Arkansas State Red Wolves vs North Texas Mean Green Prediction, 3/23/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arkansas State Red Wolves vs North Texas Mean Green

Date: Sunday, March 23, 2025

Location: The Super Pit in Denton, TX

TV: ESPNU

Odds/Point Spread: North Texas (-4)

The Super Pit is the site where the North Texas Mean Green (25-8) will attempt to defeat the Arkansas State Red Wolves (25-10) on Sunday in the 2nd round of the NIT. Arkansas State opens this matchup as 4-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The total comes in at 136.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves faced Saint Louis and notched a win by a score of 103-78 in their last contest. Arkansas State finished the contest with a 54.1% field goal percentage (40 out of 74) and converted 16 of 35 shots from 3-point land. At the charity stripe, the Red Wolves made 7 of their 13 attempts for a percentage of 53.8%. Pertaining to grabbing rebounds, they compiled a total of 38 with 11 of them being of the offensive sort. They also doled out 24 dimes in this game as well as forcing the other team into 13 turnovers and having 10 steals. Pertaining to defending, Arkansas State allowed their opponent to shoot 48.3% from the field on 28 of 58 shooting. Saint Louis distributed 12 assists and had 5 steals for the contest. Moreover, Saint Louis had 34 rebounds (6 offensive, 28 defensive), but didn't have a block. Saint Louis finished shooting 66.7% at the charity stripe by burying 14 of their 21 attempts. They also buried 8 out of their 26 shots from three-point range. With respect to personal fouls, the Red Wolves ended up with 17 and Saint Louis racked up 13 personal fouls.

Izaiyah Nelson is someone who was a contributor for the contest. He finished shooting 75.0% from the field and also dished out 2 dimes. He was on the court for 32 minutes played and grabbed 10 rebounds. He scored 26 points on 12 out of 16 shooting.

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Arkansas State heads into this contest with a mark of 25-10 for the season. They have an average of 79.9 points per outing (42nd in the nation) while hitting 42.8% from the floor. The Red Wolves are connecting on 32.5% on 3-pointers (331 of 1017) and 72.7% from the charity stripe. As a team, Arkansas State is grabbing 40.8 rebounds per game and has accumulated 502 dimes on the year, which has them ranked 79th in Division 1 in terms of passing the rock. They lose possession via turnover 10.6 times per game and as a team they are committing 18.4 fouls every game.

On the defensive end of the court, the Red Wolves are able to force 12.2 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 16.8 fouls. They are currently ranked 139th in college in giving up assists to their opponents with 416 surrendered on the campaign. The Red Wolves defensively are allowing a FG percentage of 40.4% (848 of 2,099) and they concede 37.8 rebounds per game as a team. They are relinquishing 30.0% on 3-point shots and they are ranked 130th in D-1 in PPG allowed (70.4).

When they last stepped on the court, the North Texas Mean Green took home the win by a final score of 75-64 when they played Furman. The Mean Green were able to pull down 19 defensive rebounds and 7 offensive boards for a total of 26 in the game. They also turned the ball over 7 times, while getting 8 steals for the contest. Furman earned 13 personal fouls in this game which took the Mean Green to the free throw line for a total of 13 attempts. They were able to make 11 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 84.6%. With respect to shots from downtown, North Texas made 8 out of 18 attempts (44.4%). At the conclusion of this game, the Mean Green walked away from this one shooting 28 for 52 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 53.8%. The Mean Green permitted Furman to convert 26 out of 54 attempts from the floor which had them at 48.1% in this matchup. They shot 33.3% from three-point range by going 10 of 30 and walked away from this one shooting 2 out of 4 from the free throw line (50.0%). When discussing rebounds, North Texas permitted Furman to collect 24 overall (8 on the offensive glass).

Jasper Floyd pitched in for the Mean Green in this contest. He made 7 out of 13 in this matchup for a field goal percentage of 53.8%, and accumulated 6 rebounds. He had 19 points in his 30 mins on the hardwood and had 7 assists in the matchup.

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North Texas has a record of 25-8 on the year. As an offense, the Mean Green are shooting 45.4% from the field, which ranks 143rd in D-1. North Texas has accumulated 2,254 pts this year (68.3 per contest) and they grab 32.7 boards per game. They are dishing out assists 10.6 times per game (351st in college) and they turn it over 10.3 times per contest. The Mean Green commit 14.8 fouls per game and they connect on 77.5% from the free throw line.

The North Texas defense gives up 30.8% on shots from beyond the arc (191 of 621) and their opposition knocks down 74.7% of their shots from the free throw line. They surrender 9.5 dimes and 28.7 rebounds on a nightly basis, which ranks 4th and 3rd in the nation. The Mean Green are ranked 3rd in the nation in PPG allowed with 59.8. They are forcing their opponents into 12.1 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 41.3% from the field (52nd in college hoops).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take North Texas (-4)

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