North Carolina Tar Heels vs Florida State Seminoles Prediction, 1/27/2024 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: North Carolina Tar Heels vs Florida State Seminoles

Date: Saturday, January 27, 2024

Location: Donald L. Tucker Center in Tallahassee, FL

TV: ESPN+

The Florida State Seminoles (12-7) host the North Carolina Tar Heels (16-3) at Donald L. Tucker Center on Saturday.

The North Carolina Tar Heels stepped onto the hardwood against Wake Forest and went home with a win by a final score of 85-64 in their last game. North Carolina ended the contest having earned a 52.5% FG percentage (32 of 61) and converted 5 of 15 3-point attempts. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Tar Heels buried 16 of 22 attempts for a rate of 72.7%. In relation to pulling down rebounds, they compiled 40 with 4 of them being of the offensive variety. They also recorded 8 assists for the contest while forcing the other team into 5 turnovers and getting 2 steals. When it comes to defense, North Carolina allowed the other team to shoot 35.6% from the floor on 21 out of 59 shooting. Wake Forest distributed 3 dimes and had 3 steals in the game. On top of that, Wake Forest pulled down 27 rebounds (2 offensive, 25 defensive), but couldn't earn a rejection. Wake Forest finished the game at 76.0% at the charity stripe by converting 19 of their 25 tries. They also converted 3 out of their 20 attempts from three-point range. In relation to personal fouls, the Tar Heels walked away with 20 while Wake Forest had 16 personal fouls.

RJ Davis is one guy who was a factor in the game. He recorded 36 points on 14 out of 23 shooting. He played for 37 mins and snagged 4 rebounds. He shot 60.9% from the field and also totaled 2 assists.

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North Carolina heads into this matchup with a win-loss mark of 16-3 on the year. They turn the ball over 10.4 times per game and as a team they are committing 16.8 personal fouls per game. As a team, North Carolina is snagging 41.3 boards per game and is sitting with 267 dimes so far this year, which ranks 146th in Division 1 in terms of passing. The Tar Heels are shooting 35.6% on 3-pointers (144 of 405) and 76.1% from the charity stripe. They currently have an average of 83.5 points per outing (22nd in the nation) while hitting 45.9% from the floor.

On the defensive end of the court, the Tar Heels are able to force 11.4 turnovers per contest and they draw 19.5 fouls. They rank 18th in college basketball in giving up assists to the opposition with 192 conceded for the season. The Tar Heels defensively are allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 39.5% (467 of 1,181) and they surrender 33.9 rebounds per game as a squad. They give up 28.5% on shots from downtown and they are 114th in college basketball in points per game allowed (69.1).

The last time they took the court, the Florida State Seminoles went home victorious with a score of 85-69 when they faced Syracuse. The Seminoles snagged 26 defensive rebounds and 8 offensive boards for a total of 34 in this game. They turned it over 9 times, while getting 10 steals in this matchup. Syracuse committed 19 personal fouls in this game which took the Seminoles to the free throw line for 20 shots. They were able to convert 15 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 75.0%. Regarding 3-point attempts, Florida State knocked down 6 out of 17 tries (35.3%). Overall, the Seminoles ended up going 32 out of 65 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 49.2%. The Seminoles permitted Syracuse to make 23 out of their 52 attempts from the floor which left them with a rate of 44.2% in this matchup. They went 7.1% from 3-point land by hitting 1 of 14 and walked away from this one shooting 22 of 33 from the free throw line (66.7%). With respect to rebounding, Florida State permitted Syracuse to collect 35 in all (9 on the offensive glass).

Jamir Watkins ended up being a major contributor for the Seminoles for this contest. He made 8 of 15 for the game for a field goal rate of 53.3%, and had 11 rebounds. He totaled 27 points in his 29 minutes on the hardwood and accounted for 2 assists for the game.

Florida State has a win-loss record of 12-7 on the year. When it comes to offense, the Seminoles are hitting on 44.2% from the floor, which ranks them 212th in college hoops. Florida State has accounted for 1,463 points this year (77.0 per contest) and they average 35.3 boards per game. They are assisting teammates 13.1 times per game (208th in college basketball) and they turn it over 11.9 times per contest. The Seminoles commit 20.0 fouls per contest and they connect on 69.5% from the free throw line.

The Seminoles on the defensive side of the court are 237th in Division 1 in points allowed per game with 73.3. They are forcing 15.5 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 43.9% from the field (213th in college basketball). The Florida State defense allows 32.9% on shots from distance (141 of 428) and their opposition knocks down 66.5% of their free throw attempts. They surrender 11.6 dimes and 37.1 rebounds every game, which has them ranked 86th and 289th in college basketball.

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Florida State

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