Baylor Bears vs TCU Horned Frogs Prediction, 3/4/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baylor Bears vs TCU Horned Frogs

Date: Tuesday, March 4, 2025

Location: Schollmaier Arena in Salt Lake City, UT

TV: ESPN+

The TCU Horned Frogs (16-13) will go up against the Baylor Bears (17-12) at Schollmaier Arena on Tuesday.

The Baylor Bears faced off with Oklahoma State and walked away with a win by a score of 71-61 in their last contest. In relation to fouls, the Bears walked away with 22 and Oklahoma State totaled 26 fouls. They knocked down 2 of 14 attempts from beyond the arc. Oklahoma State finished the game at 72.4% from the charity stripe by converting 21 of 29 attempts. Additionally, Oklahoma State collected 29 rebounds (6 offensive, 23 defensive), but wasn't able to put a block in the stat sheet. Oklahoma State totaled 4 assists and had 7 steals for the matchup. With regard to defense, Baylor allowed their opponent to shoot 38.8% from the floor on 19 out of 49 shooting. They also distributed 7 assists for the matchup while forcing the other team into 17 turnovers and earning 11 steals. In reference to rebounding, they earned 35 with 11 of them being of the offensive variety. From the charity stripe, the Bears knocked down 19 of 34 tries for a percentage of 55.9%. Baylor finished with a 37.3% field goal percentage (22 of 59) and converted 8 out of their 30 shots from beyond the perimeter.

Jeremy Roach is a guy who had an impact for the contest. He ended up scoring 21 points on 8 out of 17 shooting. He was on the court for 32 mins and grabbed 4 boards. He finished shooting 47.1% from the field and also distributed 3 assists.

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Baylor will take the court with a mark of 17-12 so far this year. They average 77.8 pts per contest (82nd in the country) while hitting 45.2% from the field. The Bears are connecting on 35.7% on 3-pointers (254 of 711) and 74.1% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Baylor is pulling down 35.9 rebounds per game and has tallied 429 assists so far this year, which has them ranked 130th in college hoops in terms of passing. They are turning it over 11.4 times per game and as a group they are committing 16.4 personal fouls every game.

On the defensive end of the court, the Bears are forcing their opponents into 13.3 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 17.0 personal fouls. They are ranked 295th in college hoops in giving up assists to their opponents with 429 relinquished for the campaign. The Bears defensively are giving up a field goal percentage of 44.0% (710 of 1,612) and they relinquish 32.3 rebounds per contest as a team. They relinquish 35.4% from 3-point land and they are ranked 118th in Division 1 in opponents PPG (69.9).

The last time they took the court, the TCU Horned Frogs went home victorious with a score of 89-78 when they faced UCF. The Horned Frogs were able to collect 29 defensive boards and 15 offensive rebounds totaling 44 for this game. They coughed up the ball 10 times, while recording 6 steals for the contest. UCF was called for 17 fouls for the matchup which took the Horned Frogs to the charity stripe for a total of 28 attempts. They were able to knock down 17 of the free throw attempts for a clip of 60.7%. In reference to shots from downtown, TCU knocked down 6 of 21 attempts (28.6%). Overall, the Horned Frogs finished the game shooting 33 for 69 from the floor which gave them a rate of 47.8%. The Horned Frogs allowed UCF to make 27 out of their 72 tries from the floor which had them at 37.5% in the matchup. They finished the game shooting 28.6% from 3-point land by hitting 8 out of 28 and walked away from this one shooting 16 of 20 at the charity stripe (80.0%). In relation to rebounding, TCU allowed UCF to collect 39 in total (14 on the offensive side).

Vasean Allette was important for the Horned Frogs for this game. He scored 17 points in his 35 minutes on the hardwood and had 9 dimes for the contest. He converted 6 out of 14 for the contest for a rate of 42.9%, and earned 7 rebounds.

TCU has a mark of 16-13 for the season. When it comes to executing on offense, the Horned Frogs are connecting on 42.3% from the floor, which is 316th in the country. TCU has totaled 1,981 points on the campaign (68.3 per contest) and they pull in 34.6 boards per game. They are earning an assist 12.4 times per game (274th in the country) and they cough up possession 11.6 times per game. The Horned Frogs are committing 15.4 personal fouls every game and they connect on 65.1% from the free throw line.

The TCU defense gives up 31.2% on shots from behind the 3-point line (218 of 699) and opponents are knocking down 73.3% of their free throw shots. They have relinquished 15.6 dimes and 33.7 rebounds per contest, which is ranked 339th and 141st in D-1. The Horned Frogs on defense are ranked 81st in Division 1 in PPG given up with 68.7. They are forcing 13.1 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 44.2% from the floor (207th in the country).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Baylor

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