Vanderbilt Commodores vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, 1/20/2024 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Vanderbilt Commodores vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

Date: Saturday, January 20, 2024

Location: Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville, MS

TV: SEC Network

Humphrey Coliseum is the location where the Mississippi State Bulldogs (12-5) will go up against the Vanderbilt Commodores (5-12) on Saturday.

The Vanderbilt Commodores faced Auburn and went home with a loss by a final score of 80-65 in their last game. In regard to personal fouls, the Commodores ended up finishing with 18 and Auburn accounted for 22 personal fouls. They converted 8 out of their 25 attempts from long range. Auburn walked away from this one shooting 81.8% when shooting free throws by burying 18 of their 22 attempts. Additionally, Auburn snagged 37 rebounds (14 offensive, 23 defensive), but couldn't earn a rejection. Auburn recorded 13 dimes and had 9 steals in the game. With regard to defending, Vanderbilt allowed the other team to shoot 46.6% from the floor on 27 of 58 shooting. They also recorded 4 assists for the matchup while forcing 10 turnovers and getting 8 steals. In reference to hauling in boards, they earned 29 with 13 of them being offensive. At the charity stripe, the Commodores made 21 of their 30 attempts for a percentage of 70.0%. Vanderbilt wrapped up the game having earned a 37.7% field goal percentage (20 out of 53) and buried 4 of their 18 shots from downtown.

Tyrin Lawrence is a guy who was a major factor for this game. He finished 25.0% from the floor and also earned 2 dimes. He played 34 mins played and also snagged 3 boards. He accounted for 15 points on 3 out of 12 shooting.

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Vanderbilt enters this matchup with a win-loss mark of 5-12 on the season. They cough up possession 11.1 times per contest and as a squad they commit 15.1 personal fouls every game. As a unit, Vanderbilt is pulling in 35.8 boards per game and has accumulated 166 assists so far this season, which is 354th in D-1 in terms of passing the rock. The Commodores are shooting 28.6% on shots from 3-point land (117 of 409) and 71.4% from the free throw line. They average 67.9 points per game (315th in the nation) while hitting 40.0% from the floor.

When they are on defense, the Commodores have forced 11.0 turnovers per game while drawing 17.8 personal fouls. They are currently ranked 169th in college hoops in allowing assists to their opponents with 216 surrendered so far this year. The Commodores are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 43.9% (429 of 977) and they surrender 36.4 rebounds per game as a squad. They give up 37.5% on shots from downtown and they are 201st in Division 1 in PPG allowed (72.2).

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Mississippi State Bulldogs took a defeat with a final score of 90-77 when they played Kentucky. The Bulldogs earned 19 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive boards for a total of 29 for the game. They also coughed up the ball 9 times, while recording 9 steals in the matchup. Kentucky had 9 personal fouls in the matchup which took the Bulldogs to the free throw line for a total of 10 attempts. They were able to make 6 of those for a rate of 60.0%. With regard to shooting from downtown, Mississippi State buried 9 of 27 tries (33.3%). In all, the Bulldogs shot 31 for 69 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 44.9%. The Bulldogs allowed Kentucky to convert 30 out of 54 attempts from the field which had them shooting 55.6% for this game. They finished 30.4% from downtown by going 7 out of 23 and walked away from this one shooting 23 out of 27 from the free throw line (85.2%). When it comes to how they cleaned up the glass, Mississippi State allowed Kentucky to grab 30 overall (5 offensive).

Tolu Smith ended up being a major contributor for the Bulldogs in this contest. He earned 26 points in his 28 mins of playing time and accounted for 3 dimes for this contest. He knocked down 11 out of 15 for this game for a field goal percentage of 73.3%, and accumulated 8 rebounds.

Mississippi State has a mark of 12-5 on the campaign. The Bulldogs commit 16.6 personal fouls per game and they connect on 70.7% from the free throw line. They are earning an assist 15.2 times per contest (80th in the country) and they lose possession via turnover 12.9 times per contest. Mississippi State has accounted for 1,281 points on the year (75.4 per contest) and they pull down 38.5 rebounds per contest. When it comes to executing on offense, the Bulldogs are connecting on 45.2% from the field, which has them ranked 162nd in the country.

The Bulldogs on the defensive side of the court are 67th in college hoops in PPG allowed with 66.3. They have forced 13.1 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 40.4% from the floor (54th in D-1). The Mississippi State defense surrenders 27.9% on shots from beyond the arc (107 of 384) and opponents are knocking down 71.5% of their free throw attempts. They have allowed 10.8 dimes and 32.4 rebounds per game, ranking them 42nd and 58th in the country.

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Vanderbilt

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