New Mexico Lobos vs Boise State Broncos Prediction, 3/2/2024 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New Mexico Lobos vs Boise State Broncos

Date: Saturday, March 2, 2024

Location: ExtraMile Arena in Boise, ID

TV: ESPN+

ExtraMile Arena is the location where the Boise State Broncos (20-8) will compete against the New Mexico Lobos (21-7) on Saturday.

The New Mexico Lobos played Air Force and took a loss by a final of 78-77 in their last contest. New Mexico finished the game having earned a 46.7% field goal percentage (28 out of 60) and converted 3 of their 16 shots from beyond the perimeter. When they shot from the free throw line, the Lobos converted 18 of 27 attempts for a percentage of 66.7%. Pertaining to hauling in boards, they earned a total of 38 with 15 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 9 assists in this matchup while forcing the other team into 7 turnovers and earning 3 steals. In regard to defense, New Mexico allowed the other team to shoot 51.7% from the field on 31 of 60 shooting. Air Force earned 15 dimes and had 6 steals for the game. On top of that, Air Force snagged 23 boards (5 offensive, 18 defensive), but wasn't able to put a block in the stat sheet. Air Force finished shooting 71.4% from the charity stripe by converting 5 of their 7 attempts. They made 11 out of their 25 attempts from beyond the arc. In regard to fouls, the Lobos ended up walking away with 14 and Air Force totaled 21 fouls.

Nelly Junior Joseph is someone who was a major factor in this matchup. He finished the contest at 75.0% from the field but finished the game without an assist. He was on the hardwood for 31 minutes played and totaled 9 boards. He was able to score 17 points on 6 out of 8 shooting.

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New Mexico will enter this game with a win-loss mark of 21-7 so far this season. They are turning it over 10.2 times per contest and as a team they commit 18.0 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, New Mexico is collecting 39.0 boards per game and is sitting with 411 dimes this season, which is 102nd in college hoops in terms of passing. The Lobos are hitting 34.2% on three-point attempts (187 of 547) and 70.0% from the free throw line. They are averaging 82.8 pts per game (19th in the nation) while connecting on 46.6% from the floor.

On the defensive end of the court, the Lobos have forced 14.8 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 18.5 personal fouls. They surrender 31.4% on shots from beyond the arc and they are 153rd in Division 1 in PPG from their opponents (71.1). The Lobos defense is allowing a shooting percentage of 43.2% (706 of 1,635) and they surrender 34.8 boards per game as a unit. They are 231st in D-1 in giving up assists with 379 relinquished for the year.

In their last game, the Boise State Broncos got the victory with a final of 79-48 against Air Force. The Broncos collected 24 defensive rebounds and 6 offensive boards totaling 30 in the game. They gave up possession 6 times, while recording 6 steals for the contest. Air Force committed 19 personal fouls in the game which took the Broncos to the charity stripe for 27 shots. They were able to knock down 24 of those for a rate of 88.9%. In the matter of shooting from downtown, Boise State knocked down 7 out of 18 tries (38.9%). When the game finished, the Broncos went 24 out of 50 from the floor which had them sitting at 48.0%. The Broncos allowed Air Force to bury 17 out of their 39 tries from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 43.6% for the matchup. They shot 27.8% from 3-point land by shooting 5 of 18 and walked away from this one shooting 9 out of 15 from the free throw line (60.0%). In regard to rebounding, Boise State allowed Air Force to snag 19 overall (2 on the offensive glass).

Tyson Degenhart ended up being a factor for the Broncos for this contest. He totaled 21 points in his 31 mins on the court and accounted for 2 dimes for the game. He converted 6 of 11 in the matchup giving him a field goal percentage of 54.5%, and totaled 5 rebounds.

Boise State has a win-loss mark of 20-8 for the year. The Broncos are responsible for committing 16.3 fouls per game and they shoot 73.5% from the charity stripe. They are earning an assist 12.5 times per game (236th in college basketball) and they are turning it over 11.2 times per game. Boise State has accumulated 2,126 pts for the year (75.9 per game) and they pull down 36.6 rebounds per game. When it comes to executing on offense, the Broncos are connecting on 46.1% from the floor, which ranks them 101st in the nation.

The Broncos are ranked 37th in college basketball in points per game surrendered with 66.2. They are forcing 11.6 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 43.6% from the field (184th in college hoops). The Boise State defense gives up 31.0% on 3-pointers (175 of 564) and their opponents are connecting on 72.4% of their free throw attempts. They allow 11.4 assists and 28.9 boards every game, which ranks them 67th and 3rd in those defensive categories.

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boise State

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