Fresno State Bulldogs vs New Mexico Lobos Prediction, 3/6/2024 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Fresno State Bulldogs vs New Mexico Lobos

Date: Wednesday, March 6, 2024

Location: The Pit in Albuquerque, NM

TV: ESPN+

The Pit is the location where the New Mexico Lobos (21-8) will try to defeat the Fresno State Bulldogs (11-18) on Wednesday.

The Fresno State Bulldogs faced Nevada and took a loss by a score of 74-66 in their last contest. Fresno State walked away from the contest with a 42.6% FG percentage (23 out of 54) and converted 7 of their 23 three-point shots. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Bulldogs converted 13 of their 18 attempts for a percentage of 72.2%. Regarding pulling down boards, they earned 22 with 5 of them being of the offensive variety. They also dished out 11 dimes in the matchup in addition to forcing the other team into 11 turnovers and earning 5 steals. In reference to defense, Fresno State allowed the other team to go 53.1% from the floor on 26 of 49 shooting. Nevada doled out 23 dimes and had 1 steal for this contest. Additionally, Nevada pulled down 28 rebounds (3 offensive, 25 defensive), but didn't record a block for the team. Nevada shot 84.6% at the free throw line by knocking down 11 of 13 attempts. They also buried 11 of their 25 shots from beyond the arc. In the matter of fouls, the Bulldogs ended up finishing with 16 while Nevada had 15 fouls.

Isaiah Hill is a player who came through for the contest. He scored 16 points on 5 out of 14 shooting. He played for 40 mins and pulled down 5 boards. He ended up shooting 35.7% from the field and also distributed 4 assists.

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Fresno State will take the court with a win-loss record of 11-18 for the season. They turn the ball over 12.6 times per contest and as a basketball team they are committing 15.4 fouls every game. As a unit, Fresno State is pulling down 31.3 boards per game and is sitting with 367 assists on the season, which ranks 251st in the nation in terms of passing the ball. The Bulldogs are shooting 33.5% on shots beyond the perimeter (202 of 603) and 67.1% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 68.1 pts per contest (312th in the country) while connecting on 46.2% from the field.

When they are on the defensive end, the Bulldogs are forcing their opponents into 10.8 turnovers per game while drawing 15.9 personal fouls. They currently rank 182nd in college basketball in giving up assists with 382 conceded for the year. The Bulldogs defense is allowing an opponent FG percentage of 46.4% (786 of 1,694) and they surrender 34.1 boards per game as a group. They are conceding 37.3% from 3-point land while they are 213th in college basketball in PPG allowed (72.9).

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the New Mexico Lobos took a loss by a final score of 89-79 against Boise State. The Lobos were able to corral 24 defensive boards and 11 offensive boards totaling 35 for the matchup. They also turned the ball over 11 times, while recording 4 steals in this contest. Boise State was called for 16 fouls in this game which got the Lobos to the charity stripe for a total of 19 attempts. They were able to knock down 17 of the free throws for a percentage of 89.5%. In terms of 3-point attempts, New Mexico made 6 out of 23 tries (26.1%). When the game finished, the Lobos shot 28 for 64 from the field which gave them a percentage of 43.8%. The Lobos allowed Boise State to make 30 out of 69 tries from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 43.5% in the game. They finished shooting 35.0% from distance by connecting on 7 out of 20 and finished the contest at 22 out of 26 at the free throw line (84.6%). With respect to cleaning up the glass, New Mexico permitted Boise State to grab 40 overall (15 offensive).

JT Toppin ended up being a factor for the Lobos for the game. He scored 21 points in his 27 mins on the hardwood, but finished this game without an assist. He converted 9 of 12 for the game for a rate of 75.0%, and had 8 rebounds.

New Mexico has a record of 21-8 on the year. The Lobos are committing 18.1 fouls per contest and they connect on 70.6% from the charity stripe. They are getting an assist 14.7 times per game (97th in Division 1) and they turn it over 10.2 times per game. New Mexico has accounted for 2,396 pts on the season (82.6 per game) and they pull in 38.8 boards per game. As an offensive unit, the Lobos are shooting 46.5% from the floor, which is ranked 80th in the nation.

The New Mexico defense gives up 31.5% on 3-pointers (187 of 594) and their opponents are making 72.2% of their foul shots. They give up 13.5 dimes and 35.1 boards every game, which is 240th and 207th in those defensive categories. The Lobos on the defensive side of the court are 176th in college basketball in PPG given up with 71.7. They have forced 14.6 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 43.2% from the field (156th in Division 1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New Mexico

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