Tarleton State Texans vs SMU Mustangs Prediction, 11/4/2024 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tarleton State Texans vs SMU Mustangs

Date: Monday, November 4, 2024

Location: Moody Coliseum in Dallas, TX

TV: ESPN+

The SMU Mustangs (20-13 last season) will try to beat the Tarleton State Texans (25-10 last year) at Moody Coliseum on Monday.

The Tarleton State Texans took the court against IPFW and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 73-72 in their last game. Tarleton State ended the game with a 39.3% field goal percentage (24 of 61) and knocked down 7 of their 23 shots from distance. From the charity stripe, the Texans converted 17 of 23 shots for a percentage of 73.9%. In terms of hauling in boards, they collected 33 with 8 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 13 assists in the game while forcing the opposition into 15 turnovers and having 10 steals. In reference to defense, Tarleton State let their opponent shoot 47.6% from the field on 30 of 63 shooting. IPFW doled out 13 assists and had 10 steals for the contest. In addition, IPFW snagged 37 boards (8 offensive, 29 defensive), but couldn't earn a rejection. IPFW finished the game shooting 66.7% from the charity stripe by converting 6 of 9 attempts. They also buried 7 of 21 shots from long range. In reference to personal fouls, the Texans left the arena with 14 and IPFW recorded 18 personal fouls.

Adam Moussa is one player who played a role in this matchup. He recorded 16 points on 5 out of 9 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 26 mins and totaled 3 rebounds. He finished shooting 55.6% from the field and also recorded 4 dimes.

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Tarleton State enters this contest after finishing with a mark of 25-10 last year. They had an average of 74.1 points per game (160th in the country) while shooting 45.5% from the floor. The Texans connected on 32.6% on three-point shots (203 of 623) and 75.7% from the free throw line. As a squad, Tarleton State grabbed 34.1 rebounds per contest and had 482 assists over the course of last year, which had them ranked 101st in the country in terms of passing. They lost possession via turnover 11.3 times per game and as a unit committed 17.3 personal fouls every game.

When they were on defense, the Texans forced their opponents into 14.3 turnovers per contest while drawing 16.9 personal fouls. They conceded 33.1% from beyond the arc while they were 76th in college basketball in PPG allowed (68.6). The Texans defense gave up and opponent field goal percentage of 43.7% (854 of 1,956) and they conceded 34.8 rebounds per game as a basketball team. They were ranked 150th in college basketball in giving up assists to their opponents with 413 conceded last year.

When they last stepped on the court, the SMU Mustangs took a loss by a final score of 101-92 against Indiana State. Regarding cleaning the glass, SMU permitted Indiana State to collect 33 overall (9 on the offensive glass). They finished the game shooting 39.1% from behind the 3-point line by shooting 9 out of 23 and finished the contest at 30 out of 35 at the free throw line (85.7%). The Mustangs permitted Indiana State to convert 31 out of their 56 tries from the floor which gave them a percentage of 55.4% for the game. In all, the Mustangs went 31 out of 65 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 47.7%. With regard to shots from 3-point land, SMU converted 10 out of their 22 tries (45.5%). They were able to knock down 20 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 74.1%. Indiana State had 21 personal fouls for the game which took the Mustangs to the charity stripe for 27 shots. They also turned the ball over 10 times, while recording 6 steals for this game. The Mustangs were able to snag 15 defensive boards and 12 offensive rebounds for a total of 27 in the matchup.

Ja'Heim Hudson pitched in for the Mustangs for the contest. He made 7 of 8 for the matchup for a field goal rate of 87.5%, and earned 4 rebounds. He accumulated 21 points in his 22 minutes on the hardwood, but left the arena with no assists.

SMU had a record of 20-13 last season. On the offensive side of the ball, the Mustangs shot 44.7% from the floor, which ranked 174th in D-1. SMU scored 2,535 points last season (76.8 per game) and they grabbed 39.8 boards per game. They got an assist 15.7 times per game (42nd in college basketball) and they turned it over 11.3 times per game. The Mustangs were responsible for committing 17.1 fouls per contest and they shot 68.6% from the charity stripe.

The Mustangs defensively were ranked 83rd in college basketball in points per game surrendered with 68.8. They were able to force 13.0 turnovers on a nightly basis and allowed teams to shoot 41.3% from the field (42nd in D-1). The SMU defense conceded 31.7% on shots from beyond the arc (222 of 701) and opponents knocked down 71.6% of their free throw shots. They allowed 13.6 dimes and 34.7 boards every game, ranking them 250th and 177th in college hoops.

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take SMU

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