Nevada Wolf Pack vs Dayton Flyers Prediction, 3/21/2024 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Nevada Wolf Pack vs Dayton Flyers
Date: Thursday, March 21, 2024
Location: Delta Center in Salt Lake City, UT
TV: TBS
Odds/Point Spread: Nevada (-2)
The Nevada Wolf Pack (26-7) are hitting the road to Delta Center on Thursday where they will go up against the Dayton Flyers (24-7) in the NCAA Tournament. Dayton opens as 2-point dogs from oddsmakers. The over/under has been set at 137.5.
The Nevada Wolf Pack faced off with Colorado State and took a loss by a final of 85-78 in their last contest. When talking about fouls, the Wolf Pack walked away with 24 while Colorado State recorded 26 fouls. They also made 7 out of their 20 attempts from beyond the perimeter. Colorado State finished 73.3% when shooting free throws by making 22 of 30 tries. Furthermore, Colorado State had 29 rebounds (9 offensive, 20 defensive), but wasn't able to put a block in the stat sheet. Colorado State dished out 18 dimes and had 7 steals for the matchup. In terms of defense, Nevada allowed their opponent to shoot 50.0% from the floor on 28 of 56 shooting. They also doled out 11 assists for the game in addition to creating 9 turnovers and getting 6 steals. Concerning hauling in boards, they collected 31 with 11 of them being of the offensive variety. From the charity stripe, the Wolf Pack made 27 of 37 tries for a rate of 73.0%. Nevada wrapped up the contest with a 47.9% field goal percentage (23 out of 48) and knocked down 5 of their 15 shots from beyond the arc.
Jarod Lucas is a guy who was a major contributor for the matchup. He ended up going 41.7% from the field and recorded 1 assist. He was on the court for 39 mins and collected 3 boards. He scored 18 points on 5 out of 12 shooting.
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Nevada comes into this matchup with a mark of 26-7 so far this season. They are turning it over 10.0 times per contest and as a basketball team are committing 17.7 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Nevada is pulling in 34.5 boards per game and has earned 498 assists this season, which is 61st in Division 1 in terms of passing the ball. The Wolf Pack are shooting 36.5% on shots from distance (220 of 603) and 72.1% from the free throw line. They average 76.4 points per contest (96th in Division 1) while going 47.5% from the floor.
On defense, the Wolf Pack are able to force 11.9 turnovers per game while drawing 21.3 personal fouls. They surrender 31.8% on 3-point attempts while they are 49th in college hoops in PPG allowed (67.1). The Wolf Pack defensively are giving up a field goal percentage of 41.7% (768 of 1,840) and they surrender 32.7 rebounds per contest as a unit. They are 211th in college basketball in giving up assists to the opposition with 425 conceded for the campaign.
When they last played, the Dayton Flyers went home defeated by a final of 65-57 against Duquesne. Regarding rebounding, Dayton allowed Duquesne to snag 39 in total (8 offensive). They finished 31.8% from three-point range by connecting on 7 out of 22 and walked away from this one shooting 10 of 13 from the free throw line (76.9%). The Flyers permitted Duquesne to knock down 24 out of their 57 tries from the field which left them with a rate of 42.1% for the game. Overall, the Flyers went 16 for 50 from the floor which gave them a rate of 32.0%. When discussing shots from beyond the arc, Dayton knocked down 7 of their 26 attempts (26.9%). They were able to convert 18 of the free throws for a clip of 72.0%. Duquesne had 19 fouls for the matchup which got the Flyers to the free throw line for 25 attempts. They gave up possession of the ball 7 times, while getting 4 steals in this contest. The Flyers pulled down 19 defensive rebounds and 7 offensive rebounds totaling 26 for the contest.
DaRon Holmes II ended up being a factor for the Flyers for the game. He scored 24 points in his 36 mins of playing time and tallied 3 dimes in this matchup. He converted 5 of 13 in the game giving him a rate of 38.5%, and had 13 rebounds.
Dayton has a mark of 24-7 for the campaign. As an offensive team, the Flyers are hitting on 47.7% from the floor, which has them ranked 33rd in the nation. Dayton has scored 2,317 points so far this year (74.7 per contest) and they collect 33.7 rebounds per game. Their rate of earning assists is at 14.8 times per contest (83rd in the country) and they are giving up possession 10.2 times per game. The Flyers have committed 13.4 personal fouls per game and they hit 73.4% from the charity stripe.
The Dayton defense allows 31.7% on 3-point attempts (235 of 742) and their opposition makes 73.3% of their free throw shots. They have relinquished 12.5 dimes and 32.8 rebounds every game, which is ranked 143rd and 70th in the country. The Flyers defensively are ranked 31st in D-1 in points given up per game with 66.3. They have forced 10.2 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 41.5% from the field (50th in the nation).
Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Nevada (-2)
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Additional Resources:
Dayton Flyers - Twitter
Nevada Wolf Pack - Twitter