North Texas Mean Green vs SMU Mustangs Prediction, 2/11/2024 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: North Texas Mean Green vs SMU Mustangs

Date: Sunday, February 11, 2024

Location: Moody Coliseum in University Park, TX

TV: ESPN+

The North Texas Mean Green (13-9) are hitting the road to Moody Coliseum on Sunday where they will try to beat the SMU Mustangs (16-7).

The North Texas Mean Green faced Tulsa and went home with a win by a final score of 68-55 in their last game. When discussing personal fouls, the Mean Green finished with 19 and Tulsa recorded 18 personal fouls. They also converted 4 out of their 18 shots from distance. Tulsa finished the contest at 70.4% from the free throw line by knocking down 19 of 27 shots. Furthermore, Tulsa snagged 23 boards (4 offensive, 19 defensive), but didn't record a block for the team. Tulsa distributed 6 dimes and had 6 steals for this contest. When discussing the defense, North Texas allowed their opponent to shoot 37.2% from the field on 16 of 43 shooting. They also distributed 8 assists for the game as well as forcing the other team into 16 turnovers and getting 10 steals. Concerning pulling down boards, they earned 30 with 7 of them being of the offensive variety. At the free throw line, the Mean Green made 15 of their 25 attempts for a rate of 60.0%. North Texas ended the contest with a 44.0% FG percentage (22 out of 50) and converted 9 of their 21 shots from beyond the perimeter.

Aaron Scott is one player who was a factor for the matchup. He accounted for 18 points on 5 of 10 shooting. He played for 36 minutes and collected 10 rebounds. He shot 50.0% from the field and recorded 2 assists.

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North Texas will play this game with a record of 13-9 this year. They turn the ball over 11.5 times per game and as a group they are committing 16.9 fouls every game. As a unit, North Texas is collecting 36.0 boards per game and has accounted for 230 assists this season, which has them ranked 345th in the nation in terms of passing the rock. The Mean Green are shooting 36.1% from downtown (172 of 476) and 71.7% from the free throw line. They have an average of 67.3 points per outing (324th in the country) while hitting 43.0% from the floor.

Defensively, the Mean Green have forced 12.3 turnovers every game and they draw 15.5 personal fouls. They are currently ranked 2nd in college basketball in allowing assists to their opponents with 205 relinquished on the year. The Mean Green defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 39.3% (453 of 1,152) and they relinquish 32.2 rebounds per game as a basketball team. They are giving up 30.4% on shots from downtown and they rank 4th in college basketball in points per game from their opponents (60.0).

The last time they took the hardwood, the SMU Mustangs walked away with a victory by a final of 95-69 when they played Rice. In the matter of rebounding, SMU allowed Rice to get 23 in all (5 offensive). They finished 40.0% from beyond the perimeter by shooting 10 of 25 and ended up going 11 out of 16 from the charity stripe (68.8%). The Mustangs allowed Rice to convert 24 of 52 attempts from the field which had them shooting 46.2% for this contest. When the final whistle blew, the Mustangs ended up shooting 41 for 72 from the field which gave them a percentage of 56.9%. In reference to shooting from 3-point land, SMU knocked down 10 of 29 tries (34.5%). They were able to convert 3 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 75.0%. Rice was called for 7 personal fouls in the matchup which got the Mustangs to the charity stripe for a total of 4 shots. They turned the ball over 3 times, while earning 10 steals in this matchup. The Mustangs were able to corral 25 defensive rebounds and 12 offensive rebounds for a total of 37 in the matchup.

Zhuric Phelps ended up being a factor for the Mustangs in the matchup. He earned 16 points in his 23 mins on the hardwood and accumulated 6 assists for this contest. He buried 8 of 14 in the game giving him a field goal percentage of 57.1%, and accumulated 5 rebounds.

SMU has a win-loss record of 16-7 this season. The Mustangs have committed 16.5 fouls every game and they hit 69.0% from the charity stripe. Their rate of earning assists is at 16.2 times per game (37th in the nation) and they are turning it over 11.4 times per contest. SMU has accounted for 1,758 points on the year (76.4 per contest) and they pull in 40.0 boards per contest. As an offense, the Mustangs are shooting 46.1% from the floor, which has them ranked 102nd in Division 1.

The SMU defense allows 28.1% from downtown (141 of 502) and their opponents are connecting on 68.8% of their free throw attempts. They have surrendered 13.1 assists and 34.3 boards per contest, which has them ranked 205th and 152nd in those defensive categories. The Mustangs on the defensive end are ranked 23rd in the nation in PPG surrendered with 64.4. They are forcing 13.0 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 39.0% from the field (10th in Division 1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take North Texas

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