Fairfield Stags vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers Prediction, 3/9/2024 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Fairfield Stags vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers

Date: Saturday, March 9, 2024

Location: Knott Arena in Emmitsburg, MD

TV: ESPN+

The Fairfield Stags (18-11) are on their way to Knott Arena on Saturday where they will play the Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers (13-17).

The Fairfield Stags stepped onto the hardwood against Marist and took a loss by a final of 58-55 in their last contest. In relation to fouls, the Stags left the arena with 14 while Marist had 17 fouls. They also buried 6 of their 21 tries from distance. Marist shot 76.9% at the free throw line by making 10 of their 13 shots. On top of that, Marist had 37 rebounds (6 offensive, 31 defensive), but didn't have a block. Marist earned 12 assists and had 4 steals for the game. When it comes to the defense, Fairfield let their opponent shoot 40.4% from the floor on 21 out of 52 shooting. They also recorded 8 dimes in the matchup in addition to forcing the opposition into 13 turnovers and getting 10 steals. Pertaining to rebounding, they compiled 37 with 12 of them being offensive. From the charity stripe, the Stags made 13 of 21 attempts for a rate of 61.9%. Fairfield walked away from the game having earned a 28.3% FG percentage (17 of 60) and knocked down 8 of their 28 shots from 3-point land.

Caleb Fields is a player who came through in the matchup. He accounted for 15 points on 5 of 15 shooting. He was on the court for 37 minutes played and also collected 10 boards. He finished the contest at 33.3% from the floor and also distributed 4 dimes.

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Fairfield heads into this matchup with a record of 18-11 for the year. They are averaging 76.2 pts per contest (104th in Division 1) while going 44.9% from the field. The Stags are hitting 37.9% on 3-point shots (277 of 730) and 75.4% from the charity stripe. As a team, Fairfield is pulling in 34.0 rebounds per game and is sitting with 407 assists on the year, which has them ranked 159th in the country in terms of passing. They turn the ball over 11.2 times per contest and as a group they commit 14.7 personal fouls on a nightly basis.

When they are on defense, the Stags are forcing their opponents into 14.0 turnovers per game while drawing 15.6 fouls. They are currently ranked 191st in college basketball in giving up assists to their opponents with 393 conceded this season. The Stags defensively are allowing a FG percentage of 45.1% (769 of 1,705) and they relinquish 35.2 rebounds per contest as a unit. They relinquish 32.9% on shots from distance and they are 144th in the country in points per game allowed (70.9).

In their last game, the Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers walked away with a victory by a final of 91-72 against Niagara. With respect to rebounds, Mount St. Mary's permitted Niagara to get 24 in total (8 on the offensive glass). They finished 34.8% from behind the 3-point line by connecting on 8 of 23 and ended up going 12 out of 21 from the free throw line (57.1%). The Mountaineers allowed Niagara to knock down 26 of their 59 tries from the field which left them shooting 44.1% for the matchup. Overall, the Mountaineers ended up shooting 35 for 56 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 62.5%. Concerning 3-point attempts, Mount St. Mary's made 6 of their 13 tries (46.2%). They were able to knock down 15 of them for a clip of 83.3%. Niagara was called for 17 fouls in this game which took the Mountaineers to the free throw line for a total of 18 attempts. They turned the ball over 13 times, while getting 9 steals for the game. The Mountaineers collected 24 defensive rebounds and 5 offensive rebounds for a total of 29 in the game.

De'Shayne Montgomery ended up having an impact for the Mountaineers in this contest. He scored 25 points in his 33 mins of playing time and had 5 assists in this matchup. He knocked down 8 of 11 for the contest for a field goal rate of 72.7%, and tallied 2 rebounds.

Mount St. Mary's has a record of 13-17 on the year. The Mountaineers are responsible for committing 15.7 personal fouls per contest and they hit 73.2% from the free throw line. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 12.9 times per contest (199th in the country) and they are giving up possession 14.3 times per game. Mount St. Mary's has accounted for 2,174 pts so far this year (72.5 per game) and they grab 35.6 boards per contest. As an offense, the Mountaineers are hitting on 47.0% from the field, which is ranked 56th in D-1.

The Mount St. Mary's defense concedes 34.5% on 3-pointers (209 of 605) and their opposition makes 75.1% of their foul shots. They have given up 12.6 assists and 32.4 total rebounds per game, which is 151st and 53rd in the nation. The Mountaineers on defense are ranked 141st in college hoops in points per game surrendered with 70.8. They are able to force 12.7 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 42.8% from the field (125th in the nation).

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Mount St. Mary's

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