Florida Gators vs Auburn Tigers Prediction, 3/17/2024 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Florida Gators vs Auburn Tigers

Date: Sunday, March 17, 2024

Location: Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, TN

TV: ESPN

The Auburn Tigers (25-7) are hosting the Florida Gators (23-10) at Bridgestone Arena on Sunday in the SEC Title Game.

The Florida Gators took the court against Alabama and went home with a win by a final score of 102-88 in their last contest. Florida ended the game having earned a 50.8% field goal percentage (32 of 63) and buried 7 of 20 shots from beyond the arc. From the free throw line, the Gators knocked down 31 of their 36 shots for a rate of 86.1%. Regarding pulling down boards, they earned 36 with 7 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 9 assists in this game while forcing 8 turnovers and earning 5 steals. When discussing defending, Florida allowed the other team to shoot 46.5% from the floor on 33 out of 71 shooting. Alabama distributed 15 dimes and had 3 steals in the matchup. In addition, Alabama had 33 rebounds (9 offensive, 24 defensive), but didn't record a block for the team. Alabama went 69.6% from the charity stripe by making 16 of 23 attempts. They buried 6 of their 25 shots from 3-point range. When it comes to personal fouls, the Gators ended up with 22 while Alabama accounted for 25 personal fouls.

Walter Clayton is one guy who was important in the matchup. He walked away from this one shooting 38.5% from the field and also totaled 4 dimes. He played 31 mins and pulled down 4 rebounds. He notched 23 points on 5 out of 13 shooting.

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Florida will enter this matchup with a mark of 23-10 this season. They lose possession by turning the ball over 11.8 times per game and as a squad they are committing 18.3 fouls per contest. As a unit, Florida is pulling in 43.1 boards per contest and has accounted for 498 dimes for the year, which ranks 58th in Division 1 in terms of passing. The Gators are shooting 34.0% on 3-pointers (254 of 748) and 70.9% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 85.4 points per outing (6th in college hoops) while going 45.8% from the floor.

Defensively, the Gators are forcing 10.7 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 19.2 fouls. They give up 32.1% on shots from distance and they are 330th in college basketball in PPG from their opponents (78.0). The Gators defense is giving up a FG percentage of 43.4% (924 of 2,130) and they concede 35.7 boards per game as a basketball team. They rank 78th in the nation in allowing assists to their opponents with 376 relinquished so far this season.

When they last stepped on the court, the Auburn Tigers walked away with a victory by a final of 86-55 when they played South Carolina. The Tigers earned 29 defensive boards and 12 offensive boards totaling 41 in this matchup. They also turned the ball over 3 times, while getting 6 steals in the matchup. South Carolina earned 16 personal fouls for this game which got the Tigers to the free throw line for a total of 17 tries. They were able to knock down 9 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 52.9%. In reference to shots from downtown, Auburn converted 9 out of 19 attempts (47.4%). When this game wrapped up, the Tigers shot 34 for 69 from the floor which gave them a rate of 49.3%. The Tigers allowed South Carolina to bury 16 of 57 attempts from the floor which gave them a percentage of 28.1% in this game. They finished shooting 25.0% from beyond the perimeter by going 3 of 12 and ended up going 20 out of 28 from the free throw line (71.4%). When it comes to team rebounding, Auburn allowed South Carolina to snag 37 in total (11 on the offensive side).

Johni Broome was important for the Tigers in the game. He scored 18 points in his 25 minutes on the court and had 3 dimes in the matchup. He made 6 of 14 in the matchup for a field goal percentage of 42.9%, and had 10 rebounds.

Auburn has a win-loss record of 25-7 on the campaign. The Tigers have committed 19.2 fouls per contest while shooting 74.9% from the charity stripe. Their rate of earning assists is at 18.1 times per game (7th in college basketball) and they are losing possession via turnover 10.4 times per game. Auburn has accounted for 2,674 pts so far this year (83.6 per game) and they snag 38.2 rebounds per game. In terms of offensive execution, the Tigers are shooting 47.4% from the floor, which ranks them 43rd in the country.

The Tigers are ranked 73rd in college basketball in points per game surrendered with 68.1. They are able to force 12.9 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 38.4% from the field (2nd in the nation). The Auburn defense surrenders 30.5% on 3-point shots (192 of 630) and opponents are converting on 74.0% of their free throw shots. They have allowed 9.7 dimes and 34.4 rebounds on a nightly basis, which has them ranked 6th and 163rd in the nation.

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Auburn

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