Baylor Bears vs Duke Blue Devils Prediction, 3/23/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baylor Bears vs Duke Blue Devils

Date: Sunday, March 23, 2025

Location: Lenovo Center in Raleigh, NC

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Duke (-11)

Lenovo Center is the location where the Duke Blue Devils (32-3) will take on the Baylor Bears (20-14) on Sunday in the 2nd round of the NCAA Tournament. Baylor is 11-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The betting total is set at 143.

The Baylor Bears took the court against Mississippi State and took home the win by a score of 75-72 in their last game. In relation to personal fouls, the Bears walked away with 16 and Mississippi State accounted for 18 personal fouls. They converted 10 of 30 shots from long range. Mississippi State ended up going 76.9% from the charity stripe by knocking down 10 of 13 tries. Additionally, Mississippi State grabbed 27 rebounds (7 offensive, 20 defensive), but wasn't able to put a block in the stat sheet. Mississippi State distributed 13 dimes and had 6 steals in this contest. When it comes to the defense, Baylor allowed the other team to shoot 50.0% from the floor on 26 of 52 shooting. They also distributed 13 assists in this game while forcing the opposition into 14 turnovers and having 10 steals. Concerning grabbing rebounds, they earned 32 with 15 of them being of the offensive variety. From the free throw line, the Bears knocked down 15 of 19 tries for a percentage of 78.9%. Baylor walked away from the contest with a 43.5% FG percentage (27 of 62) and buried 6 of 24 shots from 3-point land.

Robert Wright III is a guy who was a contributor for the contest. He accounted for 19 points on 8 out of 15 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 31 minutes and grabbed 3 rebounds. He ended up going 53.3% from the field and dished out 2 assists.

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Baylor heads into this one with a win-loss record of 20-14 for the year. They currently have an average of 76.4 points per game (107th in the nation) while connecting on 44.8% from the field. The Bears are shooting 34.8% on 3-point shots (286 of 821) and 74.6% from the free throw line. As a team, Baylor is snagging 36.0 rebounds per game and has totaled 495 assists for the campaign, which has them ranked 89th in D-1 in terms of passing. They are giving up possession 11.0 times per game and as a team they commit 16.3 fouls every game.

Defensively, the Bears have forced 12.8 turnovers per game while drawing 16.7 fouls. They currently rank 320th in D-1 in giving up assists to the opposition with 489 surrendered for the campaign. The Bears are giving up a field goal percentage of 43.5% (824 of 1,893) and they relinquish 32.6 boards per game as a squad. They concede 34.9% from 3-point land while they are 90th in the nation in PPG from their opponents (69.2).

When they last stepped on the court, the Duke Blue Devils walked away with a victory by a final of 93-49 against Mount St. Mary's. The Blue Devils collected 36 defensive rebounds and 7 offensive boards for a total of 43 in the game. They coughed up the ball 2 times, while recording 8 steals for the game. Mount St. Mary's was called for 13 fouls for this contest which took the Blue Devils to the free throw line for 12 shots. They were able to bury 9 of them for a percentage of 75.0%. When discussing shots from 3-point land, Duke knocked down 14 out of 37 tries (37.8%). When this game wrapped up, the Blue Devils finished the game shooting 35 out of 70 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 50.0%. The Blue Devils allowed Mount St. Mary's to bury 19 out of 63 attempts from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 30.2% for the contest. They finished the game shooting 18.5% from beyond the perimeter by shooting 5 of 27 and ended up going 6 of 8 at the charity stripe (75.0%). Regarding how they rebounded, Duke permitted Mount St. Mary's to pull down 36 in all (6 on the offensive side).

Tyrese Proctor ended up having an impact for the Blue Devils in the game. He made 6 out of 9 in the game for a field goal percentage of 66.7%, and had 3 rebounds. He recorded 19 points in his 24 mins on the court and accounted for 5 dimes for the game.

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Duke has a record of 32-3 this year. The Blue Devils have committed 15.8 personal fouls every game while shooting 78.4% from the charity stripe. They are earning an assist 16.9 times per game (19th in D-1) and they are losing possession via turnover 9.4 times per contest. Duke has totaled 2,905 points this year (83.0 per contest) and they collect 38.8 boards per contest. As an offense, the Blue Devils are connecting on 48.8% from the floor, which is 15th in the nation.

The Duke defense surrenders 30.4% from downtown (235 of 772) and their opponents are knocking down 71.6% of their foul shots. They concede 11.4 dimes and 30.7 total rebounds per game, which ranks them 47th and 15th in those defensive categories. The Blue Devils on the defensive side of the court are 6th in college hoops in PPG allowed with 61.5. They are forcing 11.8 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 38.4% from the field (5th in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Duke (-11)

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