Boise State Broncos vs Air Force Falcons Prediction, 3/4/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boise State Broncos vs Air Force Falcons

Date: Tuesday, March 4, 2025

Location: Clune Arena in Columbia, SC

TV: ESPN+

The Boise State Broncos (21-8) are headed to Clune Arena on Tuesday where they will take on the Air Force Falcons (4-25).

The Boise State Broncos took the court against Fresno State and walked away with a win by a score of 66-61 in their last game. In reference to fouls, the Broncos ended up finishing with 14 and Fresno State totaled 16 fouls. They also made 6 out of their 19 attempts from distance. Fresno State ended up shooting 68.8% from the charity stripe by making 11 of their 16 tries. On top of that, Fresno State pulled down 33 rebounds (14 offensive, 19 defensive), but wasn't able to record a rejection. Fresno State doled out 3 assists and had 5 steals for the matchup. Concerning defense, Boise State allowed the other team to go 37.3% from the floor on 22 out of 59 shooting. They also distributed 14 dimes for this game while forcing the other team into 6 turnovers and earning 5 steals. In regard to getting rebounds, they compiled a total of 37 with 15 of them being offensive. At the charity stripe, the Broncos converted 17 of their 20 attempts for a percentage of 85.0%. Boise State finished the game having earned a 37.5% FG percentage (21 out of 56) and knocked down 7 of 29 three-point attempts.

Andrew Meadow is one guy who was a contributor for the matchup. He ended up shooting 41.2% from the field but had no dimes when the game ended. He saw the court for 36 mins and grabbed 6 rebounds. He was able to score 22 points on 7 out of 17 shooting.

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Boise State heads into this one with a mark of 21-8 for the year. They cough up possession 11.4 times per game and as a team they are committing 15.8 fouls per game. As a unit, Boise State is collecting 36.4 boards per game and has totaled 432 assists so far this year, which has them ranked 119th in college hoops in terms of passing. The Broncos are hitting 32.1% on 3-pointers (209 of 651) and 77.4% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 76.0 pts per contest (121st in D-1) while hitting 46.9% from the floor.

On defense, the Broncos are forcing 10.9 turnovers per game and they draw 18.6 fouls. They are currently ranked 15th in D-1 in allowing assists to the opposition with 301 conceded on the season. The Broncos defense is allowing and opponent field goal percentage of 43.3% (699 of 1,616) and they relinquish 28.5 rebounds per game as a squad. They are relinquishing 33.0% from 3-point land while they are 33rd in D-1 in PPG allowed (66.1).

When they last stepped on the court, the Air Force Falcons walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 92-71 when they played New Mexico. Concerning how they attacked the glass, Air Force allowed New Mexico to pull down 29 overall (7 on the offensive glass). They wrapped up this game 22.2% from three-point range via 4 of 18 and ended up going 20 out of 25 from the charity stripe (80.0%). The Falcons permitted New Mexico to knock down 34 of their 64 tries from the floor which had them at 53.1% for this contest. When this game wrapped up, the Falcons finished shooting 25 for 56 from the field which gave them a rate of 44.6%. When talking about shooting from 3-point land, Air Force knocked down 8 out of their 21 attempts (38.1%). They were able to knock down 13 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 68.4%. New Mexico had 16 fouls in the game which took the Falcons to the free throw line for 19 shots. They also turned it over 18 times, while getting 5 steals in this matchup. The Falcons collected 24 defensive boards and 6 offensive boards for a total of 30 in the game.

Caleb Walker ended up having an impact for the Falcons in the game. He knocked down 7 out of 10 in this game giving him a rate of 70.0%, and accounted for 7 rebounds. He earned 16 points in his 27 mins of playing time and accumulated 1 assist for the contest.

Air Force has a mark of 4-25 on the campaign. As an offense, the Falcons are hitting on 42.5% from the field, which has them ranked 306th in the country. Air Force has 1,819 pts for the season (62.7 per game) and they pull in 30.0 boards per game. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 13.4 times per contest (206th in the country) and they cough up possession 13.6 times per game. The Falcons are committing 17.7 fouls per contest while shooting 64.0% from the free throw line.

The Falcons on defense are ranked 217th in the country in points given up per game with 73.2. They are able to force 10.5 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 48.1% from the floor (358th in college). The Air Force defense allows 36.5% on 3-point attempts (204 of 559) and their opponents are making 69.5% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have surrendered 12.6 dimes and 34.0 total rebounds per game, which has them ranked 134th and 166th in the country.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boise State

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