Virginia Cavaliers vs Louisville Cardinals Prediction, 1/27/2024 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Virginia Cavaliers vs Louisville Cardinals

Date: Saturday, January 27, 2024

Location: KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, KY

TV: ESPN

The Louisville Cardinals (6-13) will try to defeat the Virginia Cavaliers (14-5) at KFC Yum! Center on Saturday.

The Virginia Cavaliers faced North Carolina State and went home with a win by a final score of 59-53 in their last game. When discussing personal fouls, the Cavaliers walked away with 8 and North Carolina State finished the game with 16 personal fouls. They knocked down 4 of 14 shots from downtown. North Carolina State finished the contest at 83.3% at the free throw line by knocking down 5 of 6 attempts. On top of that, North Carolina State collected 31 rebounds (6 offensive, 25 defensive), but couldn't earn a rejection. North Carolina State doled out 7 assists and had 10 steals in the game. In terms of the defense, Virginia allowed the other team to go 34.9% from the floor on 22 of 63 shooting. They also recorded 13 assists for the contest as well as forcing 8 turnovers and getting 4 steals. With respect to getting rebounds, they collected a total of 44 with 15 of them being on the offensive end. From the charity stripe, the Cavaliers buried 7 of 13 shots for a percentage of 53.8%. Virginia finished the game with a 36.9% field goal percentage (24 of 65) and knocked down 4 of 17 3-point shots.

Ryan Dunn is a player who played a role for this contest. He ended up walking away with 13 points on 6 of 10 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 36 mins and collected 12 rebounds. He walked away from this one shooting 60.0% from the floor and also distributed 1 assist.

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Virginia heads into this matchup with a mark of 14-5 for the year. They lose possession via turnover 8.6 times per game and as a group they commit 13.1 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Virginia is pulling down 33.3 boards per game and has 296 assists for the season, which is 67th in D-1 in terms of passing the ball. The Cavaliers are hitting 35.7% from downtown (122 of 342) and 64.8% from the free throw line. They average 65.2 points per game (346th in Division 1) on 44.2% from the field.

When they are on defense, the Cavaliers are able to force 13.5 turnovers per contest while drawing 14.1 fouls. They are 52nd in the country in giving up assists to their opponents with 211 relinquished for the campaign. The Cavaliers defensively are giving up a FG percentage of 39.4% (398 of 1,010) and they concede 34.3 boards per game as a unit. They are conceding 31.5% on shots from distance while they are 3rd in D-1 in points per game from their opponents (57.9).

For their last game, the Louisville Cardinals took a loss by a final score of 83-69 when they played Duke. In the matter of rebounds, Louisville allowed Duke to collect 41 in total (14 on the offensive glass). They finished 36.0% from downtown by shooting 9 out of 25 and ended up shooting 16 of 22 at the free throw line (72.7%). The Cardinals allowed Duke to convert 29 of their 63 tries from the floor which had them shooting 46.0% for the matchup. In all, the Cardinals finished 24 for 52 from the field which had them sitting at 46.2%. In terms of shots from downtown, Louisville converted 5 out of their 17 tries (29.4%). They were able to make 16 of the free throws for a percentage of 66.7%. Duke was called for 22 fouls for this game which got the Cardinals to the free throw line for a total of 24 attempts. They coughed up the ball 10 times, while recording 4 steals for the game. The Cardinals pulled down 21 defensive rebounds and 5 offensive boards for a total of 26 for the game.

Brandon Huntley-Hatfield pitched in for the Cardinals in this game. He recorded 20 points in his 37 minutes on the court and totaled 2 dimes in the game. He converted 9 of 13 in the game for a rate of 69.2%, and had 11 rebounds.

Louisville has a record of 6-13 for the year. The Cardinals are committing 16.9 fouls every game and they shoot 73.5% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 11.4 times per contest (312th in Division 1) and they turn it over 12.1 times per contest. Louisville has tallied 1,385 points for the season (72.9 per contest) and they average 34.8 boards per game. When it comes to executing on offense, the Cardinals are hitting on 43.7% from the floor, which ranks them 236th in college basketball.

The Louisville defense allows 35.0% on shots from 3-point land (158 of 451) and their opponents are making 74.5% of their free throw attempts. They give up 15.4 assists and 35.7 total boards per game, which is ranked 340th and 225th in D-1. The Cardinals defensively are ranked 325th in D-1 in PPG given up with 78.1. They are forcing 11.5 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 46.2% from the floor (327th in Division 1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Virginia

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