Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Troy Trojans Prediction, 1/11/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Troy Trojans

Date: Saturday, January 11, 2025

Location: Trojan Arena in Troy, AL

TV: ESPN+

The Troy Trojans (10-4) welcome the Arkansas State Red Wolves (11-4) at Trojan Arena on Saturday.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves played James Madison and took a loss by a final of 67-62 in their last game. Arkansas State ended the game with a 44.3% field goal percentage (27 out of 61) and knocked down 5 of their 17 3-point attempts. From the charity stripe, the Red Wolves knocked down 3 of their 8 attempts for a rate of 37.5%. In relation to hauling in rebounds, they collected a total of 42 with 10 of them being offensive. They also distributed 8 assists for this contest in addition to forcing the other team into 15 turnovers and having 7 steals. Regarding defense, Arkansas State allowed the other team to shoot 40.7% from the floor on 24 of 59 shooting. James Madison distributed 6 assists and had 6 steals in the matchup. Additionally, James Madison snagged 35 rebounds (12 offensive, 23 defensive), but finished the game with no rejections. James Madison finished shooting 72.2% when shooting free throws by making 13 of 18 shots. They knocked down 6 of 19 shots from beyond the arc. In the matter of fouls, the Red Wolves finished with 17 while James Madison totaled 11 fouls.

Taryn Todd is one guy who had an impact in the game. He ended up going 52.4% from the floor and also dished out 2 dimes. He was on the court for 38 minutes but concluded the game with no rebounds. He ended up walking away with 26 points on 11 of 21 shooting.

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Arkansas State heads into this one with a win-loss record of 11-4 so far this season. They are turning it over 11.9 times per game and as a group they commit 19.5 fouls per game. As a unit, Arkansas State is snagging 41.5 rebounds per contest and has accounted for 189 assists for the season, which is 284th in Division 1 in terms of passing. The Red Wolves are hitting 32.3% on shots from downtown (138 of 427) and 70.0% from the free throw line. They have an average of 79.3 points per outing (89th in D-1) while shooting 41.9% from the floor.

On the defensive end, the Red Wolves have forced 13.3 turnovers per contest and they draw 18.4 personal fouls. They are conceding 29.8% on shots from distance and they are 155th in college hoops in PPG from their opponents (70.4). The Red Wolves defensively are allowing a FG percentage of 38.5% (356 of 924) and they relinquish 40.7 rebounds per game as a unit. They are 51st in D-1 in giving up assists with 168 conceded on the campaign.

The last time they took the hardwood, the Troy Trojans got the victory with a final of 58-57 when they faced Marshall. The Trojans were able to collect 23 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive rebounds totaling 33 in this game. They gave up possession 14 times, while earning 8 steals in the game. Marshall had 17 fouls in the game which took the Trojans to the free throw line for a total of 17 tries. They were able to bury 13 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 76.5%. In terms of three-point shots, Troy buried 7 of their 31 attempts (22.6%). When the final whistle blew, the Trojans shot 19 out of 51 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 37.3%. The Trojans permitted Marshall to convert 22 of their 56 tries from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 39.3% in this matchup. They finished 18.8% from beyond the arc by hitting 3 out of 16 and ended up shooting 10 out of 17 from the charity stripe (58.8%). Concerning how they attacked the glass, Troy permitted Marshall to get 31 in all (12 on the offensive side).

Tayton Conerway was important for the Trojans for this game. He converted 8 out of 15 for this game giving him a rate of 53.3%, and earned 4 rebounds. He earned 20 points in his 36 minutes of playing time and tallied 3 dimes for this game.

Troy has a mark of 10-4 on the year. When it comes to executing on offense, the Trojans are hitting on 45.2% from the floor, which ranks 178th in the nation. Troy has scored 1,032 pts this season (73.7 per game) and they pull down 38.2 rebounds per contest. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 14.6 times per game (144th in D-1) and they turn the ball over 15.6 times per contest. The Trojans are responsible for committing 16.6 personal fouls every game and they shoot 72.3% from the charity stripe.

The Trojans are ranked 47th in D-1 in PPG given up with 65.4. They are able to force 14.8 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 41.6% from the floor (102nd in D-1). The Troy defense concedes 32.3% on 3-pointers (93 of 288) and their opponents are connecting on 66.7% of their free throw shots. They have conceded 12.6 assists and 32.0 rebounds every game, which is ranked 149th and 61st in the country.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Arkansas State

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