San Diego State Aztecs vs UConn Huskies Prediction, 3/28/2024 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego State Aztecs vs UConn Huskies

Date: Thursday, March 28, 2024

Location: TD Garden in Boston, MA

TV: TBS

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego State (+10)

TD Garden is where the UConn Huskies (33-3) will meet the San Diego State Aztecs (26-10) on Thursday in the Sweet 16. UConn opens as 10-point favorites. The over/under comes in at 134.

The San Diego State Aztecs stepped onto the hardwood against Yale and earned the victory with a final of 85-57 in their last game. San Diego State wrapped up the contest with a 52.7% FG percentage (29 out of 55) and knocked down 13 of 27 shots from beyond the perimeter. At the free throw line, the Aztecs converted 14 of their 17 shots for a rate of 82.4%. Pertaining to pulling down boards, they compiled a total of 37 with 6 of them being of the offensive sort. They also doled out 16 assists for this contest as well as creating 12 turnovers and getting 8 steals. With regard to the defense, San Diego State let their opponent shoot 37.0% from the floor on 20 out of 54 shooting. Yale doled out 13 assists and had 8 steals in this game. Furthermore, Yale had 22 rebounds (5 offensive, 17 defensive), but wasn't able to record a rejection. Yale ended up going 71.4% from the charity stripe by burying 10 of their 14 shots. They also converted 7 out of their 19 attempts from downtown. When talking about fouls, the Aztecs ended up with 15 while Yale had 14 fouls.

Jaedon Ledee is one guy who was a major factor in this matchup. He ended up walking away with 26 points on 9 of 12 shooting. He was on the court for 29 minutes and pulled down 9 rebounds. He went 75.0% from the field and also earned 1 assist.

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San Diego State enters this one with a record of 26-10 so far this year. They are averaging 74.7 pts per contest (144th in the nation) while hitting 44.2% from the field. The Aztecs are hitting 31.8% on three-point attempts (254 of 800) and 73.6% from the charity stripe. As a unit, San Diego State is collecting 38.0 boards per contest and has totaled 472 assists so far this season, which ranks 110th in the nation in terms of passing. They turn it over 11.1 times per game and as a group they are committing 17.5 personal fouls per contest.

When they are on the defensive end, the Aztecs have forced 12.5 turnovers per contest and they draw 18.7 fouls. They surrender 30.8% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they are ranked 28th in college hoops in PPG allowed (66.3). The Aztecs defense is giving up a FG percentage of 40.3% (827 of 2,052) and they surrender 33.2 boards per game as a unit. They are ranked 140th in D-1 in allowing assists with 409 conceded on the season.

The last time they took the court, the UConn Huskies went home victorious with a score of 75-58 when they faced Northwestern. With respect to attacking the glass, UConn permitted Northwestern to snag 27 in all (7 offensive). They finished shooting 26.7% from 3-point land by connecting on 4 of 15 and ended up going 10 of 10 at the free throw line (100.0%). The Huskies allowed Northwestern to knock down 22 of their 59 attempts from the floor which gave them a rate of 37.3% in this matchup. In all, the Huskies ended up shooting 29 for 54 from the floor which had them sitting at 53.7%. In the matter of shots from distance, UConn converted 3 out of 22 attempts (13.6%). They were able to knock down 14 of the free throws for a clip of 70.0%. Northwestern committed 17 fouls in the matchup which took the Huskies to the charity stripe for 20 attempts. They also turned it over 6 times, while earning 6 steals for this contest. The Huskies were able to snag 27 defensive boards and 5 offensive rebounds for a total of 32 in this game.

Tristen Newton was important for the Huskies in the game. He racked up 20 points in his 35 minutes on the hardwood and earned 10 dimes in this game. He knocked down 7 of 13 in the matchup for a field goal rate of 53.8%, and had 3 rebounds.

UConn has a win-loss mark of 33-3 on the campaign. The Huskies are responsible for committing 16.2 fouls per contest and they hit 74.2% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 18.7 times per game (3rd in the nation) and they turn it over 9.8 times per contest. UConn has accounted for 2,936 points this season (81.6 per game) and they grab 38.5 boards per game. On the offensive side of the court, the Huskies are shooting 49.8% from the field, which is ranked 5th in the nation.

The UConn defense surrenders 31.3% on shots from distance (211 of 674) and opponents are making 72.7% of their shots from the free throw line. They have surrendered 10.2 assists and 30.1 total boards per game, which has them ranked 12th and 7th in D-1. The Huskies are ranked 12th in college basketball in PPG given up with 63.9. They are forcing 10.7 TO's every game and have let teams shoot 39.5% from the floor (8th in college basketball).

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take UConn (-10)

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