Boise State Broncos vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction, 3/13/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boise State Broncos vs San Diego State Aztecs

Date: Thursday, March 13, 2025

Location: Thomas & Mack Center in Paradise, NV

TV: CBSSN

The Boise State Broncos (22-9) are hitting the road to Thomas & Mack Center on Thursday where they will try to beat the San Diego State Aztecs (21-8).

The Boise State Broncos stepped onto the hardwood against Colorado State and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 83-73 in their last game. When talking about personal fouls, the Broncos walked away with 21 while Colorado State finished the game with 19 personal fouls. They made 8 of their 17 shots from downtown. Colorado State went 95.5% when shooting free throws by knocking down 21 of 22 shots. Moreover, Colorado State pulled down 21 boards (3 offensive, 18 defensive), but wasn't able to record a block. Colorado State totaled 8 assists and had 8 steals in this game. When talking about defending, Boise State allowed the other team to shoot 57.4% from the field on 27 out of 47 shooting. They also doled out 12 assists for the matchup while forcing the opposition into 8 turnovers and earning 3 steals. When it comes to rebounding, they collected 27 with 12 of them being offensive. At the charity stripe, the Broncos converted 20 of 23 attempts for a percentage of 87.0%. Boise State walked away from the contest with a 41.8% field goal percentage (23 out of 55) and buried 7 of their 29 shots from beyond the arc.

Andrew Meadow is one player who came through in the matchup. He shot 46.2% from the floor and also distributed 1 assist. He played for 38 mins and also pulled down 6 rebounds. He notched 22 points on 6 out of 13 shooting.

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Boise State comes into this game with a mark of 22-9 this year. They lose possession by turning the ball over 11.1 times per game and as a squad they are committing 16.0 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Boise State is grabbing 36.3 rebounds per contest and has accounted for 453 assists on the season, which ranks 130th in D-1 in terms of passing. The Broncos are hitting 31.5% on shots from downtown (222 of 705) and 77.7% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 76.0 points per outing (118th in the nation) while shooting 46.5% from the floor.

When they are on defense, the Broncos are forcing 10.9 turnovers per game and they draw 18.8 fouls. They are currently ranked 15th in the country in allowing assists to the opposition with 321 surrendered on the campaign. The Broncos defensively are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 43.5% (746 of 1,714) and they concede 28.5 rebounds per contest as a team. They are giving up 33.4% on 3-point shots and they are ranked 37th in D-1 in points per game allowed (66.3).

In their last game, the San Diego State Aztecs took home the win by a final score of 80-61 when they faced Nevada. In regard to how they cleaned up the glass, San Diego State permitted Nevada to collect 31 in total (5 on the offensive glass). They finished 21.7% from downtown by connecting on 5 out of 23 and finished the game at 18 of 25 from the charity stripe (72.0%). The Aztecs permitted Nevada to bury 19 out of 47 tries from the floor which gave them a percentage of 40.4% for this contest. Overall, the Aztecs ended up shooting 30 for 55 from the field which gave them a rate of 54.5%. Concerning three-point shots, San Diego State converted 10 out of their 26 attempts (38.5%). They were able to knock down 10 of the free throws for a clip of 55.6%. Nevada committed 19 personal fouls in the game which took the Aztecs to the free throw line for a total of 18 shots. They also gave up possession of the ball 8 times, while recording 8 steals for this game. The Aztecs were able to corral 23 defensive rebounds and 5 offensive rebounds for a total of 28 in this game.

Nick Boyd ended up being a factor for the Aztecs for the contest. He earned 18 points in his 26 mins on the hardwood and totaled 4 assists for the contest. He converted 7 out of 10 in this game for a rate of 70.0%, and accumulated 2 rebounds.

San Diego State has a win-loss mark of 21-8 on the season. When it comes to executing on offense, the Aztecs are connecting on 44.6% from the floor, which has them ranked 192nd in the country. San Diego State has 2,074 points this season (71.5 per game) and they grab 35.7 boards per contest. They are assisting teammates 13.2 times per game (217th in the country) and they turn the ball over 10.9 times per game. The Aztecs commit 18.7 fouls per contest and they hit 66.8% from the charity stripe.

The Aztecs defensively are ranked 14th in D-1 in points per game surrendered with 63.7. They are forcing 13.5 turnovers on a nightly basis and have let teams shoot 37.9% from the field (3rd in the nation). The San Diego State defense gives up 30.4% on shots from 3-point land (224 of 737) and their opposition makes 69.8% of their free throw shots. They have relinquished 10.7 dimes and 35.2 total boards per game, which is 27th and 235th in college.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boise State

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