Alabama Crimson Tide vs Duke Blue Devils Prediction, 3/29/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Alabama Crimson Tide vs Duke Blue Devils

Date: Saturday, March 29, 2025

Location: Prudential Center in Newark, NJ

TV: TBS

Odds/Point Spread: Duke (-6)

The Alabama Crimson Tide (28-8) are en route to Prudential Center on Saturday where they will attempt to defeat the Duke Blue Devils (34-3) in the Elite 8. Duke opens this game as 6-point favorites. The betting total is set at 173.

The Alabama Crimson Tide faced BYU and notched a win by a score of 113-88 in their last game. When it comes to personal fouls, the Crimson Tide ended up finishing with 22 and the Cougars accounted for 17 personal fouls. They also converted 6 out of their 30 attempts from downtown. BYU walked away from this one shooting 80.0% at the free throw line by knocking down 16 of their 20 attempts. Furthermore, BYU pulled down 33 rebounds (12 offensive, 21 defensive), but wrapped up the game with no rejections. The Cougars doled out 19 assists and had 10 steals in this game. Pertaining to defending, Alabama allowed their opponent to shoot 45.8% from the floor on 33 of 72 shooting. They also distributed 27 assists for the game as well as forcing the other team into 11 turnovers and earning 8 steals. With regard to pulling down boards, they earned 35 with 10 of them being offensive. From the free throw line, the Crimson Tide converted 18 of their 21 tries for a rate of 85.7%. Alabama finished with a 53.0% field goal percentage (35 of 66) and converted 25 of their 51 three-point attempts.

Mark Sears is a player who was a factor in the matchup. He ended up walking away with 34 points on 11 of 18 shooting. He was on the court for 30 mins played and also snagged 3 rebounds. He finished the contest at 61.1% from the floor and distributed 8 dimes.

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Alabama will play this game with a record of 28-8 on the campaign. They are turning it over 12.7 times per game and as a group they are committing 18.9 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Alabama is collecting 42.7 boards per contest and has accounted for 622 assists this season, which ranks 3rd in D-1 in terms of passing the ball. The Crimson Tide are shooting 35.6% on three-point shots (382 of 1072) and 71.9% from the charity stripe. They have an average of 91.4 points per contest (1st in Division 1) while shooting 48.7% from the floor.

When they are on defense, the Crimson Tide are able to force 10.3 turnovers per contest while drawing 20.6 personal fouls. They are 259th in college hoops in giving up assists with 462 surrendered this year. The Crimson Tide defense is giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 42.3% (1,044 of 2,467) and they concede 36.8 rebounds per contest as a squad. They are surrendering 30.1% on shots from beyond the perimeter while they are 356th in college in PPG allowed (81.2).

In their last game, the Duke Blue Devils got the victory with a final of 100-93 when they faced Arizona. The Blue Devils were able to corral 21 defensive rebounds and 7 offensive boards totaling 28 in this matchup. They also coughed up the ball 10 times, while earning 2 steals in this matchup. Arizona earned 24 personal fouls in the game which got the Blue Devils to the charity stripe for 27 shots. They were able to make 23 of them for a percentage of 85.2%. In relation to three-point shots, Duke knocked down 11 of their 19 attempts (57.9%). When all was said and done, the Blue Devils finished the game shooting 33 for 55 from the field which gave them a rate of 60.0%. The Blue Devils allowed Arizona to convert 30 of 66 tries from the field which had them shooting 45.5% for the matchup. They went 46.2% from beyond the perimeter by connecting on 12 of 26 and walked away from this one shooting 21 out of 23 at the free throw line (91.3%). When talking about how they rebounded, Duke allowed Arizona to collect 23 in total (10 on the offensive side).

Cooper Flagg pitched in for the Blue Devils in the game. He buried 9 out of 19 for the matchup for a field goal percentage of 47.4%, and earned 6 rebounds. He accumulated 30 points in his 37 minutes on the hardwood and earned 7 assists in the game.

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Duke has a win-loss mark of 34-3 on the campaign. As an offense, the Blue Devils are connecting on 49.4% from the floor, which ranks them 6th in college. Duke has earned 3,094 points so far this season (83.6 per contest) and they pull in 38.3 boards per game. They are dishing out assists 17.0 times per game (17th in the country) and they are turning it over 9.3 times per game. The Blue Devils have committed 15.9 fouls every game and they shoot 78.8% from the charity stripe.

The Blue Devils are ranked 7th in college hoops in PPG surrendered with 62.5. They are forcing their opponents into 11.4 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 38.5% from the field (6th in Division 1). The Duke defense allows 31.0% on shots from behind the 3-point line (255 of 823) and opponents are knocking down 72.6% of their free throw attempts. They give up 11.3 assists and 30.7 rebounds per game, which is 39th and 15th in college hoops.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Duke (-6)

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