Texas State Bobcats vs Troy Trojans Prediction, 3/9/2024 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas State Bobcats vs Troy Trojans

Date: Saturday, March 9, 2024

Location: Pensacola Bay Center in Pensacola, FL

TV: ESPN+

The Texas State Bobcats (15-17) are hitting the road to Pensacola Bay Center on Saturday where they will try to defeat the Troy Trojans (20-11).

The Texas State Bobcats took the court against Southern Miss and took home the win by a score of 75-59 in their last contest. Texas State walked away from the game having earned a 46.4% FG percentage (26 of 56) and knocked down 2 out of their 7 three-point shots. From the free throw line, the Bobcats made 21 of their 27 attempts for a rate of 77.8%. In terms of grabbing rebounds, they compiled 37 with 10 of them being of the offensive variety. They also recorded 8 dimes for the matchup in addition to forcing the other team into 15 turnovers and earning 9 steals. In the matter of defense, Texas State allowed their opponent to shoot 40.7% from the floor on 22 out of 54 shooting. Southern Miss earned 12 dimes and had 8 steals in this contest. Furthermore, Southern Miss snagged 25 rebounds (7 offensive, 18 defensive), but didn't notch a rejection. Southern Miss walked away from this one shooting 57.9% at the free throw line by knocking down 11 of 19 shots. They buried 4 of their 16 tries from downtown. In regard to personal fouls, the Bobcats finished with 16 and Southern Miss recorded 19 personal fouls.

Dontae Horne is one player who was a factor for the contest. He finished 55.6% from the field but had no assists when the game ended. He saw the court for 28 mins played and collected 7 rebounds. He scored 20 points on 5 of 9 shooting.

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Texas State heads into this matchup with a win-loss record of 15-17 for the year. They average 69.6 pts per contest (290th in college hoops) while connecting on 44.0% from the field. The Bobcats are hitting 32.3% on 3-point shots (147 of 455) and 68.8% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Texas State is pulling in 35.8 boards per game and has tallied 382 assists this year, which has them ranked 216th in D-1 in terms of passing. They turn it over 13.2 times per game and as a group they commit 17.6 fouls on a nightly basis.

When they are on the defensive end, the Bobcats are able to force 12.7 turnovers every game and they draw 17.8 fouls. They are giving up 31.4% on shots from downtown and they are 127th in Division 1 in opponents points per game (70.4). The Bobcats are giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 43.8% (785 of 1,793) and they surrender 34.0 rebounds per game as a unit. They currently rank 114th in D-1 in giving up assists to the opposition with 366 relinquished so far this year.

The last time they took the court, the Troy Trojans walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 82-79 against Texas State. The Trojans collected 24 defensive rebounds and 6 offensive rebounds totaling 30 in this game. They also coughed it up 15 times, while getting 13 steals for the matchup. Texas State was called for 21 personal fouls in this contest which took the Trojans to the charity stripe for 32 attempts. They were able to make 23 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 71.9%. In reference to shots from downtown, Troy knocked down 6 of 20 tries (30.0%). When the final whistle blew, the Trojans shot 25 for 54 from the floor which had them at 46.3%. The Trojans allowed Texas State to make 29 of 63 tries from the floor which gave them a percentage of 46.0% for this contest. They shot 21.4% from distance by going 3 out of 14 and ended up shooting 21 out of 33 from the free throw line (63.6%). In regard to attacking the glass, Troy allowed Texas State to grab 35 in all (12 offensive).

Tayton Conerway ended up being a major contributor for the Trojans for this contest. He totaled 14 points in his 27 mins of playing time and had 2 assists for this contest. He made 3 of 10 in this contest for a field goal percentage of 30.0%, and added 5 rebounds.

Troy has a win-loss mark of 20-11 on the season. When it comes to offensive execution, the Trojans are shooting 44.0% from the floor, which ranks 227th in college basketball. Troy has totaled 2,478 pts on the season (79.9 per game) and they average 38.7 boards per game. They are assisting teammates 13.6 times per contest (140th in college basketball) and they are giving up possession 13.6 times per game. The Trojans are committing 19.2 personal fouls every game and they connect on 73.7% from the free throw line.

The Troy defense surrenders 34.6% on shots from beyond the perimeter (206 of 595) and their opponents are connecting on 69.4% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have surrendered 10.7 dimes and 34.6 rebounds every game, which ranks them 29th and 170th in Division 1. The Trojans on the defensive side of the court are 134th in college basketball in PPG given up with 70.5. They are forcing 15.4 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 42.5% from the floor (109th in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Texas State

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