Utah State Aggies vs Purdue Boilermakers Prediction, 3/24/2024 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Utah State Aggies vs Purdue Boilermakers

Date: Sunday, March 24, 2024

Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Utah State (+12)

Gainbridge Fieldhouse is where the Purdue Boilermakers (30-4) will go up against the Utah State Aggies (28-6) on Sunday in the 2nd round of the NCAA Tournament. Utah State is 12-point dogs from oddsmakers. The betting total comes in at 148.5.

The Utah State Aggies faced TCU and earned the victory with a final of 88-72 in their last contest. With respect to fouls, the Aggies finished with 13 while TCU accounted for 13 fouls. They also made 7 of 22 shots from 3-point range. TCU finished the game shooting 77.3% at the charity stripe by making 17 of 22 attempts. Additionally, TCU grabbed 35 rebounds (18 offensive, 17 defensive), but didn't notch a rejection. TCU totaled 13 dimes and had 6 steals in the matchup. Concerning the defense, Utah State let their opponent shoot 35.8% from the floor on 24 of 67 shooting. They also doled out 22 dimes for the game while forcing 13 turnovers and having 10 steals. In reference to getting rebounds, they earned 26 with 4 of them being of the offensive variety. At the free throw line, the Aggies converted 14 of 15 tries for a percentage of 93.3%. Utah State finished with a 55.0% field goal percentage (33 out of 60) and buried 8 of their 19 3-pointers.

Ian Martinez is one player who played a role for this game. He left the arena with 21 points on 5 out of 9 shooting. He was on the court for 35 mins played and also totaled 4 rebounds. He finished 55.6% from the floor and also distributed 4 dimes.

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Utah State enters this one with a mark of 28-6 this year. They are turning it over 11.1 times per game and as a group they are committing 16.9 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Utah State is pulling down 36.1 rebounds per contest and has accounted for 563 dimes on the season, which has them ranked 17th in the country in terms of passing. The Aggies are connecting on 33.3% on three-point shots (217 of 651) and 72.0% from the free throw line. They are averaging 80.0 points per game (40th in Division 1) while connecting on 49.5% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Aggies are able to force 12.0 turnovers per game while drawing 18.7 personal fouls. They are 204th in the nation in allowing assists to the opposition with 427 conceded on the year. The Aggies defense is giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 43.4% (868 of 2,002) and they surrender 32.6 boards per game as a team. They are giving up 28.7% on shots from downtown and they are 125th in college basketball in PPG allowed (70.3).

The last time they took the court, the Purdue Boilermakers got the victory with a final of 78-50 against Grambling. The Boilermakers corralled 29 defensive rebounds and 17 offensive rebounds for a total of 46 in this game. They coughed it up 10 times, while getting 4 steals in this game. Grambling had 19 fouls in this matchup which got the Boilermakers to the charity stripe for 22 shots. They were able to convert 13 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 59.1%. In reference to 3-point attempts, Purdue made 9 out of their 24 attempts (37.5%). When the final whistle was blown, the Boilermakers finished 28 for 59 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 47.5%. The Boilermakers allowed Grambling to make 20 of 55 attempts from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 36.4% for the contest. They shot 25.0% from behind the 3-point line by shooting 3 of 12 and finished the contest at 7 of 10 from the free throw line (70.0%). In the matter of cleaning up the glass, Purdue permitted Grambling to get 20 in total (3 on the offensive glass).

Zach Edey ended up being a major contributor for the Boilermakers for the matchup. He accumulated 30 points in his 31 minutes on the court and had 2 dimes in the game. He buried 11 out of 17 for the matchup for a rate of 64.7%, and totaled 21 rebounds.

Purdue has a win-loss mark of 30-4 on the year. On the offensive side of the ball, the Boilermakers are shooting 48.8% from the floor, which has them ranked 14th in the nation. Purdue has accounted for 2,830 points so far this year (83.2 per game) and they collect 40.6 rebounds per contest. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 18.5 times per contest (4th in the country) and they are turning it over 11.4 times per game. The Boilermakers are committing 14.1 fouls every game and they hit 71.8% from the free throw line.

The Purdue defense surrenders 31.3% on shots from 3-point land (244 of 780) and their opponents are making 72.4% of their free throw attempts. They concede 14.3 dimes and 29.4 total rebounds per game, which ranks them 296th and 4th in college hoops. The Boilermakers on the defensive end are ranked 102nd in college basketball in points per game surrendered with 69.6. They are forcing their opponents into 9.6 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 41.7% from the floor (56th in college basketball).

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Purdue (-12)

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