Air Force Falcons vs New Mexico Lobos Prediction, 3/1/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Air Force Falcons vs New Mexico Lobos

Date: Saturday, March 1, 2025

Location: The Pit in Villanova, PA

TV: ESPN+

The Air Force Falcons (4-24) are en route to The Pit on Saturday where they will meet the New Mexico Lobos (22-6).

The Air Force Falcons faced Colorado State and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 77-55 in their last contest. When talking about personal fouls, the Falcons finished with 16 and Colorado State had 16 personal fouls. They also buried 8 of 20 shots from downtown. Colorado State finished 72.2% from the free throw line by making 13 of 18 tries. Furthermore, Colorado State pulled down 29 rebounds (8 offensive, 21 defensive), but didn't record a block for the team. Colorado State dished out 15 assists and had 10 steals in this contest. In terms of the defense, Air Force allowed the other team to shoot 50.9% from the field on 28 out of 55 shooting. They also doled out 11 assists in this contest as well as forcing the opposition into 12 turnovers and getting 6 steals. In regard to grabbing boards, they compiled 22 with 6 of them being on the offensive end. When they shot from the free throw line, the Falcons buried 13 of 17 attempts for a rate of 76.5%. Air Force finished the game with a 42.2% FG percentage (19 out of 45) and converted 4 of their 17 shots from beyond the arc.

Ethan Taylor is one guy who came through for the contest. He finished the game shooting 45.5% from the field and distributed 2 dimes. He played 35 minutes played and totaled 3 rebounds. He ended up scoring 13 points on 5 out of 11 shooting.

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Air Force enters this contest with a win-loss record of 4-24 for the campaign. They are averaging 62.4 points per contest (360th in D-1) while connecting on 42.4% from the floor. The Falcons are hitting 33.5% on shots beyond the perimeter (225 of 671) and 63.9% from the charity stripe. As a team, Air Force is collecting 29.8 rebounds per game and has racked up 371 assists this season, which ranks 229th in college in terms of passing. They turn it over 13.4 times per game and as a group are committing 17.6 fouls every game.

On defense, the Falcons are able to force 10.4 turnovers per contest and they draw 17.6 fouls. They surrender 37.0% from 3-point land and they are ranked 202nd in D-1 in PPG allowed (72.5). The Falcons defensively are giving up a field goal percentage of 47.9% (732 of 1,528) and they concede 34.0 rebounds per contest as a team. They are ranked 105th in college hoops in allowing assists to the opposition with 349 conceded so far this season.

The last time they took the court, the New Mexico Lobos took a loss by a final score of 73-65 when they played San Diego State. The Lobos were able to snag 23 defensive rebounds and 13 offensive boards totaling 36 for this contest. They turned it over 12 times, while getting 10 steals for the matchup. San Diego State was called for 19 fouls for this game which got the Lobos to the free throw line for 16 shots. They were able to make 12 of the free throw tries for a clip of 75.0%. In the matter of 3-point attempts, New Mexico knocked down 9 of 28 attempts (32.1%). When the final whistle blew, the Lobos ended up going 22 for 64 from the field which had them shooting 34.4%. The Lobos allowed San Diego State to make 25 of 52 attempts from the floor which left them with a rate of 48.1% for the contest. They finished the game shooting 42.9% from 3-point land by going 9 of 21 and finished the contest at 14 out of 22 from the charity stripe (63.6%). With respect to how they attacked the glass, New Mexico allowed San Diego State to grab 32 in all (5 offensive).

Donovan Dent pitched in for the Lobos in this matchup. He converted 9 of 20 in the matchup for a rate of 45.0%, but went home without a rebound. He totaled 26 points in his 38 mins on the court and totaled 7 dimes for the game.

New Mexico has a mark of 22-6 this season. As an offense, the Lobos are hitting on 46.0% from the field, which is 117th in D-1. New Mexico has accumulated 2,305 points on the season (82.3 per game) and they grab 40.0 boards per game. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 15.4 times per contest (74th in the country) and they turn it over 11.8 times per contest. The Lobos commit 18.0 personal fouls every game and they shoot 69.0% from the free throw line.

The New Mexico defense gives up 34.8% on shots from beyond the perimeter (217 of 623) and opponents are connecting on 65.7% of their free throw attempts. They give up 14.9 assists and 35.4 boards every game, ranking them 311th and 243rd in college hoops. The Lobos are ranked 177th in D-1 in PPG allowed with 71.6. They are able to force 15.3 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 42.9% from the field (134th in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New Mexico

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