UNLV Rebels vs Boise State Broncos Prediction, 1/16/2024 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UNLV Rebels vs Boise State Broncos

Date: Tuesday, January 16, 2024

Location: ExtraMile Arena in Boise, ID

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: UNLV (+7)

The UNLV Rebels (8-7) are hitting the road to ExtraMile Arena on Tuesday where they will meet the Boise State Broncos (12-4). UNLV opens as 7-point dogs from oddsmakers. The over/under has been set at 141.

The UNLV Rebels played Utah State and took a loss by a score of 87-86 in their last game. UNLV finished the game having earned a 44.4% FG percentage (28 of 63) and made 7 out of their 24 3-point attempts. At the charity stripe, the Rebels knocked down 23 of 30 shots for a rate of 76.7%. Pertaining to pulling down boards, they collected a total of 31 with 12 of them being of the offensive variety. They also doled out 17 dimes for the matchup in addition to forcing the opposition into 10 turnovers and having 7 steals. In the matter of defending, UNLV allowed the other team to shoot 48.2% from the field on 27 of 56 shooting. Utah State distributed 17 dimes and had 5 steals for the game. Additionally, Utah State pulled down 33 boards (9 offensive, 24 defensive), but wrapped up the game with no rejections. Utah State walked away from this one shooting 92.0% at the charity stripe by making 23 of their 25 shots. They made 10 of 21 attempts from three-point range. With respect to personal fouls, the Rebels walked away with 18 while Utah State totaled 20 personal fouls.

Luis Rodriguez is a player who was a major contributor for the matchup. He accumulated 23 points on 7 out of 14 shooting. He played 37 minutes played and also collected 9 rebounds. He finished shooting 50.0% from the field but wasn't able to get an assist.

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UNLV will take the court with a mark of 8-7 on the year. They currently have an average of 77.3 points per game (110th in college hoops) while hitting 47.0% from the field. The Rebels are connecting on 34.1% on shots from beyond the arc (119 of 349) and 70.9% from the free throw line. As a unit, UNLV is pulling in 34.3 rebounds per game and has accumulated 233 assists on the campaign, which is 152nd in college hoops in terms of passing the rock. They turn the ball over 10.8 times per game and as a basketball team are committing 16.2 personal fouls on a nightly basis.

On the defensive end of the court, the Rebels have forced 14.3 turnovers per game and they draw 16.6 personal fouls. They are giving up 33.6% from 3-point land and they rank 141st in college hoops in points per game allowed (69.9). The Rebels defense is allowing a shooting percentage of 43.1% (382 of 886) and they surrender 36.1 rebounds per game as a basketball team. They currently rank 172nd in college hoops in giving up assists to the opposition with 208 relinquished this season.

The last time they took the court, the Boise State Broncos went home victorious with a score of 64-56 when they faced Nevada. In the matter of how they attacked the glass, Boise State allowed Nevada to get 24 in total (2 offensive). They finished 25.0% from beyond the arc by going 3 out of 12 and ended up going 17 out of 22 from the free throw line (77.3%). The Broncos permitted Nevada to convert 18 of 50 attempts from the field which gave them a percentage of 36.0% for this contest. Overall, the Broncos finished 21 out of 51 from the floor which had them at 41.2%. Pertaining to shots from beyond the perimeter, Boise State made 5 of their 22 attempts (22.7%). They were able to knock down 17 of them for a percentage of 85.0%. Nevada had 18 fouls in this game which got the Broncos to the free throw line for a total of 20 attempts. They also turned the ball over 17 times, while recording 4 steals for the contest. The Broncos were able to pull down 31 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive rebounds totaling 41 for the contest.

Tyson Degenhart ended up being important for the Broncos for the contest. He racked up 20 points in his 36 minutes on the court and totaled 4 assists in the game. He converted 6 out of 9 for the contest for a field goal rate of 66.7%, and accounted for 9 rebounds.

Boise State has a win-loss mark of 12-4 this season. The Broncos commit 16.5 personal fouls per contest and they shoot 72.1% from the free throw line. They are assisting teammates 12.9 times per contest (233rd in the country) and they are turning it over 12.2 times per game. Boise State has totaled 1,193 pts so far this season (74.6 per game) and they average 37.4 boards per contest. In terms of offensive execution, the Broncos are connecting on 45.7% from the floor, which is ranked 138th in college basketball.

The Broncos on the defensive side of the court are 38th in college basketball in points given up per game with 64.8. They are forcing 12.3 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 42.7% from the field (156th in college basketball). The Boise State defense gives up 30.3% from downtown (89 of 294) and opponents are converting on 70.9% of their shots from the free throw line. They have surrendered 11.1 dimes and 29.7 boards every game, which is 56th and 9th in Division 1.

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boise State (-7)

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