San Diego Toreros vs St. Mary's Gaels Prediction, 2/24/2024 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Toreros vs St. Mary's Gaels

Date: Saturday, February 24, 2024

Location: University Credit Union Pavilion in Moraga, CA

TV: ESPN+

The San Diego Toreros (16-12) are headed to University Credit Union Pavilion on Saturday where they will attempt to beat the St. Mary's Gaels (22-6).

The San Diego Toreros stepped onto the hardwood against Santa Clara and ended up losing by a score of 82-69 in their last game. San Diego finished with a 39.3% FG percentage (24 out of 61) and made 5 of 22 three-point shots. At the charity stripe, the Toreros buried 16 of 24 shots for a rate of 66.7%. In regard to hauling in boards, they collected a total of 25 with 6 of them being on the offensive end. They also dished out 6 dimes for this contest as well as creating 11 turnovers and having 8 steals. Pertaining to the defense, San Diego allowed the other team to go 48.2% from the floor on 27 out of 56 shooting. Santa Clara recorded 18 dimes and had 3 steals in this contest. In addition, Santa Clara pulled down 40 rebounds (6 offensive, 34 defensive), but wasn't able to record a block. Santa Clara finished 84.0% when shooting free throws by knocking down 21 of 25 tries. They buried 7 of 21 tries from beyond the arc. When it comes to personal fouls, the Toreros ended up walking away with 22 while Santa Clara had 20 personal fouls.

Deuce Turner is a player who played a role in the matchup. He notched 30 points on 9 of 20 shooting. He played for 33 minutes played and also snagged 3 boards. He finished shooting 45.0% from the floor and also earned 1 assist.

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San Diego will play this game with a record of 16-12 on the year. They average 73.3 points per outing (204th in Division 1) while connecting on 44.2% from the field. The Toreros are shooting 35.3% from downtown (199 of 564) and 73.4% from the charity stripe. As a unit, San Diego is collecting 34.7 rebounds per contest and is sitting with 368 dimes for the season, which is 133rd in college basketball in terms of passing the rock. They turn it over 13.8 times per game and as a unit are committing 18.7 fouls on a nightly basis.

On defense, the Toreros are forcing their opponents into 12.9 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 16.7 personal fouls. They are surrendering 32.5% from beyond the arc and they are ranked 305th in the nation in points per game allowed (76.5). The Toreros defensively are giving up a shooting percentage of 45.1% (751 of 1,667) and they relinquish 36.5 boards per contest as a basketball team. They currently rank 358th in the country in allowing assists with 455 surrendered this season.

For their last game, the St. Mary's Gaels got the victory with a final of 70-66 against San Francisco. The Gaels were able to corral 22 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive boards for a total of 32 in the matchup. They turned it over 7 times, while getting 4 steals for the game. San Francisco committed 23 fouls for the game which took the Gaels to the free throw line for a total of 32 shots. They were able to bury 22 of the free throw tries for a rate of 68.8%. In relation to shooting from downtown, St. Mary's made 4 of their 11 attempts (36.4%). Overall, the Gaels went 22 out of 48 from the field which had them shooting 45.8%. The Gaels allowed San Francisco to convert 26 of 54 attempts from the field which gave them a rate of 48.1% for this game. They went 40.9% from three-point range by shooting 9 of 22 and walked away from this one shooting 5 of 8 from the free throw line (62.5%). Regarding attacking the glass, St. Mary's permitted San Francisco to get 22 in all (4 offensive).

Mitchell Saxen ended up being a factor for the Gaels in the game. He made 6 out of 11 in this contest giving him a field goal percentage of 54.5%, and had 13 rebounds. He scored 20 points in his 35 mins of playing time and added 2 dimes for the contest.

St. Mary's has a mark of 22-6 this year. On the offensive side of the court, the Gaels are shooting 46.3% from the field, which ranks 87th in college basketball. St. Mary's has 2,074 points for the year (74.1 per game) and they grab 40.0 boards per contest. They are dishing out assists 15.7 times per contest (44th in Division 1) and they are turning it over 10.0 times per game. The Gaels are responsible for committing 16.4 fouls per contest and they go 68.7% from the charity stripe.

The Gaels on defense are ranked 2nd in college basketball in points per game surrendered with 58.0. They are able to force 11.4 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 38.8% from the floor (5th in college basketball). The St. Mary's defense surrenders 31.2% on shots from beyond the arc (140 of 449) and their opponents are connecting on 70.6% of their shots from the free throw line. They concede 9.3 assists and 28.0 rebounds per game, which ranks them 3rd and 1st in college hoops.

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Diego

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