San Francisco Dons vs St. Mary's Gaels Prediction, 2/20/2024 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Francisco Dons vs St. Mary's Gaels

Date: Tuesday, February 20, 2024

Location: University Credit Union Pavilion in Moraga, CA

TV: ESPN

The St. Mary's Gaels (21-6) will go up against the San Francisco Dons (21-6) at University Credit Union Pavilion on Tuesday.

The San Francisco Dons played Loyola Marymount and went home with a win by a final score of 82-59 in their last contest. San Francisco finished with a 54.1% FG percentage (33 out of 61) and knocked down 13 out of their 26 3-pointers. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Dons made 3 of 4 tries for a percentage of 75.0%. In regard to hauling in rebounds, they compiled 34 with 6 of them being of the offensive sort. They also dished out 19 assists in this contest while forcing the opposition into 8 turnovers and earning 5 steals. With regard to defending, San Francisco allowed their opponent to shoot 39.6% from the floor on 21 out of 53 shooting. Loyola Marymount recorded 8 assists and had 1 steal in the matchup. Furthermore, Loyola Marymount had 23 rebounds (5 offensive, 18 defensive), but wrapped up the game with no rejections. Loyola Marymount shot 71.4% when shooting free throws by converting 10 of 14 tries. They also converted 7 of their 21 tries from distance. In relation to personal fouls, the Dons finished with 14 and Loyola Marymount accumulated 7 personal fouls.

Ndewedo Newbury is a player who was a major factor in the matchup. He finished with 16 points on 6 of 10 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 28 mins and totaled 4 boards. He finished shooting 60.0% from the field and recorded 2 dimes.

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San Francisco heads into this matchup with a record of 21-6 this season. They turn the ball over 12.0 times per contest and as a unit are committing 17.9 fouls every game. As a unit, San Francisco is snagging 34.7 boards per game and has totaled 436 assists for the campaign, which is 21st in the country in terms of passing. The Dons are hitting 34.9% on three-point shots (227 of 650) and 77.1% from the free throw line. They have an average of 79.0 points per game (59th in the nation) while connecting on 49.4% from the floor.

When they are on the defensive end, the Dons have forced 14.6 turnovers per game while drawing 15.4 fouls. They relinquish 32.6% on three-point shots while they are 26th in college basketball in points per game allowed (65.0). The Dons defensively are giving up a FG percentage of 42.1% (603 of 1,432) and they surrender 28.9 boards per game as a unit. They are ranked 44th in college basketball in giving up assists to their opponents with 285 conceded so far this year.

In their last game, the St. Mary's Gaels went home victorious with a score of 103-59 when they faced Pepperdine. The Gaels recorded 28 defensive rebounds and 8 offensive rebounds totaling 36 in the matchup. They also coughed up the ball 5 times, while recording 7 steals in this contest. Pepperdine committed 10 personal fouls for this contest which got the Gaels to the charity stripe for 8 attempts. They were able to make 7 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 87.5%. Concerning three-point shots, St. Mary's converted 12 out of 19 tries (63.2%). When the final whistle was blown, the Gaels walked away from this one shooting 42 out of 68 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 61.8%. The Gaels allowed Pepperdine to bury 18 of 50 tries from the floor which had them sitting at 36.0% for the game. They finished shooting 35.7% from distance by shooting 5 out of 14 and ended up shooting 18 out of 23 from the charity stripe (78.3%). Concerning rebounding, St. Mary's allowed Pepperdine to pull down 16 in all (3 offensive).

Augustas Marciulionis pitched in for the Gaels in this matchup. He converted 11 out of 16 in this matchup for a field goal percentage of 68.8%, and accounted for 5 rebounds. He recorded 28 points in his 34 mins of playing time and earned 6 assists for this game.

St. Mary's has a mark of 21-6 on the year. The Gaels are responsible for committing 16.4 fouls per game while shooting 68.7% from the free throw line. Their rate of earning assists is at 16.0 times per contest (40th in college hoops) and they turn it over 10.0 times per game. St. Mary's has totaled 2,004 points for the campaign (74.2 per contest) and they average 40.1 boards per game. When it comes to offense, the Gaels are connecting on 46.3% from the floor, which ranks them 90th in the nation.

The St. Mary's defense allows 30.7% on 3-pointers (131 of 427) and opponents are connecting on 70.7% of their free throw shots. They relinquish 9.3 assists and 28.1 boards on a nightly basis, which is ranked 3rd and 1st in college basketball. The Gaels on the defensive end are ranked 2nd in D-1 in points given up per game with 57.7. They have forced 11.6 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 38.5% from the field (5th in Division 1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Francisco

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