Alabama State Hornets vs Texas Southern Tigers Prediction, 3/13/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Alabama State Hornets vs Texas Southern Tigers

Date: Thursday, March 13, 2025

Location: Gateway Center in College Park, GA

TV: ESPN+

Gateway Center is the location where the Texas Southern Tigers (15-16) will attempt to beat the Alabama State Hornets (16-15) on Thursday.

The Alabama State Hornets faced Grambling and went home with a win by a final score of 59-47 in their last game. Alabama State finished having earned a 34.9% FG percentage (22 out of 63) and converted 5 of 23 3-point shots. From the free throw line, the Hornets converted 10 of their 11 tries for a rate of 90.9%. Pertaining to rebounding, they compiled a total of 40 with 12 of them being of the offensive variety. They also doled out 8 assists for this game while forcing 13 turnovers and having 12 steals. When talking about defending, Alabama State allowed 32.7% from the field on 16 out of 49 shooting. Grambling earned 11 assists and had 5 steals in the matchup. Additionally, Grambling collected 31 boards (6 offensive, 25 defensive), but wasn't able to put a block in the stat sheet. Grambling finished shooting 83.3% from the charity stripe by burying 10 of 12 shots. They also converted 5 of their 14 tries from downtown. In the matter of personal fouls, the Hornets left the arena with 13 while Grambling finished the game with 12 personal fouls.

TJ Madlock is one guy who was a factor in the matchup. He left the arena with 16 points on 7 out of 13 shooting. He was on the court for 27 mins played and also totaled 10 boards. He finished shooting 53.8% from the field and totaled 1 assist.

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Alabama State will enter this contest with a win-loss record of 16-15 for the season. They are averaging 73.8 pts per contest (181st in the country) while going 40.8% from the floor. The Hornets are shooting 32.7% from downtown (275 of 841) and 69.6% from the free throw line. As a unit, Alabama State is grabbing 36.0 boards per game and has earned 355 assists on the campaign, which ranks 334th in the nation in terms of passing the rock. They turn the ball over 9.2 times per contest and as a squad they commit 18.6 fouls on a nightly basis.

Defensively, the Hornets are able to force 13.1 turnovers per contest and they draw 16.1 personal fouls. They currently rank 85th in college in giving up assists with 382 surrendered for the campaign. The Hornets defensively are giving up a shooting percentage of 43.6% (772 of 1,770) and they surrender 39.7 boards per contest as a team. They are surrendering 33.1% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they are 213th in D-1 in PPG allowed (72.9).

The last time they took the court, the Texas Southern Tigers took home the win by a final score of 80-68 against Prairie View A&M. In the matter of attacking the glass, Texas Southern allowed Prairie View A&M to snag 28 in all (13 on the offensive glass). They went 21.7% from beyond the arc by shooting 5 out of 23 and ended up going 3 out of 6 at the free throw line (50.0%). The Tigers allowed Prairie View A&M to bury 30 out of 69 attempts from the field which gave them a percentage of 43.5% for this contest. At the conclusion of this game, the Tigers went 31 for 60 from the floor which gave them a rate of 51.7%. With respect to shooting from beyond the arc, Texas Southern made 9 out of their 16 attempts (56.3%). They were able to make 9 of those for a rate of 81.8%. Prairie View A&M committed 11 fouls for the game which took the Tigers to the free throw line for a total of 11 attempts. They also gave up possession of the ball 15 times, while earning 9 steals for the contest. The Tigers collected 23 defensive boards and 11 offensive boards for a total of 34 for the game.

Josh Farmer ended up having an impact for the Tigers for the matchup. He converted 6 out of 7 in the game for a field goal percentage of 85.7%, and totaled 10 rebounds. He had 15 points in his 26 minutes on the hardwood and added 1 assist for the game.

Texas Southern has a win-loss record of 15-16 on the year. As an offensive team, the Tigers are connecting on 42.6% from the floor, which ranks them 301st in college. Texas Southern has tallied 2,246 points this season (72.5 per game) and they pull in 37.5 rebounds per game. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 13.6 times per contest (181st in college) and they turn it over 13.7 times per contest. The Tigers are committing 16.7 personal fouls per game and they shoot 73.1% from the charity stripe.

The Texas Southern defense concedes 32.5% on shots from beyond the arc (256 of 788) and their opponents are knocking down 68.4% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have conceded 13.7 assists and 38.8 rebounds per game, which has them ranked 232nd and 351st in college. The Tigers defensively are ranked 177th in the nation in points per game surrendered with 71.7. They are able to force 14.1 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 40.5% from the floor (28th in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Texas Southern

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