State and notched a win by a score of 83-69 in their last game. Cal Poly finished the game having earned a 46.8% FG percentage (29 of 62) and made 18 of 38 3-point shots. When they shot from the free throw line, the Mustangs knocked down 7 of 10 tries for a rate of 70.0%. With respect to getting rebounds, they compiled 24 with 7 of them being offensive. They also distributed 18 assists in this matchup as well as forcing the other team into 14 turnovers and earning 10 steals. With respect to defense, Cal Poly allowed 42.1% from the floor on 24 of 57 shooting. Long Beach State recorded 12 assists and had 8 steals for the game. On top of that, Long Beach State snagged 33 boards (9 offensive, 24 defensive), but didn't record a block for the team. Long Beach State went 75.0% at the free throw line by converting 12 of 16 shots. They also converted 9 of 29 shots from beyond the perimeter. Concerning fouls, the Mustangs ended up with 18 and Long Beach State accounted for 15 fouls.

Jarred Hyder is one player who came through for the matchup. He finished the contest at 64.3% from the field and also totaled 2 dimes. He played for 32 minutes played and also grabbed 5 rebounds. He totaled 25 points on 9 of 14 shooting.

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Cal Poly enters this one with a win-loss record of 14-18 for the year. They have an average of 81.7 pts per contest (24th in D-1) while going 45.9% from the field. The Mustangs are hitting 35.2% on shots from beyond the arc (361 of 1026) and 76.8% from the charity stripe. As a team, Cal Poly is grabbing 35.3 boards per contest and is sitting with 475 assists this season, which ranks 85th in the nation in terms of passing the ball. They are giving up possession 16.1 times per game and as a squad they are committing 18.0 fouls every game.

When they are on defense, the Mustangs are forcing 14.4 turnovers per game and they draw 16.9 personal fouls. They are relinquishing 33.8% from 3-point land and they rank 360th in college in points per game allowed (82.7). The Mustangs are giving up a shooting percentage of 45.5% (939 of 2,062) and they surrender 38.3 boards per contest as a unit. They are 303rd in college in giving up assists to their opponents with 460 surrendered on the year.

When they last stepped on the court, the UC Davis Aggies took a defeat with a final score of 68-57 against UC-San Diego. The Aggies corralled 21 defensive rebounds and 12 offensive boards for a total of 33 for this game. They gave up possession 12 times, while earning 8 steals for the contest. UC-San Diego committed 18 fouls in this game which took the Aggies to the free throw line for a total of 15 tries. They were able to bury 10 of the free throws for a clip of 66.7%. In terms of shots from 3-point land, UC Davis made 9 of their 22 tries (40.9%). When all was said and done, the Aggies ended up shooting 19 out of 55 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 34.5%. The Aggies allowed UC-San Diego to convert 21 of their 51 tries from the field which left them with a rate of 41.2% for the contest. They finished 40.0% from downtown by connecting on 10 out of 25 and ended up going 16 of 19 at the free throw line (84.2%). Regarding rebounding, UC Davis allowed UC-San Diego to grab 30 in total (7 on the offensive side).

Leo DeBruhl ended up having an impact for the Aggies in this game. He converted 6 of 10 for this game giving him a field goal percentage of 60.0%, and accumulated 2 rebounds. He had 19 points in his 35 minutes of playing time and added 6 assists in this game.

UC Davis has a win-loss mark of 15-16 this season. As an offensive unit, the Aggies are connecting on 41.0% from the field, which is ranked 347th in college hoops. UC Davis has totaled 2,099 pts for the season (67.7 per contest) and they pull down 33.2 boards per game. They are earning an assist 10.8 times per contest (347th in the country) and they are turning it over 13.2 times per contest. The Aggies are committing 18.2 personal fouls per contest and they hit 74.0% from the charity stripe.

The UC Davis defense surrenders 34.5% on three-point shots (219 of 634) and opponents are converting on 75.6% of their shots from the free throw line. They have conceded 12.7 assists and 36.5 boards per contest, which ranks 146th and 297th in those defensive categories. The Aggies on the defensive side of the court are 108th in the nation in points allowed per contest with 69.8. They are able to force 15.2 turnovers on a nightly basis and have let teams shoot 42.5% from the field (107th in college).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take UC Davis

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