Air Force Falcons vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction, 1/7/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Air Force Falcons vs San Diego State Aztecs

Date: Tuesday, January 7, 2025

Location: Viejas Arena in San Diego, CA

TV: ESPN+

Viejas Arena is where the San Diego State Aztecs (9-3) will play the Air Force Falcons (3-11) on Tuesday.

The Air Force Falcons stepped onto the hardwood against Wyoming and went home with a loss by a final score of 70-65 in their last contest. When discussing personal fouls, the Falcons finished with 20 while Wyoming recorded 17 personal fouls. They also converted 9 of 13 attempts from distance. Wyoming finished 72.2% at the free throw line by knocking down 13 of 18 tries. Additionally, Wyoming grabbed 25 rebounds (5 offensive, 20 defensive), but didn't notch a rejection. Wyoming distributed 11 dimes and had 5 steals in this game. When discussing defense, Air Force allowed their opponent to shoot 57.1% from the field on 24 of 42 shooting. They also doled out 16 assists in the matchup while forcing the other team into 14 turnovers and earning 6 steals. In terms of getting rebounds, they earned 19 with 3 of them being offensive. From the charity stripe, the Falcons buried 5 of their 13 shots for a percentage of 38.5%. Air Force wrapped up the game with a 56.5% field goal percentage (26 out of 46) and converted 8 of their 18 3-point attempts.

Wesley Celichowski is one guy who played a role for the game. He walked away from this one shooting 80.0% from the floor and also dished out 1 assist. He saw the court for 23 mins and snagged 4 rebounds. He walked away with 19 points on 8 out of 10 shooting.

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Air Force will enter this contest with a record of 3-11 for the season. They currently have an average of 65.1 pts per contest (343rd in the country) while going 46.9% from the floor. The Falcons are shooting 34.6% from downtown (111 of 321) and 60.5% from the charity stripe. As a team, Air Force is collecting 29.1 boards per contest and is sitting with 198 assists for the campaign, which is 224th in Division 1 in terms of passing the rock. They are turning it over 12.9 times per game and as a squad they are committing 17.4 fouls on a nightly basis.

When they are on defense, the Falcons are forcing their opponents into 11.4 turnovers per contest and they draw 19.1 fouls. They currently rank 88th in the country in allowing assists to the opposition with 168 conceded on the campaign. The Falcons defense is giving up an opponent FG percentage of 47.2% (351 of 744) and they relinquish 32.2 rebounds per contest as a unit. They are conceding 37.8% on three-point shots and they rank 148th in the country in opponents PPG (70.0).

In their last game, the San Diego State Aztecs went home victorious with a score of 76-68 when they faced Boise State. The Aztecs corralled 23 defensive boards and 12 offensive rebounds for a total of 35 in the matchup. They also coughed it up 11 times, while recording 7 steals for the contest. Boise State earned 23 fouls for the contest which took the Aztecs to the free throw line for a total of 24 shots. They were able to knock down 15 of the free throw attempts for a clip of 62.5%. In regard to shots from downtown, San Diego State converted 7 out of 17 tries (41.2%). Overall, the Aztecs went 27 out of 61 from the floor which had them sitting at 44.3%. The Aztecs permitted Boise State to knock down 20 of their 53 attempts from the field which left them shooting 37.7% for the game. They finished 23.3% from three-point range via 7 of 30 and finished the game at 21 out of 25 at the free throw line (84.0%). With respect to how they rebounded, San Diego State allowed Boise State to grab 26 in total (6 offensive).

Miles Byrd pitched in for the Aztecs in this contest. He recorded 22 points in his 34 mins of playing time and totaled 2 assists in this matchup. He knocked down 8 out of 15 for this contest for a rate of 53.3%, and had 4 rebounds.

San Diego State has a mark of 9-3 for the year. The Aztecs commit 17.3 fouls per game and they shoot 70.6% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 13.3 times per game (234th in D-1) and they turn it over 10.8 times per game. San Diego State has totaled 894 points so far this season (74.5 per game) and they snag 37.8 boards per contest. On the offensive side of the ball, the Aztecs are connecting on 44.8% from the field, which has them ranked 204th in college hoops.

The Aztecs on the defensive side of the court are 26th in college in points given up per game with 63.9. They have forced 13.3 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 35.7% from the floor (4th in college hoops). The San Diego State defense allows 28.4% on shots from 3-point land (91 of 320) and opponents are making 73.9% of their free throw attempts. They allow 11.3 assists and 35.9 boards every game, which has them ranked 66th and 272nd in college hoops.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Air Force

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