San Diego State Aztecs vs New Mexico Lobos Prediction, 1/13/2024 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego State Aztecs vs New Mexico Lobos

Date: Saturday, January 13, 2024

Location: The Pit in Albuquerque, NM

TV: ESPN+

The Pit is the location where the New Mexico Lobos (13-3) will meet the San Diego State Aztecs (14-2) on Saturday.

The San Diego State Aztecs played San Jose State and notched a win by a score of 81-78 in their last contest. In regard to personal fouls, the Aztecs ended up finishing with 19 while San Jose State had 23 personal fouls. They also buried 9 of 27 shots from 3-point land. San Jose State shot 92.0% when shooting free throws by making 23 of their 25 attempts. Additionally, San Jose State pulled down 23 rebounds (5 offensive, 18 defensive), but didn't record a block for the team. San Jose State recorded 13 dimes and had 3 steals for this contest. Regarding defending, San Diego State allowed the other team to shoot 42.6% from the floor on 23 of 54 shooting. They also dished out 10 assists in this matchup as well as creating 8 turnovers and having 4 steals. In regard to pulling down rebounds, they compiled 32 with 11 of them being offensive. From the free throw line, the Aztecs converted 21 of their 29 shots for a rate of 72.4%. San Diego State ended with a 47.4% field goal percentage (27 out of 57) and buried 6 of their 18 3-pointers.

Jaedon Ledee is someone who was important for this contest. He shot 57.1% from the floor and distributed 2 assists. He was on the court for 36 minutes played and also snagged 10 rebounds. He finished with 31 points on 8 of 14 shooting.

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San Diego State will enter this contest with a record of 14-2 for the campaign. They are losing possession via turnover 11.1 times per contest and as a group are committing 17.1 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, San Diego State is pulling down 38.1 rebounds per game and has tallied 213 assists so far this season, which ranks 160th in D-1 in terms of passing. The Aztecs are hitting 32.6% on shots beyond the perimeter (114 of 350) and 73.9% from the free throw line. They have an average of 77.3 points per game (118th in Division 1) while going 45.1% from the floor.

Defensively, the Aztecs are forcing 13.2 turnovers per contest and they draw 19.5 fouls. They are surrendering 29.3% on shots from beyond the arc and they are 67th in college hoops in opponents PPG (66.0). The Aztecs defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 39.5% (369 of 933) and they relinquish 33.6 boards per contest as a unit. They are 144th in Division 1 in giving up assists to the opposition with 186 conceded this year.

The last time they took the hardwood, the New Mexico Lobos took a defeat with a final score of 83-73 when they faced UNLV. The Lobos were able to corral 23 defensive rebounds and 8 offensive boards totaling 31 in this game. They coughed it up 16 times, while earning 5 steals in this contest. UNLV was called for 18 personal fouls in this matchup which took the Lobos to the free throw line for a total of 20 tries. They were able to convert 17 of them for a percentage of 85.0%. In relation to shots from downtown, New Mexico converted 2 of 11 tries (18.2%). When the final whistle was blown, the Lobos finished 27 out of 55 from the floor which had them shooting 49.1%. The Lobos permitted UNLV to knock down 29 out of 58 tries from the field which left them with a rate of 50.0% in the matchup. They shot 45.5% from 3-point land by hitting 10 of 22 and finished the contest at 15 out of 19 at the free throw line (78.9%). Concerning how they rebounded, New Mexico allowed UNLV to get 23 in total (5 on the offensive side).

Jaelen House was important for the Lobos for the matchup. He earned 16 points in his 26 mins on the court and had 6 assists for this game. He buried 7 out of 11 in the matchup for a rate of 63.6%, and had 3 rebounds.

New Mexico has a record of 13-3 for the campaign. The Lobos have committed 18.9 personal fouls every game and they connect on 66.9% from the charity stripe. They are getting an assist 15.9 times per contest (56th in the nation) and they turn it over 10.7 times per contest. New Mexico has totaled 1,317 pts this season (82.3 per game) and they collect 39.7 rebounds per game. When it comes to executing on offense, the Lobos are connecting on 46.7% from the floor, which ranks them 90th in college hoops.

The Lobos on the defensive end are ranked 108th in college basketball in points given up per game with 68.3. They are forcing their opponents into 16.3 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 41.1% from the floor (90th in college basketball). The New Mexico defense concedes 30.8% on 3-point attempts (101 of 328) and their opponents are connecting on 72.3% of their shots from the free throw line. They have given up 12.6 dimes and 35.1 total rebounds per game, which ranks 167th and 187th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Diego State

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