North Texas Mean Green vs Florida Atlantic Owls Prediction, 1/28/2024 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: North Texas Mean Green vs Florida Atlantic Owls

Date: Sunday, January 28, 2024

Location: Eleanor R. Baldwin Arena in Boca Raton, FL

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: North Texas (+11)

The Florida Atlantic Owls (16-4) will go up against the North Texas Mean Green (12-6) at Eleanor R. Baldwin Arena on Sunday. North Texas opens this matchup as 11-point underdogs. The total is 133.5.

The North Texas Mean Green faced SMU and went home with a win by a final score of 68-66 in their last game. When talking about personal fouls, the Mean Green finished with 17 and SMU totaled 18 personal fouls. They buried 4 of their 11 tries from 3-point land. SMU finished the game at 69.6% at the free throw line by knocking down 16 of 23 tries. On top of that, SMU totaled 30 boards (9 offensive, 21 defensive), but didn't notch a rejection. SMU dished out 10 assists and had 6 steals for the matchup. In the matter of defending, North Texas allowed their opponent to shoot 45.1% from the field on 23 of 51 shooting. They also distributed 16 assists for the game while forcing 11 turnovers and having 8 steals. Concerning pulling down boards, they compiled 28 with 11 of them being offensive. From the free throw line, the Mean Green made 8 of their 19 attempts for a rate of 42.1%. North Texas wrapped up the contest having earned a 44.6% field goal percentage (25 of 56) and converted 10 out of their 23 shots from beyond the perimeter.

Jason Edwards is one guy who was a major factor for the game. He accounted for 22 points on 8 of 18 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 38 mins but finished the game without grabbing a rebound. He went 44.4% from the field and totaled 1 assist.

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North Texas will enter this matchup with a record of 12-6 so far this season. They average 67.5 pts per contest (322nd in college hoops) while shooting 42.9% from the field. The Mean Green are shooting 35.9% on 3-point shots (143 of 398) and 73.2% from the free throw line. As a team, North Texas is pulling in 36.7 rebounds per game and has totaled 194 assists on the year, which ranks 347th in the country in terms of passing. They turn it over 11.8 times per game and as a squad they are committing 16.7 fouls every game.

When they are on the defensive end, the Mean Green have forced 12.2 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 15.4 fouls. They give up 29.9% on shots from distance while they are 4th in the nation in points per game allowed (58.7). The Mean Green are giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 38.6% (365 of 946) and they surrender 31.8 rebounds per game as a unit. They are ranked 2nd in the country in giving up assists to the opposition with 165 surrendered this season.

In their last game, the Florida Atlantic Owls walked away with a victory by a final of 69-56 when they played Rice. The Owls snagged 31 defensive rebounds and 8 offensive boards for a total of 39 in the matchup. They gave up possession of the ball 12 times, while recording 7 steals for the contest. Rice had 15 personal fouls in this game which took the Owls to the charity stripe for 17 tries. They were able to make 15 of those for a rate of 88.2%. With regard to shooting from 3-point land, Florida Atlantic converted 6 of 17 tries (35.3%). Overall, the Owls shot 24 out of 55 from the floor which gave them a rate of 43.6%. The Owls permitted Rice to make 22 of their 63 attempts from the floor which had them sitting at 34.9% for the game. They finished 29.2% from behind the 3-point line by connecting on 7 out of 24 and finished the game at 5 of 11 at the free throw line (45.5%). In regard to how they attacked the glass, Florida Atlantic allowed Rice to pull down 33 in all (13 on the offensive glass).

Nick Boyd ended up being important for the Owls in this contest. He knocked down 5 out of 6 in this contest giving him a rate of 83.3%, and added 3 rebounds. He earned 18 points in his 32 minutes on the hardwood and had 1 assist in the game.

Florida Atlantic has a mark of 16-4 for the year. When it comes to offense, the Owls are hitting on 48.9% from the floor, which has them ranked 22nd in the country. Florida Atlantic has accounted for 1,667 pts this season (83.4 per contest) and they snag 38.1 rebounds per game. They are getting an assist 15.4 times per game (68th in the nation) and they lose possession via turnover 11.3 times per contest. The Owls have committed 16.1 personal fouls per contest and they connect on 70.0% from the free throw line.

The Owls are ranked 195th in college hoops in points given up per game with 72.2. They are able to force 12.4 turnovers on a nightly basis and have let teams shoot 43.4% from the floor (190th in college basketball). The Florida Atlantic defense gives up 34.2% from downtown (152 of 444) and opponents are making 70.9% of their foul shots. They relinquish 10.8 assists and 33.8 total boards per game, which is ranked 38th and 121st in college hoops.

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Florida Atlantic (-11)

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