Elon Phoenix vs North Carolina Tar Heels Prediction, 11/4/2024 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Elon Phoenix vs North Carolina Tar Heels

Date: Monday, November 4, 2024

Location: Dean E. Smith Center in Chapel Hill, NC

TV: ESPN+

The Elon Phoenix (13-19 last year) are traveling to Dean E. Smith Center on Monday where they will take on the North Carolina Tar Heels (29-8 last season).

The Elon Phoenix played Hampton and ended up losing by a score of 56-55 in their last contest. Elon finished the contest having earned a 33.9% FG percentage (19 of 56) and made 6 out of their 27 shots from beyond the perimeter. At the free throw line, the Phoenix buried 11 of 21 shots for a rate of 52.4%. In reference to hauling in boards, they earned 38 with 13 of them being of the offensive variety. They also doled out 9 assists in this matchup in addition to forcing 12 turnovers and having 8 steals. Regarding defense, Elon allowed the other team to shoot 37.3% from the field on 22 of 59 shooting. Hampton doled out 15 dimes and had 5 steals in this contest. In addition, Hampton snagged 31 rebounds (8 offensive, 23 defensive), but wasn't able to record a block. Hampton finished the contest at 88.9% from the charity stripe by converting 8 of their 9 tries. They knocked down 4 out of their 17 tries from beyond the arc. When talking about personal fouls, the Phoenix walked away with 12 and Hampton totaled 19 personal fouls.

TK Simpkins is someone who was a contributor in this game. He finished 33.3% from the field and recorded 4 assists. He played 36 mins and collected 3 boards. He accounted for 18 points on 4 of 12 shooting.

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Elon steps onto the hardwood after finishing with a win-loss mark of 13-19 last year. They averaged 73.1 points per outing (191st in college hoops) while hitting 44.6% from the field. The Phoenix shot 35.2% on shots from beyond the arc (275 of 781) and 70.7% from the charity stripe. As a team, Elon pulled down 33.8 boards per contest and had 418 dimes last season, which ranked 209th in the country in terms of passing the ball. They gave up possession 11.8 times per contest and as a team committed 15.7 personal fouls per contest.

On the defensive end, the Phoenix forced 11.1 turnovers per game while drawing 16.3 fouls. They relinquished 34.0% on 3-point shots and they were ranked 280th in the nation in PPG allowed (75.4). The Phoenix defense gave up an opponent shooting percentage of 45.7% (880 of 1,925) and they relinquished 35.2 boards per game as a unit. They were ranked 310th in D-1 in allowing assists to their opponents with 482 relinquished last year.

For their last game, the North Carolina Tar Heels took a loss by a score of 89-87 when they faced Alabama. The Tar Heels recorded 21 defensive boards and 17 offensive boards totaling 38 in this matchup. They coughed it up 7 times, while getting 8 steals for this game. Alabama was called for 18 fouls for the matchup which got the Tar Heels to the charity stripe for a total of 17 shots. They were able to knock down 15 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 88.2%. In regard to 3-point shots, North Carolina knocked down 12 of 32 attempts (37.5%). When the final whistle was blown, the Tar Heels finished the game shooting 30 out of 78 from the floor which had them shooting 38.5%. The Tar Heels allowed Alabama to bury 32 out of 67 tries from the floor which gave them a rate of 47.8% for this contest. They finished the game shooting 42.3% from 3-point land by shooting 11 out of 26 and finished the game at 14 of 20 from the charity stripe (70.0%). When discussing team rebounding, North Carolina permitted Alabama to collect 37 in total (14 offensive).

Armando Bacot ended up being important for the Tar Heels in this game. He buried 8 out of 18 for this game for a field goal rate of 44.4%, and had 12 rebounds. He racked up 19 points in his 34 mins on the hardwood, but wasn't able to notch an assist.

North Carolina had a win-loss record of 29-8 last season. The Tar Heels were responsible for committing 16.5 personal fouls every game while shooting 75.9% from the charity stripe. They dished out assists 14.5 times per game (100th in D-1) and they lost possession via turnover 10.1 times per game. North Carolina tallied 3,032 pts last season (81.9 per contest) and they grabbed 41.1 rebounds per game. As an offensive unit, the Tar Heels shot 45.0% from the field, which ranked them 153rd in Division 1.

The Tar Heels on the defensive end were ranked 125th in the nation in points given up per game with 70.5. They forced their opponents into 10.6 TO's every game and allowed teams to shoot 41.0% from the field (33rd in the country). The North Carolina defense conceded 32.1% on 3-point attempts (262 of 817) and their opponents knocked down 73.9% of their free throw attempts. They relinquished 10.1 dimes and 33.8 total boards per game, which was ranked 11th and 125th in the country.

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Elon

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