Air Force Falcons vs UNLV Rebels Prediction, 2/11/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Air Force Falcons vs UNLV Rebels

Date: Tuesday, February 11, 2025

Location: Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas, NV

TV: ESPN+

The Air Force Falcons (3-21) are headed to Thomas & Mack Center on Tuesday where they will take on the UNLV Rebels (12-12).

The Air Force Falcons faced off with New Mexico and took a loss by a final of 88-53 in their last contest. Air Force ended the game having earned a 31.5% field goal percentage (17 of 54) and buried 7 of 24 shots from 3-point land. At the charity stripe, the Falcons made 12 of 19 attempts for a rate of 63.2%. In terms of grabbing rebounds, they collected 32 with 4 of them being offensive. They also dished out 14 assists for this game in addition to forcing 7 turnovers and earning 6 steals. With respect to defense, Air Force allowed their opponent to shoot 47.1% from the floor on 33 out of 70 shooting. New Mexico dished out 10 dimes and had 11 steals for this game. On top of that, New Mexico pulled down 46 rebounds (12 offensive, 34 defensive), but didn't notch a rejection. New Mexico shot 63.6% from the charity stripe by burying 14 of their 22 attempts. They converted 8 of 23 shots from downtown. Concerning fouls, the Falcons walked away with 18 and New Mexico accumulated 14 fouls.

Luke Kearney is a guy who was a major factor for this contest. He notched 12 points on 3 of 6 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 27 minutes played and collected 3 boards. He ended up shooting 50.0% from the floor and distributed 2 assists.

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Air Force enters this game with a record of 3-21 on the year. They cough up possession 13.6 times per game and as a group are committing 17.5 fouls every game. As a team, Air Force is pulling in 30.2 boards per game and has accumulated 317 dimes on the campaign, which has them ranked 218th in the nation in terms of passing the ball. The Falcons are shooting 34.3% on three-point attempts (192 of 559) and 63.5% from the free throw line. They are averaging 62.8 pts per game (360th in the country) while going 42.8% from the field.

On defense, the Falcons are forcing their opponents into 10.3 turnovers per game while drawing 18.3 fouls. They currently rank 140th in college in giving up assists to their opponents with 302 surrendered for the year. The Falcons defense is allowing an opponent FG percentage of 47.6% (623 of 1,310) and they concede 33.7 rebounds per game as a unit. They relinquish 37.1% from 3-point land while they are 213th in the nation in points per game from their opponents (72.4).

The last time they took the court, the UNLV Rebels went home victorious with a score of 68-57 against Wyoming. In the matter of rebounds, UNLV allowed Wyoming to get 29 in total (10 offensive). They finished 19.0% from downtown by connecting on 4 out of 21 and finished the game at 3 of 9 from the charity stripe (33.3%). The Rebels permitted Wyoming to convert 25 of their 59 attempts from the field which gave them a percentage of 42.4% in this matchup. Overall, the Rebels shot 23 out of 50 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 46.0%. In terms of shooting from beyond the arc, UNLV converted 6 out of their 16 tries (37.5%). They were able to knock down 16 of the free throws for a rate of 84.2%. Wyoming committed 17 personal fouls for this game which got the Rebels to the charity stripe for 19 tries. They also turned the ball over 10 times, while getting 5 steals for the game. The Rebels earned 26 defensive rebounds and 4 offensive boards totaling 30 in this matchup.

Dedan Thomas Jr. ended up being a major contributor for the Rebels for the matchup. He had 18 points in his 36 mins of playing time and earned 3 assists in the matchup. He buried 6 of 13 for the game giving him a field goal percentage of 46.2%, and had 1 rebound.

UNLV has a mark of 12-12 on the year. The Rebels are responsible for committing 16.4 fouls every game while shooting 72.2% from the free throw line. They are earning an assist 12.1 times per contest (301st in D-1) and they turn it over 10.4 times per game. UNLV has accounted for 1,691 pts on the year (70.5 per contest) and they pull in 32.6 boards per game. As an offensive unit, the Rebels are shooting 44.5% from the floor, which ranks them 200th in the nation.

The Rebels on the defensive end are ranked 129th in college hoops in points per game surrendered with 70.0. They are able to force 12.6 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 43.6% from the floor (182nd in college hoops). The UNLV defense concedes 33.7% on 3-point attempts (195 of 578) and their opposition makes 71.0% of their free throw shots. They have conceded 15.0 assists and 35.8 rebounds every game, which has them ranked 320th and 261st in those defensive categories.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take UNLV

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