Dayton Flyers vs Saint Louis Billikens Prediction, 3/5/2024 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Dayton Flyers vs Saint Louis Billikens

Date: Tuesday, March 5, 2024

Location: Chaifetz Arena in St. Louis, MO

TV: ESPN+

The Saint Louis Billikens (11-18) welcome the Dayton Flyers (22-6) at Chaifetz Arena on Tuesday.

The Dayton Flyers faced Loyola and took a loss by a final of 77-72 in their last game. Dayton wrapped up the game having earned a 52.2% FG percentage (24 out of 46) and converted 7 out of their 15 shots from downtown. At the free throw line, the Flyers converted 17 of their 20 shots for a percentage of 85.0%. With respect to rebounding, they compiled a total of 27 with 2 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 10 dimes for the contest while forcing the other team into 11 turnovers and earning 8 steals. Concerning defending, Dayton let their opponent shoot 44.1% from the field on 26 out of 59 shooting. Loyola earned 20 dimes and had 15 steals in this contest. Moreover, Loyola grabbed 24 rebounds (4 offensive, 20 defensive), but didn't notch a rejection. Loyola ended up shooting 73.7% from the charity stripe by making 14 of their 19 attempts. They also knocked down 11 of their 27 attempts from beyond the arc. In reference to fouls, the Flyers ended up walking away with 16 while Loyola totaled 19 fouls.

DaRon Holmes II is one player who was a major factor in this contest. He recorded 20 points on 6 of 11 shooting. He played 34 minutes played and also collected 9 rebounds. He finished shooting 54.5% from the floor and totaled 2 dimes.

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Dayton comes into this one with a win-loss mark of 22-6 on the year. They are turning it over 10.1 times per contest and as a group are committing 13.4 personal fouls per contest. As a unit, Dayton is snagging 33.7 rebounds per contest and has accounted for 409 dimes so far this season, which has them ranked 144th in D-1 in terms of passing. The Flyers are connecting on 39.5% on shots from distance (258 of 653) and 73.4% from the free throw line. They average 73.9 pts per contest (177th in Division 1) while shooting 47.7% from the field.

Defensively, the Flyers are forcing their opponents into 10.2 turnovers every game and they draw 16.5 fouls. They are conceding 31.1% from 3-point land and they rank 20th in college hoops in points per game allowed (65.0). The Flyers are giving up a shooting percentage of 41.0% (676 of 1,648) and they surrender 32.8 rebounds per contest as a group. They rank 91st in college hoops in allowing assists to the opposition with 350 conceded on the season.

The last time they took the court, the Saint Louis Billikens got the win with a final of 94-91 against Rhode Island. The Billikens earned 17 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive boards for a total of 26 in the game. They turned it over 5 times, while getting 6 steals in this contest. Rhode Island had 20 personal fouls for the contest which took the Billikens to the charity stripe for 21 tries. They were able to knock down 17 of the free throws for a clip of 81.0%. With respect to shots from 3-point land, Saint Louis knocked down 11 out of their 21 tries (52.4%). Overall, the Billikens walked away from this one shooting 33 out of 61 from the field which gave them a percentage of 54.1%. The Billikens allowed Rhode Island to make 29 out of 56 tries from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 51.8% for the game. They went 44.0% from beyond the arc by connecting on 11 of 25 and finished the contest at 22 out of 32 at the charity stripe (68.8%). When talking about rebounding, Saint Louis allowed Rhode Island to pull down 30 overall (13 on the offensive glass).

Gibson Jimerson pitched in for the Billikens for the matchup. He knocked down 8 of 18 in this contest for a field goal percentage of 44.4%, and added 1 rebound. He accumulated 30 points in his 39 minutes on the court and had 3 dimes in this game.

Saint Louis has a record of 11-18 for the campaign. On the offensive side of the court, the Billikens are connecting on 44.7% from the field, which ranks 179th in the nation. Saint Louis has accounted for 2,170 points this year (74.8 per contest) and they average 33.6 boards per contest. They are assisting teammates 12.7 times per contest (220th in the nation) and they are turning it over 11.9 times per contest. The Billikens are responsible for committing 18.2 fouls per game and they shoot 74.7% from the charity stripe.

The Saint Louis defense concedes 35.7% on three-point shots (261 of 731) and opponents are converting on 73.8% of their shots from the free throw line. They surrender 13.6 dimes and 35.4 total boards per game, which is 247th and 224th in the country. The Billikens on the defensive side of the court are 345th in college hoops in PPG given up with 79.3. They are able to force 10.3 TO's every game and have let teams shoot 45.8% from the floor (311th in college basketball).

Who will win tonight's NCAA basketball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Saint Louis

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