Air Force Falcons vs Nevada Wolf Pack Prediction, 1/14/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Air Force Falcons vs Nevada Wolf Pack

Date: Tuesday, January 14, 2025

Location: Lawlor Events Center in Reno, NV

TV: ESPN+

The Air Force Falcons (3-13) are on their way to Lawlor Events Center on Tuesday where they will attempt to beat the Nevada Wolf Pack (9-7).

The Air Force Falcons faced off with San Jose State and took a loss by a score of 69-62 in their last game. Air Force finished the contest having earned a 41.4% field goal percentage (24 of 58) and made 11 out of their 27 three-point attempts. At the charity stripe, the Falcons converted 3 of 6 shots for a percentage of 50.0%. With respect to rebounding, they compiled 23 with 7 of them being on the offensive end. They also dished out 16 assists in this matchup as well as forcing the opposition into 12 turnovers and having 6 steals. In the matter of defense, Air Force allowed the other team to go 49.1% from the field on 26 out of 53 shooting. San Jose State doled out 12 assists and had 10 steals in this matchup. On top of that, San Jose State collected 30 rebounds (7 offensive, 23 defensive), but wasn't able to record a rejection. San Jose State finished the game shooting 75.0% from the charity stripe by knocking down 9 of their 12 attempts. They also made 8 out of their 18 attempts from beyond the arc. In relation to fouls, the Falcons ended up with 12 while San Jose State racked up 9 fouls.

Ethan Taylor is someone who was a factor in the matchup. He walked away with 16 points on 6 of 16 shooting. He saw the court for 37 minutes played and also totaled 2 rebounds. He went 37.5% from the floor and also distributed 6 assists.

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Air Force comes into this matchup with a win-loss mark of 3-13 for the year. They lose possession by turning the ball over 13.3 times per contest and as a team are committing 16.9 fouls per game. As a team, Air Force is grabbing 28.7 boards per contest and has 220 assists for the campaign, which is 223rd in college in terms of passing the ball. The Falcons are shooting 34.5% on shots from 3-point land (127 of 368) and 59.4% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 63.2 points per outing (357th in the nation) while connecting on 45.8% from the field.

Defensively, the Falcons are able to force 11.4 turnovers every game and they draw 18.4 fouls. They currently rank 75th in the country in allowing assists with 188 surrendered on the campaign. The Falcons defense is giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 46.4% (402 of 866) and they relinquish 33.4 boards per game as a squad. They are giving up 36.9% from beyond the arc while they are 130th in college in PPG allowed (69.8).

The last time they took the hardwood, the Nevada Wolf Pack got the victory with a final of 77-66 when they played Fresno State. In reference to cleaning the glass, Nevada permitted Fresno State to pull down 32 in total (6 on the offensive glass). They finished 37.5% from 3-point land by shooting 9 out of 24 and ended up going 19 out of 27 from the free throw line (70.4%). The Wolf Pack permitted Fresno State to make 19 of 55 attempts from the field which left them with a shooting percentage of 34.5% in this game. When all was said and done, the Wolf Pack finished shooting 27 out of 69 from the field which gave them a percentage of 39.1%. Concerning shots from distance, Nevada converted 5 of their 29 tries (17.2%). They were able to convert 18 of those for a percentage of 72.0%. Fresno State was called for 23 personal fouls for the matchup which got the Wolf Pack to the charity stripe for 25 tries. They gave up possession of the ball 11 times, while earning 6 steals for the game. The Wolf Pack snagged 32 defensive rebounds and 16 offensive rebounds totaling 48 in the game.

Nick Davidson was important for the Wolf Pack for the matchup. He earned 20 points in his 36 mins of playing time and had 4 assists for this contest. He converted 6 of 12 for this contest giving him a rate of 50.0%, and added 14 rebounds.

Nevada has a record of 9-7 so far this season. The Wolf Pack are responsible for committing 18.1 fouls per game while shooting 69.8% from the charity stripe. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 15.7 times per contest (89th in college hoops) and they are turning it over 10.9 times per game. Nevada has accounted for 1,204 points for the campaign (75.3 per game) and they snag 34.8 rebounds per game. As an offensive team, the Wolf Pack are shooting 47.6% from the field, which ranks them 63rd in the nation.

The Wolf Pack on the defensive end are ranked 71st in college in points per game surrendered with 67.4. They are forcing 12.6 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 42.0% from the floor (116th in D-1). The Nevada defense gives up 34.3% on three-point shots (127 of 370) and their opponents are converting on 72.9% of their shots from the free throw line. They allow 12.9 dimes and 30.8 boards on a nightly basis, which ranks 171st and 23rd in those defensive categories.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Air Force

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