SMU Mustangs vs North Texas Mean Green Prediction, 1/25/2024 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: SMU Mustangs vs North Texas Mean Green

Date: Thursday, January 25, 2024

Location: The Super Pit in Denton, TX

TV: ESPN

The Super Pit is the site where the North Texas Mean Green (11-6) will attempt to beat the SMU Mustangs (13-5) on Thursday.

The SMU Mustangs faced Tulsa and took home the win by a score of 103-70 in their last game. SMU wrapped up the game having earned a 51.4% field goal percentage (36 of 70) and buried 12 of their 28 shots from beyond the perimeter. From the charity stripe, the Mustangs buried 19 of 27 attempts for a rate of 70.4%. In terms of hauling in rebounds, they compiled a total of 37 with 10 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 21 assists for this contest while forcing the other team into 18 turnovers and earning 13 steals. In regard to the defense, SMU let their opponent shoot 41.9% from the field on 26 out of 62 shooting. Tulsa totaled 17 assists and had 6 steals in this game. Furthermore, Tulsa had 29 rebounds (7 offensive, 22 defensive), but wrapped up the game with no rejections. Tulsa went 78.6% from the free throw line by knocking down 11 of their 14 tries. They also made 7 of 27 attempts from three-point range. In regard to fouls, the Mustangs ended up finishing with 17 while Tulsa racked up 18 fouls.

Chuck Harris is one player who was a major contributor in this matchup. He left the arena with 18 points on 6 out of 14 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 28 mins played and totaled 6 rebounds. He finished shooting 42.9% from the field and also distributed 10 assists.

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SMU will enter this matchup with a record of 13-5 so far this season. They are losing possession via turnover 12.1 times per contest and as a unit are committing 16.9 personal fouls every game. As a team, SMU is grabbing 40.6 boards per contest and has 291 dimes so far this year, which ranks 70th in the nation in terms of passing. The Mustangs are shooting 34.6% on shots from beyond the arc (135 of 390) and 68.9% from the charity stripe. They currently have an average of 76.3 points per outing (133rd in college basketball) while hitting 45.7% from the field.

When they are on the defensive end, the Mustangs are forcing 13.5 turnovers per game while drawing 14.8 personal fouls. They currently rank 82nd in college basketball in giving up assists to their opponents with 214 relinquished so far this year. The Mustangs are allowing and opponent field goal percentage of 37.0% (394 of 1,065) and they concede 34.9 rebounds per game as a group. They are surrendering 25.6% on shots from downtown and they are ranked 9th in college hoops in PPG allowed (62.4).

In their last game, the North Texas Mean Green took a loss by a final score of 56-44 when they played Charlotte. The Mean Green corralled 19 defensive rebounds and 11 offensive boards for a total of 30 in this contest. They coughed up the ball 6 times, while getting 7 steals for the contest. Charlotte earned 12 personal fouls for the matchup which got the Mean Green to the free throw line for a total of 11 attempts. They were able to make 9 of them for a rate of 81.8%. Regarding shots from downtown, North Texas made 1 of their 17 tries (5.9%). When this game wrapped up, the Mean Green ended up going 17 for 53 from the field which gave them a percentage of 32.1%. The Mean Green allowed Charlotte to convert 20 of their 47 tries from the floor which had them shooting 42.6% for this game. They wrapped up this game 37.5% from downtown by going 6 of 16 and ended up going 10 of 13 at the free throw line (76.9%). When it comes to how they attacked the glass, North Texas allowed Charlotte to get 32 in total (7 on the offensive glass).

Aaron Scott ended up having an impact for the Mean Green in this game. He knocked down 5 out of 13 in the matchup for a field goal percentage of 38.5%, and tallied 6 rebounds. He scored 13 points in his 39 mins of playing time, but didn't get an assist.

North Texas has a win-loss record of 11-6 on the year. On the offensive side of the court, the Mean Green are hitting on 42.8% from the floor, which is 284th in the nation. North Texas has 1,147 points for the year (67.5 per game) and they snag 37.0 rebounds per contest. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 10.4 times per game (350th in Division 1) and they turn it over 11.8 times per game. The Mean Green are responsible for committing 16.6 personal fouls every game and they go 75.3% from the charity stripe.

The North Texas defense gives up 29.7% on 3-pointers (94 of 317) and their opposition makes 69.6% of their free throw attempts. They have allowed 9.2 assists and 31.6 rebounds per game, which is ranked 6th and 34th in college basketball. The Mean Green are ranked 4th in college hoops in points given up per game with 58.3. They are forcing 12.3 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 38.2% from the floor (8th in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take SMU

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